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Oracle inequalities for high dimensional vector autoregressions

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Cited by:

  1. Andrii Babii & Eric Ghysels & Jonas Striaukas, 2022. "Machine Learning Time Series Regressions With an Application to Nowcasting," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(3), pages 1094-1106, June.
  2. Liang, Chong & Schienle, Melanie, 2019. "Determination of vector error correction models in high dimensions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 208(2), pages 418-441.
  3. Thilo Reinschlussel & Martin C. Arnold, 2024. "Information-Enriched Selection of Stationary and Non-Stationary Autoregressions using the Adaptive Lasso," Papers 2402.16580, arXiv.org.
  4. Liqian Cai & Arnab Bhattacharjee & Roger Calantone & Taps Maiti, 2019. "Variable Selection with Spatially Autoregressive Errors: A Generalized Moments LASSO Estimator," Sankhya B: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 81(1), pages 146-200, September.
  5. Chen, J. & Li, D. & Li, Y. & Linton, O. B., 2022. "Estimating Time-Varying Networks for High-Dimensional Time Series," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2273, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  6. Alain Hecq & Luca Margaritella & Stephan Smeekes, 2023. "Granger Causality Testing in High-Dimensional VARs: A Post-Double-Selection Procedure," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(3), pages 915-958.
  7. Jonas Krampe & Efstathios Paparoditis, 2021. "Sparsity concepts and estimation procedures for high‐dimensional vector autoregressive models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(5-6), pages 554-579, September.
  8. Matteo Barigozzi & Christian Brownlees, 2019. "NETS: Network estimation for time series," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(3), pages 347-364, April.
  9. Jason Poulos & Shuxi Zeng, 2021. "RNN‐based counterfactual prediction, with an application to homestead policy and public schooling," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 70(4), pages 1124-1139, August.
  10. Miao, Ke & Phillips, Peter C.B. & Su, Liangjun, 2023. "High-dimensional VARs with common factors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 233(1), pages 155-183.
  11. Bicu, A.C. & Lieb, L.M., 2015. "Cross-border effects of fiscal policy in the Eurozone," Research Memorandum 019, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
  12. Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq, 2022. "Dimension Reduction for High‐Dimensional Vector Autoregressive Models," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(5), pages 1123-1152, October.
  13. Victor Chernozhukov & Wolfgang Härdle & Chen Huang & Weining Wang, 2018. "LASSO-driven inference in time and space," CeMMAP working papers CWP36/18, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  14. Jianqing Fan & Ricardo Masini & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2021. "Bridging factor and sparse models," Papers 2102.11341, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
  15. Christensen, Bent Jesper & Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard & Zhu, Jie, 2015. "The impact of financial crises on the risk–return tradeoff and the leverage effect," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 407-418.
  16. Ziwei Mei & Zhentao Shi, 2022. "On LASSO for High Dimensional Predictive Regression," Papers 2212.07052, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
  17. Camehl, Annika, 2023. "Penalized estimation of panel vector autoregressive models: A panel LASSO approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1185-1204.
  18. Schnücker, A.M., 2019. "Penalized Estimation of Panel Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI-2019-33, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
  19. Fengler, Matthias R. & Gisler, Katja I.M., 2015. "A variance spillover analysis without covariances: What do we miss?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 174-195.
  20. Francesco Audrino & Lorenzo Camponovo, 2013. "Oracle Properties and Finite Sample Inference of the Adaptive Lasso for Time Series Regression Models," Papers 1312.1473, arXiv.org.
  21. Zachary F. Fisher & Younghoon Kim & Barbara L. Fredrickson & Vladas Pipiras, 2022. "Penalized Estimation and Forecasting of Multiple Subject Intensive Longitudinal Data," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 87(2), pages 1-29, June.
  22. Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Chen, Shi & Liang, Chong & Schienle, Melanie, 2018. "Time-varying Limit Order Book Networks," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2018-016, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
  23. Kaufmann, Hendrik & Kruse, Robinson & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2012. "On tests for linearity against STAR models with deterministic trends," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 117(1), pages 268-271.
