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Exchange Market Pressure and De Facto Exchange Rate Regime in the Euro-Candidates

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  • Stavarek, Daniel

    (Silesian University, School of Business Administration, Department of Finance, Univerzitní nám. 1934/3 733 40 Karviná Czech Republic, tel: +420 596 398 335, fax: +420 596 312 069)

Abstract

In this paper we estimate exchange market pressure (EMP) in four euro-candidate countries over the period 1995-2008. We apply model-dependent as well as modelindependent approach to the EMP estimation. Since all euro-candidates have to fulfil the exchange rate stability convergence criterion we analyze EMP in context of exchange rate arrangement and develop a continuous measure of de facto exchange rate regime. The paper provides no evidence of serious relationship between EMP and de facto regime. Therefore, the shift towards ERM II should not stimulate EMP to growth and pose an a priori threat to fulfillment of the exchange rate stability criterion.

Suggested Citation

  • Stavarek, Daniel, 2010. "Exchange Market Pressure and De Facto Exchange Rate Regime in the Euro-Candidates," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 119-139, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2010:i:2:p:119-139
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    Cited by:

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    3. Franc Klaassen, 2011. "Identifying the Weights in Exchange Market Pressure," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-030/2, Tinbergen Institute.
    4. Devendra Kumar Jain & Rup Singh & Arvind Patel & Ronal Chand, 2023. "Foreign exchange market asymmetries in Pacific small island developing states: Evidence from Fiji," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 4353-4364, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    exchange market pressure; de facto exchange rate regime; eurocandidate countries; ERM II;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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