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The conditional autoregressive wishart model for multivariate stock market volatility

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Márcio Gomes Pinto Garcia & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros & Francisco Eduardo de Luna e Almeida Santos, 2014. "Economic gains of realized volatility in the Brazilian stock market," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, vol. 12(3), pages 319-349.
  2. Bauwens, Luc & Xu, Yongdeng, 2023. "DCC- and DECO-HEAVY: Multivariate GARCH models based on realized variances and correlations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 938-955.
  3. Bauwens, Luc & Braione, Manuela & Storti, Giuseppe, 2017. "A dynamic component model for forecasting high-dimensional realized covariance matrices," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 1(C), pages 40-61.
  4. Asai, Manabu & Gupta, Rangan & McAleer, Michael, 2020. "Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 933-948.
  5. Golosnoy, Vasyl & Gribisch, Bastian & Seifert, Miriam Isabel, 2019. "Exponential smoothing of realized portfolio weights," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 222-237.
  6. Anne Opschoor & André Lucas, 2019. "Time-varying tail behavior for realized kernels," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 19-051/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
  7. Virbickaitė, Audronė & Lopes, Hedibert F. & Zaharieva, Martina Danielova, 2025. "Multivariate dynamic mixed-frequency density pooling for financial forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 1184-1198.
  8. Asai Manabu & So Mike K. P., 2023. "Realized BEKK-CAW Models," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(1), pages 49-77, January.
  9. Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Costola, Michele & Iacopini, Matteo, 2024. "COVID-19 spreading in financial networks: A semiparametric matrix regression model," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 113-131.
  10. BAUWENS, Luc & BRAIONE, Manuela & STORTI, Giuseppe, 2016. "Multiplicative Conditional Correlation Models for Realized Covariance Matrices," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2016041, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  11. Bauwens, Luc & Dzuverovic, Emilija & Hafner, Christian, 2024. "Asymmetric Models for Realized Covariances," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2024024, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  12. Fengler, Matthias R. & Okhrin, Ostap, 2016. "Managing risk with a realized copula parameter," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 131-152.
  13. Roland Weigand, 2014. "Matrix Box-Cox Models for Multivariate Realized Volatility," Working Papers 144, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE).
  14. Bastian Gribisch, 2018. "A latent dynamic factor approach to forecasting multivariate stock market volatility," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 621-651, September.
  15. Asai, Manabu & McAleer, Michael, 2015. "Forecasting co-volatilities via factor models with asymmetry and long memory in realized covariance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 189(2), pages 251-262.
  16. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 2013. "Financial Risk Measurement for Financial Risk Management," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1127-1220, Elsevier.
  17. Ziyi Zhang & Wai Keung Li, 2019. "An Experiment on Autoregressive and Threshold Autoregressive Models with Non-Gaussian Error with Application to Realized Volatility," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-11, June.
  18. Tobias Hartl & Roland Jucknewitz, 2023. "Multivariate Fractional Components Analysis," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(3), pages 880-914.
  19. Jiayuan Zhou & Feiyu Jiang & Ke Zhu & Wai Keung Li, 2019. "Time series models for realized covariance matrices based on the matrix-F distribution," Papers 1903.12077, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2020.
  20. Stanislav Anatolyev & Nikita Kobotaev, 2018. "Modeling and forecasting realized covariance matrices with accounting for leverage," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(2), pages 114-139, February.
  21. Caporin, Massimiliano & Velo, Gabriel G., 2015. "Realized range volatility forecasting: Dynamic features and predictive variables," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 98-112.
  22. Qu, Hui & Zhang, Yi, 2022. "Asymmetric multivariate HAR models for realized covariance matrix: A study based on volatility timing strategies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
  23. Laura Capera Romero & Anne Opschoor, 2025. "Revisiting EWMA in High-Frequency Portfolio Optimization: A Comparative Assessment," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 25-041/III, Tinbergen Institute.
  24. Dark, Jonathan, 2024. "An adaptive long memory conditional correlation model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  25. Rafael Alves & Diego S. de Brito & Marcelo C. Medeiros & Ruy M. Ribeiro, 2023. "Forecasting Large Realized Covariance Matrices: The Benefits of Factor Models and Shrinkage," Papers 2303.16151, arXiv.org.
  26. Jin, Xin & Maheu, John M. & Yang, Qiao, 2022. "Infinite Markov pooling of predictive distributions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 228(2), pages 302-321.
  27. Vogler, Jan & Golosnoy, Vasyl, 2023. "Unrestricted maximum likelihood estimation of multivariate realized volatility models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 304(3), pages 1063-1074.