  24. Chen, Rong & Xiao, Han & Yang, Dan, 2021. "Autoregressive models for matrix-valued time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 539-560.
  25. Jia Chen & Degui Li & Yuning Li & Oliver Linton, 2023. "Estimating Time-Varying Networks for High-Dimensional Time Series," Papers 2302.02476, arXiv.org.
  26. Marcelo C. Medeiros & Eduardo F. Mendes, 2015. "l1-Regularization of High-Dimensional Time-Series Models with Flexible Innovations," Textos para discussão 636, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
  27. Laurent Callot & Johannes Tang Kristensen, 2014. "Vector Autoregressions with Parsimoniously Time Varying Parameters and an Application to Monetary Policy," CREATES Research Papers 2014-41, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  28. Chen, J. & Li, D. & Li, Y. & Linton, O. B., 2022. "Estimating Time-Varying Networks for High-Dimensional Time Series," Janeway Institute Working Papers 2231, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  29. Ling Peng & Yan Zhu & Wenxuan Zhong, 2023. "Lasso regression in sparse linear model with $$\varphi $$ φ -mixing errors," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 86(1), pages 1-26, January.
  30. Robert Adamek & Stephan Smeekes & Ines Wilms, 2022. "Local Projection Inference in High Dimensions," Papers 2209.03218, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
  31. Mehmet Caner & Anders Bredahl Kock, 2016. "Oracle Inequalities for Convex Loss Functions with Nonlinear Targets," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(8-10), pages 1377-1411, December.
  32. Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix & Giudici, Paolo, 2022. "NetVIX — A network volatility index of financial markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 594(C).
  33. Matteo Barigozzi & Marc Hallin, 2017. "A network analysis of the volatility of high dimensional financial series," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 66(3), pages 581-605, April.
  34. MArcelo C. Medeiros & Eduardo F.Mendes, 2012. "Estimating High-Dimensional Time Series Models," Textos para discussão 602, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
  35. Ricardo P. Masini & Marcelo C. Medeiros & Eduardo F. Mendes, 2023. "Machine learning advances for time series forecasting," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 76-111, February.
  36. Chen, Shi & Härdle, Wolfgang & Schienle, Melanie, 2021. "High-dimensional statistical learning techniques for time-varying limit order book networks," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2021-015, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
  37. Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq, 2020. "Dimension Reduction for High Dimensional Vector Autoregressive Models," Papers 2009.03361, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
  38. Daniel Felix Ahelegbey & Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin, 2016. "Sparse Graphical Vector Autoregression: A Bayesian Approach," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 123-124, pages 333-361.
  39. Yujie Xue & Masanobu Taniguchi, 2020. "Modified LASSO estimators for time series regression models with dependent disturbances," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 29(4), pages 845-869, December.
  40. Francesco Audrino & Simon D. Knaus, 2016. "Lassoing the HAR Model: A Model Selection Perspective on Realized Volatility Dynamics," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(8-10), pages 1485-1521, December.
  41. Alessi, Lucia & Balduzzi, Pierluigi & Savona, Roberto, 2019. "Anatomy of a Sovereign Debt Crisis: CDS Spreads and Real-Time Macroeconomic Data," Working Papers 2019-03, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
  42. Shi Chen & Wolfgang Karl Hardle & Brenda L'opez Cabrera, 2020. "Regularization Approach for Network Modeling of German Power Derivative Market," Papers 2009.09739, arXiv.org.
  43. Smeekes, Stephan & Wijler, Etienne, 2018. "Macroeconomic forecasting using penalized regression methods," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 408-430.
  44. Degui Li & Bin Peng & Songqiao Tang & Weibiao Wu, 2023. "Inference of Grouped Time-Varying Network Vector Autoregression Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 5/23, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  45. Smeekes, Stephan & Wijler, Etienne, 2021. "An automated approach towards sparse single-equation cointegration modelling," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 247-276.
