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Utku Ozmen

Personal Details

First Name:Utku
Middle Name:
Last Name:Ozmen
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:poz60
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]
Terminal Degree:2022 İktisat Bölümü; İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi; TOBB Ekonomi ve Teknoloji Üniversitesi (from RePEc Genealogy)

Affiliation

Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası

Ankara, Turkey
http://www.tcmb.gov.tr/
RePEc:edi:tcmgvtr (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles

Working papers

  1. Umit Koc & Fethi Ogunc & Mustafa Utku Ozmen, 2021. "The Role of Expectations in the Inflation Process in Turkey: Have the Dynamics Changed Recently?," Working Papers 2102, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  2. Okan Eren & Suleyman Hilmi Kal & Mustafa Utku Ozmen, 2020. "Sebze ve Meyvede Tarladan Tuketiciye Fiyat Farkini Belirleyen Faktorler," CBT Research Notes in Economics 2016, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  3. Dilara Ertug & Pinar Ozlu & M. Utku Ozmen & Caglar Yunculer, 2020. "The Role of Imported Inputs in Pass-through Dynamics," Working Papers 2003, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  4. M. Koray Kalafatcilar & M. Utku Ozmen, 2019. "Demographic Transition and Inflation in Emerging Economies," Working Papers 1931, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  5. Seyit Mümin Cilasun & Rauf Gönenç & Mustafa Utku Özmen & Mehmed Zahid Samancıoǧlu & Fatih Yilmaz & Volker Ziemann, 2019. "Upgrading business investment in Turkey," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1532, OECD Publishing.
  6. Fethi Ogunc & Mustafa Utku Ozmen & Cagri Sarikaya, 2018. "Inflation Dynamics in Turkey from a Bayesian Perspective," Working Papers 1810, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  7. Okan Eren & Suleyman Hilmi Kal & Mustafa Utku Ozmen, 2017. "Turkiye’de Gida Enflasyonunun Belirleyicileri," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1715, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  8. Mustafa Utku Ozmen & Canan Yuksel Yucel, 2017. "Turkiye'de Yakin Donemde Kira Enflasyonunu Etkileyen Faktorler," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1707, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  9. Mustafa Utku Ozmen & Meltem Topaloglu, 2017. "Disaggregated Evidence for Exchange Rate and Import Price Pass-through in the Light of Identification Issues, Aggregation Bias and Heterogeneity," Working Papers 1708, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  10. Mustafa Utku Ozmen, 2016. "In Pursuit of Understanding Markups in Restaurant Services Prices," Working Papers 1602, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  11. M. Utku Ozmen & Erdal Yilmaz, 2016. "Co-movement of Exchange Rates with Interest Rate Differential, Risk Premium and FED Policy in �Fragile Economies�," Working Papers 1621, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  12. Olcay Yucel Culha & Mustafa Utku Ozmen & Erdal Yilmaz, 2015. "Petrol Fiyatlarinin Ihracat Uzerindeki Etkisi," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1510, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  13. Özmen, M. Utku & Sevinç, Orhun, 2015. "Price rigidity in Turkey: evidence from micro data," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 66507, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  14. Oguz Atuk & Mustafa Utku Ozmen, 2015. "Firm Strategy, Consumer Behavior and Taxation in Turkish Tobacco Market," Working Papers 1518, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  15. Ozgur