  28. Jin, Xin & Maheu, John M., 2016. "Bayesian semiparametric modeling of realized covariance matrices," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(1), pages 19-39.
  29. Ralf Becker & Adam Clements & Robert O'Neill, 2018. "A Multivariate Kernel Approach to Forecasting the Variance Covariance of Stock Market Returns," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-27, February.
  30. Ilya Archakov & Peter Reinhard Hansen, 2021. "A New Parametrization of Correlation Matrices," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(4), pages 1699-1715, July.
  31. Golosnoy, Vasyl & Gribisch, Bastian, 2022. "Modeling and forecasting realized portfolio weights," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
  32. Wenjing Wang & Minjing Tao, 2020. "Forecasting Realized Volatility Matrix With Copula-Based Models," Papers 2002.08849, arXiv.org.
  33. Golosnoy, Vasyl & Schmid, Wolfgang & Seifert, Miriam Isabel & Lazariv, Taras, 2020. "Statistical inferences for realized portfolio weights," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 14(C), pages 49-62.
  34. Gribisch, Bastian, 2013. "A latent dynamic factor approach to forecasting multivariate stock market volatility," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79823, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  35. Bauwens, Luc & Otranto, Edoardo, 2023. "Realized Covariance Models with Time-varying Parameters and Spillover Effects," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2023019, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  36. Andre Lucas & Anne Opschoor & Luca Rossini, 2021. "Tail Heterogeneity for Dynamic Covariance Matrices: the F-Riesz Distribution," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-010/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 11 Jul 2023.
  37. Jan Patrick Hartkopf, 2023. "Composite forecasting of vast-dimensional realized covariance matrices using factor state-space models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(1), pages 393-436, January.
  38. Vincenzo Candila, 2013. "A Comparison of the Forecasting Performances of Multivariate Volatility Models," Working Papers 3_228, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Statistiche, Università degli Studi di Salerno.
  39. Dhaene, Geert & Wu, Jianbin, 2020. "Incorporating overnight and intraday returns into multivariate GARCH volatility models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 217(2), pages 471-495.
  40. Vassallo, Danilo & Buccheri, Giuseppe & Corsi, Fulvio, 2021. "A DCC-type approach for realized covariance modeling with score-driven dynamics," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 569-586.
  41. Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M. Gallo & Alessandro Palandri, 2020. "A dynamic conditional approach to portfolio weights forecasting," Papers 2004.12400, arXiv.org.
  42. Luc Bauwens & Edoardo Otranto, 2023. "Modeling Realized Covariance Matrices: A Class of Hadamard Exponential Models," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(4), pages 1376-1401.
  43. Yaojie Zhang & Yu Wei & Li Liu, 2019. "Improving forecasting performance of realized covariance with extensions of HAR-RCOV model: statistical significance and economic value," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(9), pages 1425-1438, September.
  44. Xu, Yongdeng, 2024. "Extended multivariate EGARCH model: A model for zero†return and negative spillovers," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2024/24, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  45. Xin Jin & Jia Liu & Qiao Yang, 2021. "Does the Choice of Realized Covariance Measures Empirically Matter? A Bayesian Density Prediction Approach," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-22, December.
  46. Amendola, Alessandra & Braione, Manuela & Candila, Vincenzo & Storti, Giuseppe, 2020. "A Model Confidence Set approach to the combination of multivariate volatility forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 873-891.
  47. Dark, Jonathan, 2018. "Multivariate models with long memory dependence in conditional correlation and volatility," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 162-180.
  48. Opschoor, Anne & Lucas, André, 2023. "Time-varying variance and skewness in realized volatility measures," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 827-840.
  49. Manabu Asai & Mike K. P. So, 2021. "Quasi‐maximum likelihood estimation of conditional autoregressive Wishart models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(3), pages 271-294, May.
  50. BAUWENS Luc, & XU Yongdeng,, 2019. "DCC-HEAVY: A multivariate GARCH model based on realized variances and correlations," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2019025, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  51. Ilya Archakov & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde, 2020. "A Multivariate Realized GARCH Model," Papers 2012.02708, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2025.