  46. Nicholson, William B. & Matteson, David S. & Bien, Jacob, 2017. "VARX-L: Structured regularization for large vector autoregressions with exogenous variables," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 627-651.
  47. Adamek, Robert & Smeekes, Stephan & Wilms, Ines, 2023. "Lasso inference for high-dimensional time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1114-1143.
  48. Bouchouia, Mohammed & Portier, François, 2021. "High dimensional regression for regenerative time-series: An application to road traffic modeling," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
  49. Cubadda, Gianluca & Guardabascio, Barbara, 2019. "Representation, estimation and forecasting of the multivariate index-augmented autoregressive model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 67-79.
  50. Ning Xu & Jian Hong & Timothy C. G. Fisher, 2016. "Model selection consistency from the perspective of generalization ability and VC theory with an application to Lasso," Papers 1606.00142, arXiv.org.
  51. Fan, Yanqin & Han, Fang & Park, Hyeonseok, 2023. "Estimation and inference in a high-dimensional semiparametric Gaussian copula vector autoregressive model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(1).
  52. Etienne Wijler, 2022. "A restricted eigenvalue condition for unit-root non-stationary data," Papers 2208.12990, arXiv.org.
  53. Mr. Jorge A Chan-Lau, 2017. "Lasso Regressions and Forecasting Models in Applied Stress Testing," IMF Working Papers 2017/108, International Monetary Fund.
  54. Kascha, Christian & Trenkler, Carsten, 2015. "Forecasting VARs, model selection, and shrinkage," Working Papers 15-07, University of Mannheim, Department of Economics.
  55. Andrii Babii & Eric Ghysels & Jonas Striaukas, 2019. "High-Dimensional Granger Causality Tests with an Application to VIX and News," Papers 1912.06307, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2021.
  56. Ricardo P. Masini & Marcelo C. Medeiros & Eduardo F. Mendes, 2022. "Regularized estimation of high‐dimensional vector autoregressions with weakly dependent innovations," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(4), pages 532-557, July.
  57. Li, Qiang & Nong, Huifu, 2022. "A closer look at Chinese housing market: Measuring intra-city submarket connectedness in Shanghai and Guangzhou," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  58. Dominik Bertsche & Ralf Brüggemann & Christian Kascha, 2023. "Directed graphs and variable selection in large vector autoregressive models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(2), pages 223-246, March.
  59. Matteo Barigozzi & Marc Hallin, 2015. "Networks, Dynamic Factors, and the Volatility Analysis of High-Dimensional Financial Series," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2015-34, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  60. Chen, Shi & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & López Cabrera, Brenda, 2018. "Regularization Approach for Network Modeling of German Energy Market," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2018-017, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
  61. Dallakyan, Aramayis & Kim, Rakheon & Pourahmadi, Mohsen, 2022. "Time series graphical lasso and sparse VAR estimation," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
  62. Gianluca CubaddaTor Vergata & Marco MazzaliTor Vergata, 2024. "The vector error correction index model: representation, estimation and identification," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 27(1), pages 126-150.
  63. Zhu, Ke & Liu, Hanzhong, 2022. "Confidence intervals for parameters in high-dimensional sparse vector autoregression," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
  64. Boyao Wu & Difang Huang & Muzi Chen, 2024. "Estimating Contagion Mechanism in Global Equity Market with Time-Zone Effect," Papers 2404.04335, arXiv.org.
  65. Zhang, Xingmin & Zhang, Shuai & Lu, Liping, 2022. "The banking instability and climate change: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
  66. Qiu, Yue & Zheng, Yuchen, 2023. "Improving box office projections through sentiment analysis: Insights from regularization-based forecast combinations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
  67. Jonas Krampe & Luca Margaritella, 2021. "Factor Models with Sparse VAR Idiosyncratic Components," Papers 2112.07149, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
  68. Robert Adamek & Stephan Smeekes & Ines Wilms, 2023. "Sparse High-Dimensional Vector Autoregressive Bootstrap," Papers 2302.01233, arXiv.org.