Ozel & Mustafa Utku Ozmen & Erdal Yilmaz, 2015. "Importance of Foreign Ownership and Staggered Adjustment of Capital Outflows," Working Papers 1531, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  16. Mustafa Utku ozmen & Cagri Sarikaya, 2014. "Enflasyonun Cikti Acigi ve Kredilere Duyarliligi," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1417, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  17. Oguz Atuk & Cem Aysoy & Mustafa Utku Ozmen & Cagri Sarikaya, 2014. "Turkiye�de Enflasyonun Is Cevrimlerine Duyarliligi : Cikti Acigina Duyarli TUFE Alt Gruplarinin Saptanmasi," Working Papers 1437, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  18. Fatih Akcelik & Mustafa Utku Ozmen, 2014. "Asymmetric Exchange Rate and Oil Price Pass-Through in Turkish Fuel Oil Market," Working Papers 1431, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  19. Mustafa Utku Ozmen & Cagri Sarikaya, 2014. "Enflasyonda Ramazan Etkisi," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1414, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  20. Oguz Atuk & M. Utku Ozmen & Orhun Sevinc, 2013. "Mevsimlik Urunler ve Fiyat Oynakligi : Mevsimlik Urunlerin Fiyat Endeksine Dahil Edilmesi," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1317, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  21. Yusuf Soner Baskaya & M. Utku Ozmen, 2013. "Turkiye’de Asgari Ucret–UFE Enflasyonu Iliskisi Uzerine Ampirik Bir Analiz," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1323, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  22. Oguz Atuk & Fethi Ogunc & M. Utku Ozmen & Cagri Sarikaya, 2013. "Turkiye’de Uretici ve Tuketici Fiyatlari Arasindaki Iliski Uzerine Bir Degerlendirme," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1321, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  23. M. Utku Ozmen & Orhun Sevinc, 2012. "Fiyat Degisimlerinin Yapisi ve Enflasyon," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1205, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  24. M. Utku Ozmen & Orhun Sevinc, 2012. "Mikro Verilerinden Yuksek Frekansli Fiyat Katiligi ve Enflasyon Egilimi Gostergeleri," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1217, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  25. Kurmas Akdogan & Selen Baser & Meltem Gulenay Chadwick & Dilara Ertug & Timur Hulagu & Sevim Kosem & Fethi Ogunc & M. Utku Ozmen & Necati Tekatli, 2012. "Short-Term Inflation Forecasting Models For Turkey and a Forecast Combination Analysis," Working Papers 1209, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  26. Oguz Atuk & M. Utku Ozmen & Orhun Sevinc, 2012. "Mevsimlik Urunler ve Fiyat Oynakligi : Guclu Mevsimsellik ve Ongorulemeyen Oynaklik," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1216, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  27. Oguz Atuk & Cem Cebi & M. Utku Ozmen, 2011. "Tutun Urunlerinde Ozel Tuketim Vergisi Uygulamasi," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1116, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  28. H. Cagri Akkoyun & Oguz Atuk & N. Alpay Kocak & M. Utku Ozmen, 2011. "Filtering Short Term Fluctuations in Inflation Analysis," Working Papers 1120, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  29. Oguz Atuk & M. Utku Ozmen & Necati Tekatli, 2011. "Cekirdek Enflasyon Gostergelerinin Kullanimi Uzerine Bir Degerlendirme," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1101, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  30. Oğuz Atuk & Mustafa Utku Özmen, 2009. "Design and evaluation of core inflation measures for Turkey," IFC Working Papers 3, Bank for International Settlements.

