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Valuing Energy Options in a One Factor Model Fitted to Forward Prices

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  1. Dong, Wenfeng & Kang, Boda, 2019. "Analysis of a multiple year gas sales agreement with make-up, carry-forward and indexation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 76-96.
  2. Joanna Janczura & Aleksander Weron, 2008. "Modelling energy forward prices," HSC Research Reports HSC/08/03, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
  3. Deschatre, Thomas & Féron, Olivier & Gruet, Pierre, 2021. "A survey of electricity spot and futures price models for risk management applications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
  4. Henry L. Bryant & Michael S. Haigh, 2005. "Derivative pricing model and time‐series approaches to hedging: A comparison," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(7), pages 613-641, July.
  5. Nomikos, Nikos K. & Soldatos, Orestes A., 2010. "Modelling short and long-term risks in power markets: Empirical evidence from Nord Pool," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(10), pages 5671-5683, October.
  6. Benth, Fred Espen & Koekebakker, Steen, 2015. "Pricing of forwards and other derivatives in cointegrated commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 104-117.
  7. Bryant, Henry L. & Haigh, Michael S., 2003. "Comparing The Performances Of The Partial Equilibrium And Time-Series Approaches To Hedging," Working Papers 28580, University of Maryland, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
  8. E. Nasakkala & J. Keppo, 2008. "Hydropower with Financial Information," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(5-6), pages 503-529.
  9. Dempster, M.A.H. & Medova, Elena & Tang, Ke, 2008. "Long term spread option valuation and hedging," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(12), pages 2530-2540, December.
  10. Miha Troha & Raphael Hauser, 2014. "Calculation of a power price equilibrium," Papers 1409.6645, arXiv.org.
  11. Dmitry Lesnik, 2015. "Intrinsic Storage Valuation by Variational Analysis," Papers 1506.06979, arXiv.org.
  12. Hinderks, W.J. & Wagner, A., 2020. "Factor models in the German electricity market: Stylized facts, seasonality, and calibration," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
  13. Hendrik Kohrs & Hermann Mühlichen & Benjamin R. Auer & Frank Schuhmacher, 2019. "Pricing and risk of swing contracts in natural gas markets," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 77-167, April.
  14. Fleten, Stein-Erik & Lemming, Jacob, 2003. "Constructing forward price curves in electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(5), pages 409-424, September.
  15. Rudiger Kiesel & Gero Schindlmayr & Reik Borger, 2009. "A two-factor model for the electricity forward market," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(3), pages 279-287.
  16. Hickey, Emily & Loomis, David G. & Mohammadi, Hassan, 2012. "Forecasting hourly electricity prices using ARMAX–GARCH models: An application to MISO hubs," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 307-315.
  17. de Jong, C.M., 2005. "The Nature of Power Spikes: a regime-switch approach," ERIM Report Series Research in Management ERS-2005-052-F&A, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
  18. Wieger Hinderks & Andreas Wagner & Ralf Korn, 2018. "A structural Heath-Jarrow-Morton framework for consistent intraday, spot, and futures electricity prices," Papers 1803.08831, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2019.
  19. Arnaud Porchet & Nizar Touzi & Xavier Warin, 2009. "Valuation of power plants by utility indifference and numerical computation," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 70(1), pages 47-75, August.
  20. Bertrand Tavin & Lorenz Schneider, 2018. "From the Samuelson volatility effect to a Samuelson correlation effect : An analysis of crude oil calendar spread options," Post-Print hal-02311970, HAL.
  21. Schneider, Lorenz & Tavin, Bertrand, 2018. "From the Samuelson volatility effect to a Samuelson correlation effect: An analysis of crude oil calendar spread options," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 185-202.
  22. Lorenz Schneider & Bertrand Tavin, 2014. "From the Samuelson Volatility Effect to a Samuelson Correlation Effect: Evidence from Crude Oil Calendar Spread Options," Papers 1401.7913, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2015.
  23. Crosby, John & Frau, Carme, 2022. "Jumps in commodity prices: New approaches for pricing plain vanilla options," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
  24. Andreis, Luisa & Flora, Maria & Fontini, Fulvio & Vargiolu, Tiziano, 2020. "Pricing reliability options under different electricity price regimes," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
  25. Hanfeld, Marc & Schlüter, Stephan, 2016. "Operating a swing option on today's gas markets: How least squares Monte Carlo works and why it is beneficial," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 10/2016, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
  26. Joanna Janczura, 2012. "Pricing electricity derivatives within a Markov regime-switching model," Papers 1203.5442, arXiv.org.
