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Delay in contests

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  • Bester, Helmut
  • Konrad, Kai A.

Abstract

Why is there delay in contests? In this paper we follow and extend the line of reasoning of Carl von Clausewitz to explain delay. For a given contest technology, delay may occur if there is an asymmetry between defense and attack, if the expected change in relative strengths is moderate, and if the additional cost of investment in future strength is low. -- In Konfliktsituationen findet der ’showdown’ häufig mit einer Verzögerung statt. Das ist überraschend, weil sich mit der Verzögerung die Konfliktsituation bestenfalls für einen der beiden Kontrahenten verbessern kann. Derjenige, dessen Position im Konflikt sich verschlechtert, sollte eigentlich auf eine schnelle Konfliktlösung drängen. Carl von Clausewitz erklärte die mögliche Verzögerung aus der Vorteilhaftigkeit der Defensive: wer eine schnelle Konfliktlösung erzwingen will, muss in die Offensive. Wir bestätigen diese Einsicht von Clausewitz in einer formalen Analyse. Die Analyse ergibt ferner, dass auch ein schwacher Gegner zum Angreifer werden kann, wenn sich seine Position im Zeitablauf erheblich verschlechtert, und zeigt, dass zukünftige Kosten der Konfliktvorbereitung eher eine frühe Konfliktlösung begünstigen.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Social Science Research Center Berlin (WZB) in its series Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Market Processes and Governance with number FS IV 02-20.

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Date of creation: 2002
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Handle: RePEc:zbw:wzbmpg:fsiv0220

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Keywords: Delay; contest; conflict;

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References

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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Michael McBride & Stergios Skaperdas, 2009. "Conflict, Settlement, and the Shadow of the Future," Working Papers 080922, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics.
  2. Michael McBride & Stergios Skaperdas, 2005. "Explaining Conflict in Low-Income Countries: Incomplete Contracting in the Shadow of the Future," Working Papers 050606, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics.
  3. Garfinkel, Michelle R. & Skaperdas, Stergios, 2007. "Economics of Conflict: An Overview," Handbook of Defense Economics, Elsevier.
  4. Kai A. Konrad & Stergios Skaperdas, 2005. "Succession Rules and Leadership Rents," CESifo Working Paper Series 1534, CESifo Group Munich.
  5. Bester, Helmut & Konrad, Kai A., 2003. "Easy targets and the timing of conflict," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Market Processes and Governance SP II 2003-28, Social Science Research Center Berlin (WZB).
  6. Mattias Polborn & Zaruhi Sahakyan, 2007. "Dynamic Lobbying Conflicts," Economics of Governance, Springer, vol. 8(3), pages 263-279, May.
  7. Midlarsky Manus I. & Midlarsky Elizabeth R., 2013. "When the Weak Roar: Understanding Protracted Intrastate Conflict," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 19(3), pages 321-331, December.
  8. Roland Hodler & Hadi Yektas, 2013. "Wars of Conquest and Independence," CESifo Working Paper Series 4282, CESifo Group Munich.
  9. Stergios Skaperdas, 2006. "Bargaining Versus Fighting," Working Papers 060705, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics.
  10. Bester, Helmut & Konrad, Kai A., 2003. "Easy targets and the timing of conflict," Center for European, Governance and Economic Development Research Discussion Papers 21, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
  11. E. Feess & Gerd Muehlheusser & M. Walzl, 2008. "Unfair contests," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 93(3), pages 267-291, 04.

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