Articles

  1. Özmen, M. Utku & Yücel, M. Eray, 2023. "Drivers of Popularity of Online Information: Content, Context and Psychological Processes," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 14(4), pages 445-464, October.
  2. Özmen, M. Utku & Tuğan, Mustafa, 2022. "Heterogeneity in sectoral price and quantity responses to shocks to monetary policy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  3. Özgür Özel & Mustafa Utku Özmen & Erdal Yılmaz, 2021. "Foreign investor dominance and low domestic investor absorption capacity: Implications on capital outflows," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 4361-4371, July.
  4. M. Koray Kalafatcılar & M. Utku Özmen, 2021. "Demographic Transition and Inflation in Emerging Economies," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 59(1), pages 51-69, January.
  5. Mustafa Utku Özmen, 2020. "In Pursuit Of Understanding Markups In Restaurant Services Prices," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 65(06), pages 1423-1437, December.
  6. M. Utku Özmen & Eray Yucel, 2019. "Handling of online information by users: evidence from TED talks," Behaviour and Information Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(12), pages 1309-1323, December.
  7. M. Utku Özmen, 2019. "Economic complexity and sovereign risk premia," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(3), pages 1714-1726.
  8. M. Utku Ozmen & M. Koray Kalafatcilar & Erdal Yilmaz, 2019. "The impact of income distribution on house prices," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 19(2), pages 45-58.
  9. M. Utku Özmen, 2018. "Cross-country variation in the share of national movies in total box office revenue," Journal of Media Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(3-4), pages 117-132, October.
  10. Oguz Atuk & Mustafa Utku Özmen & Cagri Sarikaya, 2018. "A Disaggregated Analysis of the Impact of Output Gap on Inflation and Implications for Monetary Policy," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2018(6), pages 668-683.
  11. Utku Özmen, Mustafa & Akçelik, Fatih, 2017. "Asymmetric exchange rate and oil price pass-through in motor fuel market: A microeconometric approach," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 64-75.
  12. Özmen, M. Utku & Yılmaz, Erdal, 2017. "Co-movement of exchange rates with interest rate differential, risk premium and FED policy in “fragile economies”," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 173-188.
  13. Olcay Y. Çulha & M. Utku Özmen & Erdal Yılmaz, 2016. "Impact of oil price changes on Turkey’s exports," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(9), pages 637-641, June.
  14. M. Utku Özmen & Orhun Sevinç, 2016. "Price Rigidity in Turkey: Evidence from Micro Data," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(4), pages 1029-1045, April.
  15. Mustafa Koray Kalafatcilar & Mustafa utku Ozmen, 2015. "Assessment of Post-2003 Crude Oil Price Hike Through Wavelet Coherency Analysis," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 15(1), pages 19-38.
  16. Zelal Aktaş & Altan Aldan & M. Utku Özmen, 2014. "Import surveillance and over-invoicing imports: the case of Turkey," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 17(4), pages 360-373, October.
  17. Öğünç, Fethi & Akdoğan, Kurmaş & Başer, Selen & Chadwick, Meltem Gülenay & Ertuğ, Dilara & Hülagü, Timur & Kösem, Sevim & Özmen, Mustafa Utku & Tekatlı, Necati, 2013. "Short-term inflation forecasting models for Turkey and a forecast combination analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 312-325.
  18. Oguz Atuk & M. Utku Ozmen & Orhun Sevinc, 2013. "Treatment of Seasonal Products and CPI Volatility," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 13(1), pages 51-82.
  19. Oğuz ATUK & M. Utku ÖZMEN & Necati TEKATLI, 2012. "How does the performance of core inflation indicators differ in less stable times?," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 27(313), pages 09-34.
  20. H. Çağrı AKKOYUN & Oğuz ATUK & N. Alpay KOÇAK & M. Utku ÖZMEN, 2012. "Filtering short term fluctuations in inflation analysis," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 27(319), pages 31-52.
  21. Ozmen M. Utku, 2012. "Foreign Player Quota, Experience and Efficiency of Basketball Players," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 1-18, March.
  22. Oğuz ATUK & Mustafa Utku ÖZMEN, 2009. "A new approach to measuring core inflation for Turkey: SATRIM," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 24(285), pages 73-88.

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. Umit Koc & Fethi Ogunc & Mustafa Utku Ozmen, 2021. "The Role of Expectations in the Inflation Process in Turkey: Have the Dynamics Changed Recently?," Working Papers 2102, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Ulug & Sayım Işık & Mehmet Mert, 2023. "The effectiveness of ultra-loose monetary policy in a high inflation economy: a time-varying causality analysis for Turkey," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 2855-2887, August.
    2. Narayan, Seema & Cirikisuva, Salote & Naivutu, Revoni, 2023. "A hybrid NKPC inflation model for the small Island state of Fiji," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 873-886.

  2. Seyit Mümin Cilasun & Rauf Gönenç & Mustafa Utku Özmen & Mehmed Zahid Samancıoǧlu & Fatih Yilmaz & Volker Ziemann, 2019. "Upgrading business investment in Turkey," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1532, OECD Publishing.

    Cited by:

    1. İbrahim Yarba & Z. Nuray Güner, 2020. "Leverage dynamics: Do financial development and government leverage matter? Evidence from a major developing economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(5), pages 2473-2507, November.

  3. Fethi Ogunc & Mustafa Utku Ozmen & Cagri Sarikaya, 2018. "Inflation Dynamics in Turkey from a Bayesian Perspective," Working Papers 1810, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

    Cited by:

    1. Havva Koç, 2023. "The Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: An Application For Türkiye," EKOIST Journal of Econometrics and Statistics, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 0(39), pages 129-146, December.