  27. Algieri, Bernardina & Leccadito, Arturo & Tunaru, Diana, 2021. "Risk premia in electricity derivatives markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
  28. N. K. Nomikos & O. Soldatos, 2008. "Using Affine Jump Diffusion Models for Modelling and Pricing Electricity Derivatives," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(1), pages 41-71.
  29. Carl Chiarella & Les Clewlow & Boda Kang, 2016. "The Evaluation Of Multiple Year Gas Sales Agreement With Regime Switching," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(01), pages 1-25, February.
  30. Matt Thompson, 2013. "Optimal Economic Dispatch and Risk Management of Thermal Power Plants in Deregulated Markets," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 61(4), pages 791-809, August.
  31. Boomsma, Trine Krogh & Meade, Nigel & Fleten, Stein-Erik, 2012. "Renewable energy investments under different support schemes: A real options approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 220(1), pages 225-237.
  32. Markus Burger & Bernhard Klar & Alfred Muller & Gero Schindlmayr, 2004. "A spot market model for pricing derivatives in electricity markets," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 109-122.
  33. Lingfei Li & Vadim Linetsky, 2013. "Optimal Stopping and Early Exercise: An Eigenfunction Expansion Approach," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 61(3), pages 625-643, June.
  34. Ludovic Gouden`ege & Andrea Molent & Antonino Zanette, 2021. "Moving average options: Machine Learning and Gauss-Hermite quadrature for a double non-Markovian problem," Papers 2108.11141, arXiv.org.
  35. Stuart Thomas & Vikash Ramiah & Heather Mitchell & Richard Heaney, 2011. "Seasonal factors and outlier effects in rate of return on electricity spot prices in Australia's National Electricity Market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(3), pages 355-369.
  36. Bisht Deepak & Laha, A. K., 2017. "Pricing Option on Commodity Futures under String Shock," IIMA Working Papers WP 2017-07-02, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
  37. Fred Espen Benth & Marco Piccirilli & Tiziano Vargiolu, 2017. "Additive energy forward curves in a Heath-Jarrow-Morton framework," Papers 1709.03310, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2018.
  38. Chantziara, Thalia & Skiadopoulos, George, 2008. "Can the dynamics of the term structure of petroleum futures be forecasted? Evidence from major markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 962-985, May.
  39. Lingfei Li & Vadim Linetsky, 2012. "Time-Changed Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Processes And Their Applications In Commodity Derivative Models," Papers 1204.3679, arXiv.org.
  40. Joanna Janczura, 2014. "Pricing electricity derivatives within a Markov regime-switching model: a risk premium approach," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 79(1), pages 1-30, February.
  41. Koekebakker, Steen & Adland, Roar & Sødal, Sigbjørn, 2007. "Pricing freight rate options," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 43(5), pages 535-548, September.
  42. Golbeck, Steven & Linetsky, Vadim, 2013. "Asset financing with credit risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 43-59.
  43. De Jong Cyriel, 2006. "The Nature of Power Spikes: A Regime-Switch Approach," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(3), pages 1-28, September.
  44. Marcos Escobar‐Anel & Zhenxian Gong, 2020. "The mean‐reverting 4/2 stochastic volatility model: Properties and financial applications," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 36(5), pages 836-856, September.
  45. Juri Hinz & Lutz Von Grafenstein & Michel Verschuere & Martina Wilhelm, 2005. "Pricing electricity risk by interest rate methods," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 49-60.
  46. de Jong, C.M. & Huisman, R., 2002. "Option Formulas for Mean-Reverting Power Prices with Spikes," ERIM Report Series Research in Management ERS-2002-96-F&A, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
  47. Carl Chiarella & Les Clewlow & Boda Kang, 2009. "Modelling and Estimating the Forward Price Curve in the Energy Market," Research Paper Series 260, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
  48. Lang, Joachim & Madlener, Reinhard, 2010. "Portfolio Optimization for Power Plants: The Impact of Credit Risk Mitigation and Margining," FCN Working Papers 11/2010, E.ON Energy Research Center, Future Energy Consumer Needs and Behavior (FCN).
  49. René Carmona & Pavel Diko, 2005. "Pricing Precipitation Based Derivatives," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 8(07), pages 959-988.
  50. Goudenège, Ludovic & Molent, Andrea & Zanette, Antonino, 2022. "Moving average options: Machine learning and Gauss-Hermite quadrature for a double non-Markovian problem," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 303(2), pages 958-974.
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