  52. Fengler, Matthias R. & Herwartz, Helmut, 2015. "Measuring spot variance spillovers when (co)variances are time-varying – the case of multivariate GARCH models," Economics Working Paper Series 1517, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
  53. Bauwens, L. & Hafner C. & Laurent, S., 2011. "Volatility Models," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2011044, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    • BAUWENS, Luc & HAFNER, Christian & LAURENT, Sébastien, 2011. "Volatility models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2011058, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    • Bauwens, L. & Hafner, C. & Laurent, S., 2012. "Volatility Models," LIDAM Reprints ISBA 2012028, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
  54. BAUWENS, Luc & STORTI, Giuseppe, 2012. "Computationally efficient inference procedures for vast dimensional realized covariance models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2012028, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  55. BAUWENS, Luc & STORTI, Giuseppe & VIOLANTE, Francesco, 2012. "Dynamic conditional correlation models for realized covariance matrices," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2012060, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  56. Gribisch, Bastian & Hartkopf, Jan Patrick, 2023. "Modeling realized covariance measures with heterogeneous liquidity: A generalized matrix-variate Wishart state-space model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(1), pages 43-64.
  57. Golosnoy, Vasyl & Gribisch, Bastian & Liesenfeld, Roman, 2012. "Intra-daily volatility spillovers between the US and German stock markets," Economics Working Papers 2012-06, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
  58. Duo Zhang & Jiayu Li & Junyi Mo & Elynn Chen, 2025. "Time-Varying Factor-Augmented Models for Volatility Forecasting," Papers 2508.01880, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2025.
  59. Kevin Sheppard & Wen Xu, 2014. "Factor High-Frequency Based Volatility (HEAVY) Models," Economics Series Working Papers 710, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  60. Ishihara, Tsunehiro & Omori, Yasuhiro & Asai, Manabu, 2016. "Matrix exponential stochastic volatility with cross leverage," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 331-350.
  61. Alfelt, Gustav & Bodnar, Taras & Javed, Farrukh & Tyrcha, Joanna, 2020. "Singular conditional autoregressive Wishart model for realized covariance matrices," Working Papers 2021:1, Örebro University, School of Business.
  62. Herrera, Rodrigo & Piña, Marco, 2024. "Market risk modeling with option-implied covariances and score-driven dynamics," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
  63. Moura, Guilherme V. & Santos, André A. P. & Ruiz Ortega, Esther, 2019. "Comparing Forecasts of Extremely Large Conditional Covariance Matrices," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 29291, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
  64. P Gorgi & P R Hansen & P Janus & S J Koopman, 2019. "Realized Wishart-GARCH: A Score-driven Multi-Asset Volatility Model," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 17(1), pages 1-32.
  65. Minchul Shin & Molin Zhong, 2020. "A New Approach to Identifying the Real Effects of Uncertainty Shocks," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(2), pages 367-379, April.
  66. Kevin Sheppard & Wen Xu, 2019. "Factor High-Frequency-Based Volatility (HEAVY) Models," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 17(1), pages 33-65.
  67. Philip L. H. Yu & W. K. Li & F. C. Ng, 2017. "The Generalized Conditional Autoregressive Wishart Model for Multivariate Realized Volatility," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(4), pages 513-527, October.
  68. Gribisch, Bastian & Hartkopf, Jan Patrick & Liesenfeld, Roman, 2020. "Factor state–space models for high-dimensional realized covariance matrices of asset returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 1-20.
  69. Karapanagiotidis, Paul, 2012. "Improving Bayesian VAR density forecasts through autoregressive Wishart Stochastic Volatility," MPRA Paper 38885, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  70. Xin Jin & John M. Maheu & Qiao Yang, 2019. "Bayesian parametric and semiparametric factor models for large realized covariance matrices," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(5), pages 641-660, August.
  71. Bollerslev, Tim & Patton, Andrew J. & Quaedvlieg, Rogier, 2018. "Modeling and forecasting (un)reliable realized covariances for more reliable financial decisions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 207(1), pages 71-91.
  72. Cipollini, Fabrizio & Gallo, Giampiero M. & Palandri, Alessandro, 2021. "A dynamic conditional approach to forecasting portfolio weights," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1111-1126.
  73. Golosnoy, Vasyl & Gribisch, Bastian & Liesenfeld, Roman, 2015. "Intra-daily volatility spillovers in international stock markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 95-114.
  74. Yongdeng Xu, 2025. "Extended Multivariate EGARCH Model: A Model for Zero‐Return and Negative Spillovers," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(4), pages 1266-1279, July.
  75. Hartkopf, Jan Patrick & Reh, Laura, 2023. "Challenging golden standards in EWMA smoothing parameter calibration based on realized covariance measures," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
  76. Luc Bauwens & Manuela Braione & Giuseppe Storti, 2016. "Forecasting Comparison of Long Term Component Dynamic Models for Realized Covariance Matrices," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 123-124, pages 103-134.
  77. Braione, Manuela, 2016. "A time-varying long run HEAVY model," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 36-44.
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