  4. Özmen, M. Utku & Sevinç, Orhun, 2015. "Price rigidity in Turkey: evidence from micro data," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 66507, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

    Cited by:

    1. Oguz Atuk & Cem Aysoy & Mustafa Utku Ozmen & Cagri Sarikaya, 2014. "Turkiye�de Enflasyonun Is Cevrimlerine Duyarliligi : Cikti Acigina Duyarli TUFE Alt Gruplarinin Saptanmasi," Working Papers 1437, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    2. Utku Özmen, Mustafa & Akçelik, Fatih, 2017. "Asymmetric exchange rate and oil price pass-through in motor fuel market: A microeconometric approach," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 64-75.
    3. Orhun Sevinc, 2012. "Enflasyon Ana Egiliminin Temel Bilesenler Analiziyle Incelenmesi," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1208, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    4. M. Utku Ozmen & Orhun Sevinc, 2012. "Fiyat Degisimlerinin Yapisi ve Enflasyon," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1205, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    5. Mustafa Utku Özmen, 2020. "In Pursuit Of Understanding Markups In Restaurant Services Prices," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 65(06), pages 1423-1437, December.
    6. M. Utku Ozmen & Orhun Sevinc, 2012. "Mikro Verilerinden Yuksek Frekansli Fiyat Katiligi ve Enflasyon Egilimi Gostergeleri," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1217, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    7. Yılmaz, Yusuf Ömür & Çiçekçi, Cumhur, 2024. "Misspecified expectations in an open economy," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 65-85.
    8. Oguz Atuk & M. Utku Ozmen & Orhun Sevinc, 2012. "Mevsimlik Urunler ve Fiyat Oynakligi : Guclu Mevsimsellik ve Ongorulemeyen Oynaklik," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1216, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    9. Yilmazkuday, Hakan, 2022. "Unequal Exchange Rate Pass-Through Across Income Groups," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(3), pages 682-725, April.
    10. Oguz Atuk & Mustafa Utku Özmen & Cagri Sarikaya, 2018. "A Disaggregated Analysis of the Impact of Output Gap on Inflation and Implications for Monetary Policy," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2018(6), pages 668-683.
    11. Joseph, Andreas & Kalamara, Eleni & Kapetanios, George & Potjagailo, Galina & Chakraborty, Chiranjit, 2021. "Forecasting UK inflation bottom up," Bank of England working papers 915, Bank of England, revised 27 Sep 2022.

  5. Oguz Atuk & Mustafa Utku Ozmen, 2015. "Firm Strategy, Consumer Behavior and Taxation in Turkish Tobacco Market," Working Papers 1518, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

    Cited by:

    1. Cem Cakmakli & Selva Demiralp & Sevcan Yesiltas & Muhammed A. Yildirim, 2018. "How Do Indirect Taxes on Tobacco Products Affect Inflation?," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1811, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.

  6. Fatih Akcelik & Mustafa Utku Ozmen, 2014. "Asymmetric Exchange Rate and Oil Price Pass-Through in Turkish Fuel Oil Market," Working Papers 1431, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

    Cited by:

    1. Kırca, Mustafa & Canbay, Şerif & Pirali, Kerem, 2020. "Is the relationship between oil-gas prices index and economic growth in Turkey permanent?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).

  7. Yusuf Soner Baskaya & M. Utku Ozmen, 2013. "Turkiye’de Asgari Ucret–UFE Enflasyonu Iliskisi Uzerine Ampirik Bir Analiz," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1323, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

    Cited by:

    1. Selen Başer Andiç & Hande Küçük & Fethi Öğünç, 2015. "Inflation Dynamics in Turkey: In Pursuit of a Domestic Cost Measure," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(2), pages 418-431, March.
    2. Hatice Burcu Gurcihan Yunculer & Fethi Ogunc, 2015. "Firma Maliyet Yapisi ve Maliyet Kaynakli Enflasyon Baskilari," Working Papers 1503, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

  8. M. Utku Ozmen & Orhun Sevinc, 2012. "Fiyat Degisimlerinin Yapisi ve Enflasyon," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1205, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

    Cited by:

    1. Mustafa Utku Ozmen & Cagri Sarikaya, 2014. "Enflasyonda Ramazan Etkisi," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1414, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

  9. Kurmas Akdogan & Selen Baser & Meltem Gulenay Chadwick & Dilara Ertug & Timur Hulagu & Sevim Kosem & Fethi Ogunc & M. Utku Ozmen & Necati Tekatli, 2012. "Short-Term Inflation Forecasting Models For Turkey and a Forecast Combination Analysis," Working Papers 1209, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

    Cited by:

