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The impact of geopolitical uncertainty on energy volatility

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  1. Zhang, Jiaming & Xiang, Yitian & Zou, Yang & Guo, Songlin, 2024. "Volatility forecasting of Chinese energy market: Which uncertainty have better performance?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
  2. Sultanuzzaman, Md Reza & Yahya, Farzan & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2024. "Exploring the complex interplay of green finance, business cycles, and energy development," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
  3. Yan, Xiang & Bai, Jiancheng & Li, Xiafei & Chen, Zhonglu, 2022. "Can dimensional reduction technology make better use of the information of uncertainty indices when predicting volatility of Chinese crude oil futures?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  4. António Afonso & José Alves & João Jalles & Sofia Monteiro, 2024. "Energy Price Dynamics in the Face of Uncertainty Shocks and the role of Exchange Rate Regimes: A Global Cross-Country Analysis," Working Papers REM 2024/0344, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
  5. Gu, Qinen & Li, Shaofang & Tian, Sihua & Wang, Yuyouting, 2023. "Climate, geopolitical, and energy market risk interconnectedness: Evidence from a new climate risk index," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PB).
  6. Wang, Xinghua & Lee, Zhengzheng & Wu, Shuang & Qin, Meng, 2023. "Exploring the vital role of geopolitics in the oil market: The case of Russia," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
  7. Li, Beibei & Chen, Yiming & Wu, Haipeng & Mao, Xuefeng, 2025. "Macroeconomics, geopolitical risk, and resource commodity price bubbles," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
  8. Oscar Melo-Vega-Angeles & Bryan Chuquillanqui-Lichardo, 2023. "The Impact of COVID-19 on the Volatility of Copper Futures," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-15, July.
  9. Crescenzo, Ivan De & Mastroeni, Loretta & Quaresima, Greta & Vellucci, Pierluigi, 2025. "Geopolitical risk and uncertainty in energy markets: Evidence from wavelet-based methods," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
  10. Su, Chi Wei & Qin, Meng & Chang, Hsu-Ling & Țăran, Alexandra-Mădălina, 2023. "Which risks drive European natural gas bubbles? Novel evidence from geopolitics and climate," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  11. Yun-Shi Dai & Peng-Fei Dai & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2024. "The impact of geopolitical risk on the international agricultural market: Empirical analysis based on the GJR-GARCH-MIDAS model," Papers 2404.01641, arXiv.org.
  12. Almeida, Dora & Ferreira, Paulo & Dionísio, Andreia & Aslam, Faheem, 2025. "Exploring the connection between geopolitical risks and energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
  13. Long, Shaobo & Guo, Jiaqi, 2022. "Infectious disease equity market volatility, geopolitical risk, speculation, and commodity returns: Comparative analysis of five epidemic outbreaks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  14. Gu, Qinen & Li, Shaofang & Tian, Sihua & Wang, Yuyouting, 2024. "Impact of climate risk on energy market risk spillover: Evidence from dynamic heterogeneous network analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
  15. Hossain, Ashrafee T. & Masum, Abdullah-Al & Saadi, Samir, 2024. "The impact of geopolitical risks on foreign exchange markets: Evidence from the Russia–Ukraine war," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
  16. Li, Houjian & Li, Yanjiao & Guo, Lili, 2023. "Extreme risk spillover effect and dynamic linkages between uncertainty and commodity markets: A comparison between China and America," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
  17. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Sheikh, Umaid A. & Tabash, Mosab I. & Jiao, Zhilun, 2024. "Shock transmission between climate policy uncertainty, financial stress indicators, oil price uncertainty and industrial metal volatility: Identifying moderators, hedgers and shock transmitters," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
  18. Xiao, Jihong & Wang, Yudong & Wen, Danyan, 2023. "The predictive effect of risk aversion on oil returns under different market conditions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
  19. Zribi, Wissal & Boufateh, Talel & Lahouel, Bechir Ben & Urom, Christian, 2024. "Uncertainty shocks, investor sentiment and environmental performance: Novel evidence from a PVAR approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
  20. Xie, Qichang & Bai, Yu & Jia, Nanfei & Xu, Xin, 2024. "Do macroprudential policies reduce risk spillovers between energy markets?: Evidence from time-frequency domain and mixed-frequency methods," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
  21. Yang, Cai & Niu, Zibo & Gao, Wang, 2022. "The time-varying effects of trade policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks shocks on the commodity market prices: Evidence from the TVP-VAR-SV approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
  22. Xiuwen Chen, 2023. "Are the shocks of EPU, VIX, and GPR indexes on the oil-stock nexus alike? A time-frequency analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(48), pages 5637-5652, October.
