Assessment of the exchange rate convergence in Euro-candidate countries
This paper assesses the exchange rate convergence in selected euro-candidate countries using an alternative approach to official exchange rate stability convergence criterion. We apply various versions of correlation analysis on daily returns and implied GARCH volatility of nominal exchange rates of the euro, Czech koruna, Hungarian forint, Polish zloty, Romanian leu, Slovak koruna and Croatian kuna vis-à-vis US dollar. The results suggest that none of the eurocandidates' currencies achieved a sufficient degree of convergence. If anything, a majority of the currencies analyzed in the paper experienced a departure from convergence during the recent period.
Volume (Year): 11 (2009)
Issue (Month): 25 (February)
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- Zsolt Darvas & György Szapáry, 2008.
"Euro Area Enlargement and Euro Adoption Strategies,"
European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015
304, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
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- Zlatuše Komárková & Luboš Komárek, 2007. "Integrace devizových trhů vybraných nových členských zemí Evropské unie
[Integration of the foreign exchange markets of the selected EU new member states]," Politická ekonomie, University of Economics, Prague, vol. 2007(3).
- Nikkinen, Jussi & Sahlstrom, Petri & Vahamaa, Sami, 2006. "Implied volatility linkages among major European currencies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 87-103, April.
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- Oxana Babetskaia-Kukharchuk & Ian Babetskii & Jiri Podpiera, 2008. "Convergence in exchange rates: market's view on CE-4 joining EMU," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(5), pages 385-390. Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)
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