    1. Duncan, Roberto & Martínez-García, Enrique, 2019. "New perspectives on forecasting inflation in emerging market economies: An empirical assessment," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1008-1031.
    2. Shahzad Ahmad & Farooq Pasha, 2015. "A Pragmatic Model for Monetary Policy Analysis I: The Case of Pakistan," SBP Research Bulletin, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department, vol. 11, pages 1-42.
    3. Meri Papavangjeli, 2019. "Forecasting the Albanian short-term inflation through a Bayesian VAR model," IHEID Working Papers 16-2019, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies, revised 09 Oct 2019.
    4. Muhammad Nadim Hanif & Muhammad Jahanzeb Malik, 2015. "Evaluating the Performance of Inflation Forecasting Models of Pakistan," SBP Research Bulletin, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department, vol. 11, pages 43-78.
    5. Afees A. Salisu & Kazeem Isah, 2017. "Predicting US CPI-Inflation in the presence of asymmetries, persistence, endogeneity, and conditional heteroscedasticity," Working Papers 026, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    6. Christian Glocker & Serguei Kaniovski, 2020. "Macroeconometric Forecasting Using a Cluster of Dynamic Factor Models," WIFO Working Papers 614, WIFO.
    7. Carrera, Cesar & Ledesma, Alan, 2015. "Proyección de la inflación agregada con modelos de vectores autorregresivos bayesianos," Working Papers 2015-003, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    8. Cesar Carrera & Alan Ledesma, 2015. "Aggregate Inflation Forecast with Bayesian Vector Autoregressive Models," Working Papers 50, Peruvian Economic Association.
    9. Sergiy Nikolaychuk & Yurii Sholomytskyi, 2015. "Using Macroeconomic Models for Monetary Policy in Ukraine," Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, National Bank of Ukraine, issue 233, pages 54-64, September.
    10. Nyoni, Thabani & Nathaniel, Solomon Prince, 2018. "Modeling rates of inflation in Nigeria: an application of ARMA, ARIMA and GARCH models," MPRA Paper 91351, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Fayyaz Hussain & Zafar Hayat, 2016. "Do Inflation Expectations Matter for Inflation Forecastability: Evidence from Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 55(3), pages 211-225.
    12. Krzysztof DRACHAL, 2020. "Forecasting the Inflation Rate in Poland and U.S. Using Dynamic Model Averaging (DMA) and Google Queries," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 18-34, July.
    13. Zeyyad Mandalinci, 2015. "Forecasting Inflation in Emerging Markets: An Evaluation of Alternative Models," CReMFi Discussion Papers 3, CReMFi, School of Economics and Finance, QMUL.
    14. Magdalena Petrovska & Gani Ramadani & Nikola Naumovski & Biljana Jovanovic, 2017. "Forecasting Macedonian Inflation: Evaluation of different models for short-term forecasting," Working Papers 2017-06, National Bank of the Republic of North Macedonia.
    15. Barakchian , Seyed Mahdi & Bayat , Saeed & Karami , Hooman, 2013. "Common Factors of CPI Sub-aggregates and Forecast of Inflation," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 8(4), pages 1-17, October.
    16. Xiaojie Xu, 2020. "Corn Cash Price Forecasting," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(4), pages 1297-1320, August.
    17. Kurmaş Akdoğan, 2015. "Asymmetric Behaviour of Inflation around the Target in Inflation-Targeting Countries," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 62(5), pages 486-504, November.
    18. Chronis, George A., 2016. "Modelling the extreme variability of the US Consumer Price Index inflation with a stable non-symmetric distribution," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 271-277.
    19. Afees A. Salisu & Kazeem Isah, 2017. "Predicting US Inflation: Evidence from a New Approach," Working Papers 039, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    20. Scarpel, Rodrigo Arnaldo, 2015. "An integrated mixture of local experts model for demand forecasting," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 35-42.

  10. Oguz Atuk & M. Utku Ozmen & Orhun Sevinc, 2012. "Mevsimlik Urunler ve Fiyat Oynakligi : Guclu Mevsimsellik ve Ongorulemeyen Oynaklik," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1216, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

    Cited by:

    1. Oguz Atuk & M. Utku Ozmen & Orhun Sevinc, 2013. "Mevsimlik Urunler ve Fiyat Oynakligi : Mevsimlik Urunlerin Fiyat Endeksine Dahil Edilmesi," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1317, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    2. Oguz Atuk & Fethi Ogunc & M. Utku Ozmen & Cagri Sarikaya, 2013. "Turkiye’de Uretici ve Tuketici Fiyatlari Arasindaki Iliski Uzerine Bir Degerlendirme," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1321, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

  11. Oguz Atuk & Cem Cebi & M. Utku Ozmen, 2011. "Tutun Urunlerinde Ozel Tuketim Vergisi Uygulamasi," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1116, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

    Cited by:

    1. Cem Cakmakli & Selva Demiralp & Sevcan Yesiltas & Muhammed A. Yildirim, 2018. "How Do Indirect Taxes on Tobacco Products Affect Inflation?," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1811, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.