  23. Gong, Xu & Xu, Jun, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and dynamic connectedness between commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
  24. Tin Hei Alpha Yuen & Wai Kee Thomas Yuen, 2022. "Relationship Between Geopolitical Risk In Major Oil Producing Countries and Oil Price," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 117-123, September.
  25. Fu, Tong & Huang, Dasen & Feng, Lingbing & Tang, Xiaoping, 2024. "More is better? The impact of predictor choice on the INE oil futures volatility forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
  26. Yang, Chuxiao & Wu, Haitao & Guo, Yunxia & Hao, Yu, 2024. "Possible carbon circular pathway exploration for oil transition under the consideration of energy supply constraint and uncertainty," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
  27. Benkraiem, Ramzi & Guesmi, Khaled & Ndubuisi, Gideon & Urom, Christian & Vigne, Samuel, 2024. "Dependence of green energy markets on big data and other fourth industrial revolution technologies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
  28. Li, Songsong & Zhang, Weiqian & Zhang, Wei, 2023. "Dynamic time-frequency connectedness and risk spillover between geopolitical risks and natural resources," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  29. Shabir, Mohsin & Jiang, Ping & Shahab, Yasir & Wang, Peng, 2023. "Geopolitical, economic uncertainty and bank risk: Do CEO power and board strength matter?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
  30. Li, Sitong & Chen, Huangen & Chen, Gengxuan, 2025. "The US-China tension and fossil fuel energy price volatility relationship," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  31. Kayani, Umar & Hasnaoui, Amir & Khan, Maaz & Zahoor, Nadia & Nawaz, Farrukh, 2024. "Analyzing fossil fuel commodities' return spillovers during the Russia and Ukraine crisis in the energy market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
  32. Jawadi, Fredj & Rozin, Philippe & Gnegne, Yacouba & Cheffou, Abdoulkarim Idi, 2024. "Geopolitical risks and business fluctuations in Europe: A sectorial analysis," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
  33. Tong Fang & Deyu Miao & Zhi Su & Libo Yin, 2023. "Uncertainty‐driven oil volatility risk premium and international stock market volatility forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 872-904, July.
  34. Umar, Zaghum & Polat, Onur & Choi, Sun-Yong & Teplova, Tamara, 2022. "The impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on the connectedness of financial markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
  35. Jin, Yi & Zhao, Hang & Bu, Lin & Zhang, Dayong, 2023. "Geopolitical risk, climate risk and energy markets: A dynamic spillover analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
  36. Chen, Zhuoyi & Liu, Yuanyuan & Zhang, Hongwei, 2024. "Can geopolitical risks impact the long-run correlation between crude oil and clean energy markets? Evidence from a regime-switching analysis," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
  37. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Lasisi, Lukman & Olaniran, Abeeb, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and stock market volatility in emerging markets: A GARCH – MIDAS approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  38. Jiang, Wei & Zhang, Yanyu & Wang, Kai-Hua, 2024. "Analyzing the connectedness among geopolitical risk, traditional energy and carbon markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
  39. Aloui, Riadh & Ben Jabeur, Sami & Rezgui, Hichem & Ben Arfi, Wissal, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and commodity future returns: Fresh insights from dynamic copula conditional value-at-risk approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
  40. Fameliti Stavroula & Skintzi Vasiliki, 2024. "Macroeconomic attention and commodity market volatility," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(5), pages 1967-2007, November.
  41. Yan Ding & Yue Liu & Pierre Failler, 2022. "The Impact of Uncertainties on Crude Oil Prices: Based on a Quantile-on-Quantile Method," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-35, May.
