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The Long-Run Impacts of Financial Aid: Evidence from California's Cal Grant

Author

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  • Eric Bettinger
  • Oded Gurantz
  • Laura Kawano
  • Bruce Sacerdote
  • Michael Stevens

Abstract

We examine the long-term impacts of California's state-based financial aid by tracking educational and labor force outcomes for up to 14 years after high school graduation. We identify program impacts by exploiting variation in eligibility rules using GPA and family income cutoffs that are ex ante unknown to applicants. Aid eligibility increases undergraduate and graduate degree completion, and for some subgroups, raises longer-run annual earnings and the likelihood that young adults reside in California. These findings suggest that the net cost of financial aid programs may frequently be overstated, though our results are too imprecise to provide exact cost-benefit estimates.

Suggested Citation

  • Eric Bettinger & Oded Gurantz & Laura Kawano & Bruce Sacerdote & Michael Stevens, 2019. "The Long-Run Impacts of Financial Aid: Evidence from California's Cal Grant," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 11(1), pages 64-94, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:aea:aejpol:v:11:y:2019:i:1:p:64-94
    Note: DOI: 10.1257/pol.20170466
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Aguirre, Josefa, 2021. "Long-term effects of grants and loans for vocational education," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    2. Molina, Teresa & Rivadeneyra, Ivan, 2021. "The schooling and labor market effects of eliminating university tuition in Ecuador," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    3. Miller, Lois & Park, Minseon, 2022. "Making college affordable? The impacts of tuition freezes and caps," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    4. Firoozi, Daniel, 2022. "The impact of post-admission merit scholarships on enrollment decisions and degree attainment: Evidence from randomization," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    5. Jeffrey T. Denning & Eric R. Eide & Kevin J. Mumford & Richard W. Patterson & Merrill Warnick, 2022. "Why Have College Completion Rates Increased?," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 14(3), pages 1-29, July.
    6. Anderson, Drew M., 2020. "When financial aid is scarce: The challenge of allocating college aid where it is needed most," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    7. George Bulman & Robert Fairlie & Sarena Goodman & Adam Isen, 2021. "Parental Resources and College Attendance: Evidence from Lottery Wins," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 111(4), pages 1201-1240, April.
    8. Sandra E. Black & Jeffrey T. Denning & Lisa J. Dettling & Sarena Goodman & Lesley J. Turner, 2023. "Taking It to the Limit: Effects of Increased Student Loan Availability on Attainment, Earnings, and Financial Well-Being," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 113(12), pages 3357-3400, December.
    9. Balza, Lenin & De Los Rios, Camilo & Rivera, Nathaly M., 2022. "Digging Deep: Resource Exploitation and Higher Education," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 12451, Inter-American Development Bank.
    10. Lepinteur, Anthony & Nieto, Adrìan, 2021. "All about the money ? The gendered effect of education on industrial and occupational sorting," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Docweb) 2109, CEPREMAP.
    11. Eric Bettinger & Oded Gurantz & Monica Lee & Bridget Terry Long, 2023. "“Prior-Prior Year” FAFSA Increased Aid Submissions but Likely not Enrollment," Research in Higher Education, Springer;Association for Institutional Research, vol. 64(6), pages 789-807, September.
    12. Christine Baker-Smith & Kallie Clark & Sara Goldrick-Rab & Christel Perkins & Douglas A. Webber & Travis T. York, 2023. "Affording Degree Completion: An Experimental Study of Completion Grants at Accessible Public Universities," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-047, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    13. Somani, Ravi, 2021. "The returns to higher education and public employment," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    14. Ferreyra,Maria Marta & Garriga,Carlos & Martin,Juan David & Sanchez Diaz,Angelica Maria, 2020. "Raising College Access and Completion : How Much Can Free College Help ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9428, The World Bank.
    15. Wright, Nicholas A., 2020. "Perform better, or else: Academic probation, public praise, and students decision-making," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    16. Wright, Nicholas A., 2021. "Need-based financing policies, college decision-making, and labor market behavior: Evidence from Jamaica," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    17. Matsuda, Kazushige, 2020. "Optimal timing of college subsidies: Enrollment, graduation, and the skill premium," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    18. Christopher Erwin & Melissa Binder & Cynthia Miller & Kate Krause, 2020. "Performance-based aid, enhanced advising, and the income gap in college graduation: Evidence from a randomized controlled trial," Working Papers 2020-06, Auckland University of Technology, Department of Economics.
    19. Veronica Rattini, 2022. "The Effects of Financial Aid on Graduation and Labor Market Outcomes: New Evidence from Matched Education-Labor Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 10010, CESifo.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • H75 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Government: Health, Education, and Welfare
    • I21 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Analysis of Education
    • I22 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Educational Finance; Financial Aid
    • I23 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Higher Education; Research Institutions
    • I26 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Returns to Education
    • I28 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Government Policy

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