  12. H. Cagri Akkoyun & Oguz Atuk & N. Alpay Kocak & M. Utku Ozmen, 2011. "Filtering Short Term Fluctuations in Inflation Analysis," Working Papers 1120, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

    Cited by:

    1. Kufenko, Vadim, 2016. "Spurious periodicities in cliometric series: Simultaneous testing," Violette Reihe: Schriftenreihe des Promotionsschwerpunkts "Globalisierung und Beschäftigung" 48/2016, University of Hohenheim, Carl von Ossietzky University Oldenburg, Evangelisches Studienwerk.
    2. Kurmas Akdogan & Selen Baser & Meltem Gulenay Chadwick & Dilara Ertug & Timur Hulagu & Sevim Kosem & Fethi Ogunc & M. Utku Ozmen & Necati Tekatli, 2012. "Short-Term Inflation Forecasting Models For Turkey and a Forecast Combination Analysis," Working Papers 1209, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    3. Huseyin Cagri Akkoyun & Bahar Sen Dogan & Mahmut Gunay, 2011. "Turkiye Ekonomisi Is Cevrimlerinin Kuresel Ekonomi ile Iliskisi," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1119, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

  13. Oğuz Atuk & Mustafa Utku Özmen, 2009. "Design and evaluation of core inflation measures for Turkey," IFC Working Papers 3, Bank for International Settlements.

    Cited by:

    1. M. Utku Özmen & Orhun Sevinç, 2016. "Price Rigidity in Turkey: Evidence from Micro Data," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(4), pages 1029-1045, April.
    2. Orhun Sevinc, 2012. "Enflasyon Ana Egiliminin Temel Bilesenler Analiziyle Incelenmesi," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1208, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    3. Oguz Atuk & M. Utku Ozmen & Necati Tekatli, 2011. "Cekirdek Enflasyon Gostergelerinin Kullanimi Uzerine Bir Degerlendirme," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1101, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

Articles

  1. M. Utku Ozmen & M. Koray Kalafatcilar & Erdal Yilmaz, 2019. "The impact of income distribution on house prices," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 19(2), pages 45-58.

    Cited by:

    1. Olga Miroshnichenko & Elena Iakovleva & Natalia Voronova, 2022. "Banking Sector Profitability: Does Household Income Matter?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-19, March.
    2. Zhao, Qingbin & Li, Guoqiang & Gu, Xinhua & Lei, Chun Kwok, 2021. "Inequality hikes, saving surges, and housing bubbles," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 349-363.
    3. Marilena Mironiuc & Elena Ionașcu & Maria Carmen Huian & Alina Țaran, 2021. "Reflecting the Sustainability Dimensions on the Residential Real Estate Prices," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-28, March.
    4. Edmond Berisha & John Meszaros & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Income Inequality and House Prices across US States," Working Papers 202134, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Chen, Jinzhi & Song, Lu & Wen, Xingchun & Wu, Huan, 2024. "Credit easing, income gap, and housing price fluctuation," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 490-502.
    6. Abebe Hailemariam & Sefa Awaworyi Churchill & Russell Smyth & Kingsley Tetteh Baako, 2021. "Income inequality and housing prices in the very long‐run," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 88(1), pages 295-321, July.

  2. M. Utku Özmen, 2018. "Cross-country variation in the share of national movies in total box office revenue," Journal of Media Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(3-4), pages 117-132, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Shin, Sunny Y. & McKenzie, Jordi & Crosby, Paul, 2024. "Cultural affinity and international trade in motion pictures: Empirical evidence using categorised internet search activity," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).

  3. Oguz Atuk & Mustafa Utku Özmen & Cagri Sarikaya, 2018. "A Disaggregated Analysis of the Impact of Output Gap on Inflation and Implications for Monetary Policy," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2018(6), pages 668-683.