  42. Li, Xiafei & Liang, Chao & Chen, Zhonglu & Umar, Muhammad, 2022. "Forecasting crude oil volatility with uncertainty indicators: New evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
  43. Choi, Sun-Yong, 2022. "Evidence from a multiple and partial wavelet analysis on the impact of geopolitical concerns on stock markets in North-East Asian countries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
  44. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Hoque, Mohammad Enamul & Billah, Mabruk, 2025. "Multilayer connectedness across geopolitical risks, clean, and dirty energy markets: The role of global uncertainty factors and climate surprise," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
  45. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Yahya, Farzan, 2024. "Mitigating energy instability: The influence of trilemma choices, financial development, and technology advancements," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  46. Xiao, Jihong & Liu, Hong, 2023. "The time-varying impact of uncertainty on oil market fear: Does climate policy uncertainty matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  47. Chen, Shuiyang & Kuang, Haibo & Bin Meng,, 2024. "The dependence structures between geopolitical risks and energy prices: New evidence from regional heterogeneity and quantile-on-quantile perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 310(C).
  48. Wang, Ziyang & Dong, Zhiliang, 2024. "Volatility spillover effects among geopolitical risks and international and Chinese crude oil markets——A study utilizing time-varying networks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
  49. Shao, Liuguo & Cao, Saisha & Zhang, Hua, 2024. "The impact of geopolitical risk on strategic emerging minerals prices: Evidence from MODWT-based Granger causality test," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
  50. Laubsch, Joshua & Smales, Lee A. & Vo, Duc, 2024. "The influence of uncertainty on commodity futures returns and trading behaviour," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
  51. Lin, Tao & Zhang, Ling & Wan, Jun & Chen, Chien-Ming & Li, Jianglong, 2025. "Energy price uncertainty and renewable energy technological innovation: Evidence from listed Chinese firms," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
  52. Bakkar, Yassine & Bark, Eunice & Prause, Gunnar & Ul-Durar, Shajara, 2025. "Green Deal and financing sustainable transport in Europe: A target costing analysis," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 185-198.
  53. Chen, Yu & Lin, Boqiang, 2022. "Quantifying the extreme spillovers on worldwide ESG leaders' equity," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  54. Tang, Wenjin & Bu, Hui & Ji, Yuqiong & Li, Zhongfei, 2024. "Market uncertainty and information content in complex seasonality of prices," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
  55. Liu, Han & Yang, Peng & He, Yongda & Oxley, Les & Guo, Pengwei, 2024. "Exploring the influence of the geopolitical risks on the natural resource price volatility and correlation: Evidence from DCC-MIDAS-X model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
  56. Ali, Syed Riaz Mahmood & Anik, Kaysul Islam & Hasan, Mohammad Nurul & Kamal, Md Rajib, 2023. "Geopolitical threats, equity returns, and optimal hedging," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
  57. Yasmeen, Rizwana & Shah, Wasi Ul Hassan, 2024. "Energy uncertainty, geopolitical conflict, and militarization matters for Renewable and non-renewable energy development: Perspectives from G7 economies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
  58. Ren, Xiaohang & Li, Jingyao & He, Feng & Lucey, Brian, 2023. "Impact of climate policy uncertainty on traditional energy and green markets: Evidence from time-varying granger tests," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
  59. Depraiter, Lisa & Goutte, Stéphane, 2025. "Geopolitical risk and clean energy investments: Exploring the role of rare earths," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
  60. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Yuan, Zihao & He, Zhi-Wen & Xiao, Fu, 2024. "Do geopolitical risks always harm energy security? Their non-linear effects and mechanism," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
  61. Zhang, Jiahao & Zhang, Yifeng & Wei, Yu & Wang, Zhuo, 2024. "Normal and extreme impact and connectedness between fossil energy futures markets and uncertainties: Does El Niño-Southern Oscillation matter?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 188-215.
  62. Evrim Mandaci, Pınar & Azimli, Asil & Mandaci, Nazif, 2023. "The impact of geopolitical risks on connectedness among natural resource commodities: A quantile vector autoregressive approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
  63. Liu, Feng & Shao, Shuai & Li, Xin & Pan, Na & Qi, Yu, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty, jump dynamics, and oil price volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
  64. Khan, Nasir & Mejri, Sami & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2024. "How do global commodities react to increasing geopolitical risks? New insights into the Russia-Ukraine and Palestine-Israel conflicts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
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