    Cited by:

    1. Burhan Biçer & Almila Burgac Cil, 2023. "Symmetric and Asymmetric Dynamics of Output Gap and Inflation Relation for Turkish Economy," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2023(5), pages 520-549.

  4. Utku Özmen, Mustafa & Akçelik, Fatih, 2017. "Asymmetric exchange rate and oil price pass-through in motor fuel market: A microeconometric approach," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 64-75.

    Cited by:

    1. Balashova, Svetlana & Serletis, Apostolos, 2020. "Oil prices shocks and the Russian economy," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 21(C).

  5. Özmen, M. Utku & Yılmaz, Erdal, 2017. "Co-movement of exchange rates with interest rate differential, risk premium and FED policy in “fragile economies”," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 173-188.

    Cited by:

    1. Tursoy, Turgut & Mar'i, Muhammad, 2020. "Lead-lag and relationship between money growth and inflation in Turkey: New evidence from a wavelet analysis," MPRA Paper 99595, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Oguzhan Cepni & Yavuz Selim Hacihasanoglu & Muhammed Hasan Yilmaz, 2020. "Credit decomposition and economic activity in Turkey: A wavelet-based approach," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 20(3), pages 109-131.
    3. Jun Wei, 2020. "Optimal Combination of Currency Assets and Algorithm Simulation under Exchange Rate Risk," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2020, pages 1-10, November.
    4. Dinci J. Penzin & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Analysis of the asymmetric response of exchange rate to interest rate differentials: Evidence from the MINT countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(2), pages 938-943.
    5. Andrea Carolina Vargas-Páez & Carlos David Ardila-Dueñas, 2021. "Efecto del riesgo de tipo de cambio en la rentabilidad de los bonos soberanos en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 1165, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    6. Bilson, Chris & Brailsford, Tim & Rajaguru, Gulasekaran, 2022. "Covered interest rate parity deviations in the Asia-Pacific," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    7. Liu, Yiye & Han, Liyan & Wu, You, 2022. "Can skewness predict CNY-CNH spread?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    8. Firouzi, Shahrokh & Wang, Xiangning, 2021. "The interrelationship between order flow, exchange rate, and the role of American economic news," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    9. Chadwick, Meltem Gulenay, 2019. "Dependence of the “Fragile Five” and “Troubled Ten” emerging market financial systems on US monetary policy and monetary policy uncertainty," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 251-268.
    10. Chen, Liming & Du, Ziqing & Hu, Zhihao, 2020. "Impact of economic policy uncertainty on exchange rate volatility of China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    11. Nazlioglu, Saban & Kucukkaplan, Ilhan & Kilic, Emre & Altuntas, Mehmet, 2022. "Financial market integration of emerging markets: Heavy tails, structural shifts, nonlinearity, and asymmetric persistence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).

  6. Olcay Y. Çulha & M. Utku Özmen & Erdal Yılmaz, 2016. "Impact of oil price changes on Turkey’s exports," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(9), pages 637-641, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Umar Bala & Lee Chin & Ghulam Mustafa, 2022. "Threshold Effects of Oil Price and Oil Export on Trade Balance in Africa," Journal of Economic Impact, Science Impact Publishers, vol. 4(1), pages 14-27.

  7. M. Utku Özmen & Orhun Sevinç, 2016. "Price Rigidity in Turkey: Evidence from Micro Data," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(4), pages 1029-1045, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  8. Mustafa Koray Kalafatcilar & Mustafa utku Ozmen, 2015. "Assessment of Post-2003 Crude Oil Price Hike Through Wavelet Coherency Analysis," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 15(1), pages 19-38.

    Cited by:

    1. M. Utku Ozmen & Erdal Yilmaz, 2016. "Co-movement of Exchange Rates with Interest Rate Differential, Risk Premium and FED Policy in �Fragile Economies�," Working Papers 1621, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    2. Özmen, M. Utku & Yılmaz, Erdal, 2017. "Co-movement of exchange rates with interest rate differential, risk premium and FED policy in “fragile economies”," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 173-188.

  9. Zelal Aktaş & Altan Aldan & M. Utku Özmen, 2014. "Import surveillance and over-invoicing imports: the case of Turkey," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 17(4), pages 360-373, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Iwona Markowicz & Paweł Baran, 2022. "Duration of Trade Relationships of Polish Enterprises on the Intra-Community Market: The Case of Vehicles and Automotive Parts Trade," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-17, March.

  10. Öğünç, Fethi & Akdoğan, Kurmaş & Başer, Selen & Chadwick, Meltem Gülenay & Ertuğ, Dilara & Hülagü, Timur & Kösem, Sevim & Özmen, Mustafa Utku & Tekatlı, Necati, 2013. "Short-term inflation forecasting models for Turkey and a forecast combination analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 312-325.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  11. Oguz Atuk & M. Utku Ozmen & Orhun Sevinc, 2013. "Treatment of Seasonal Products and CPI Volatility," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 13(1), pages 51-82.

    Cited by:

    1. Oguz Atuk & M. Utku Ozmen & Orhun Sevinc, 2012. "Mevsimlik Urunler ve Fiyat Oynakligi : Guclu Mevsimsellik ve Ongorulemeyen Oynaklik," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1216, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

  12. H. Çağrı AKKOYUN & Oğuz ATUK & N. Alpay KOÇAK & M. Utku ÖZMEN, 2012. "Filtering short term fluctuations in inflation analysis," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 27(319), pages 31-52.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  13. Ozmen M. Utku, 2012. "Foreign Player Quota, Experience and Efficiency of Basketball Players," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 1-18, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Page Garritt L. & Barney Bradley J. & McGuire Aaron T., 2013. "Effect of position, usage rate, and per game minutes played on NBA player production curves," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 9(4), pages 337-345, December.
    2. Marco Sandri & Paola Zuccolotto & Marica Manisera, 2020. "Markov switching modelling of shooting performance variability and teammate interactions in basketball," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 69(5), pages 1337-1356, November.

  14. Oğuz ATUK & Mustafa Utku ÖZMEN, 2009. "A new approach to measuring core inflation for Turkey: SATRIM," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 24(285), pages 73-88.

    Cited by:

    1. Oguz Atuk & M. Utku Ozmen & Necati Tekatli, 2011. "Cekirdek Enflasyon Gostergelerinin Kullanimi Uzerine Bir Degerlendirme," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1101, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    2. Kulaksizoglu, Tamer, 2015. "Measuring the Core Inflation in Turkey with the SM-AR Model," MPRA Paper 62653, University Library of Munich, Germany.

More information

Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.

Statistics

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Co-authorship network on CollEc

Featured entries

This author is featured on the following reading lists, publication compilations, Wikipedia, or ReplicationWiki entries:
  1. Turkish Economists

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 27 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-ARA: MENA - Middle East and North Africa (23) 2009-04-18 2011-12-13 2012-03-28 2012-03-28 2013-08-31 2013-09-26 2014-09-25 2014-11-12 2015-10-04 2015-10-04 2015-10-04 2015-10-04 2016-07-30 2016-07-30 2016-12-11 2018-02-05 2018-02-05 2018-02-05 2019-01-21 2019-02-18 2020-02-24 2020-12-14 2021-02-22. Author is listed
  2. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (15) 2009-04-18 2011-10-15 2012-08-23 2014-09-25 2015-10-04 2015-10-04 2015-10-04 2016-07-30 2016-07-30 2018-02-05 2019-01-21 2019-02-18 2020-01-13 2020-02-24 2021-02-22. Author is listed
  3. NEP-CWA: Central and Western Asia (10) 2009-04-18 2011-12-13 2014-09-25 2014-11-12 2015-10-04 2015-10-04 2015-10-04 2015-10-04 2016-07-30 2016-12-11. Author is listed
  4. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (7) 2009-04-18 2012-03-28 2016-11-06 2018-02-05 2019-02-18 2020-02-24 2021-02-22. Author is listed
  5. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (2) 2009-04-18 2011-10-15
  6. NEP-ENE: Energy Economics (2) 2014-09-25 2015-10-04
  7. NEP-HME: Heterodox Microeconomics (2) 2011-12-13 2016-12-11
  8. NEP-OPM: Open Economy Macroeconomics (2) 2016-11-06 2020-02-24
  9. NEP-AGE: Economics of Ageing (1) 2020-01-13
  10. NEP-CFN: Corporate Finance (1) 2019-01-21
  11. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (1) 2011-10-15
  12. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (1) 2012-03-28
  13. NEP-SBM: Small Business Management (1) 2019-01-21

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