  69. Christian Brownlees & Gu{dh}mundur Stef'an Gu{dh}mundsson, 2021. "Performance of Empirical Risk Minimization for Linear Regression with Dependent Data," Papers 2104.12127, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
  70. Lee, Ji Hyung & Shi, Zhentao & Gao, Zhan, 2022. "On LASSO for predictive regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 229(2), pages 322-349.
  71. Audrino, Francesco & Camponovo, Lorenzo & Roth, Constantin, 2015. "Testing the lag structure of assets’ realized volatility dynamics," Economics Working Paper Series 1501, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
  72. Alain Hecq & Luca Margaritella & Stephan Smeekes, 2023. "Inference in Non-stationary High-Dimensional VARs," Papers 2302.01434, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
  73. Baek, Changryong & Davis, Richard A. & Pipiras, Vladas, 2017. "Sparse seasonal and periodic vector autoregressive modeling," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 103-126.
  74. Krampe, J. & Paparoditis, E. & Trenkler, C., 2023. "Structural inference in sparse high-dimensional vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 234(1), pages 276-300.
  75. Golosnoy, Vasyl & Gribisch, Bastian, 2022. "Modeling and forecasting realized portfolio weights," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
  76. Bin Chen & Kenwin Maung, 2020. "Time-varying Forecast Combination for High-Dimensional Data," Papers 2010.10435, arXiv.org.
  77. Fan, Jianqing & Gong, Wenyan & Zhu, Ziwei, 2019. "Generalized high-dimensional trace regression via nuclear norm regularization," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 177-202.
  78. Anders Bredahl Kock & Laurent A.F. Callot, 2012. "Oracle Efficient Estimation and Forecasting with the Adaptive LASSO and the Adaptive Group LASSO in Vector Autoregressions," CREATES Research Papers 2012-38, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  79. Marcelo C. Medeiros & Eduardo F. Mendes, 2017. "Adaptive LASSO estimation for ARDL models with GARCH innovations," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(6-9), pages 622-637, October.
  80. Laurent Callot & Anders B. Kock & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2014. "Estimation and Forecasting of Large Realized Covariance Matrices and Portfolio Choice," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-147/III, Tinbergen Institute.
  81. Sander Barendse, 2023. "Expected Shortfall LASSO," Papers 2307.01033, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
  82. Kenwin Maung, 2021. "Estimating high-dimensional Markov-switching VARs," Papers 2107.12552, arXiv.org.
  83. Medeiros, Marcelo C. & Mendes, Eduardo F., 2016. "ℓ1-regularization of high-dimensional time-series models with non-Gaussian and heteroskedastic errors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 191(1), pages 255-271.
  84. Yousuf, Kashif & Ng, Serena, 2021. "Boosting high dimensional predictive regressions with time varying parameters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 60-87.
  85. Zhentao Shi & Jingyi Huang, 2019. "Forward-Selected Panel Data Approach for Program Evaluation," Papers 1908.05894, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2021.
  86. Shi, Zhentao & Huang, Jingyi, 2023. "Forward-selected panel data approach for program evaluation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 234(2), pages 512-535.
  87. Degui Li & Bin Peng & Songqiao Tang & Weibiao Wu, 2023. "Estimation of Grouped Time-Varying Network Vector Autoregression Models," Papers 2303.10117, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
  88. Guðmundsson, Guðmundur Stefán & Brownlees, Christian, 2021. "Detecting groups in large vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(1), pages 2-26.
  89. Daniel Felix Ahelegbey & Luis Carvalho & Eric D. Kolaczyk, 2020. "A Bayesian Covariance Graph And Latent Position Model For Multivariate Financial Time Series," DEM Working Papers Series 181, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
  90. Hanno Reuvers & Etienne Wijler, 2021. "Sparse Generalized Yule-Walker Estimation for Large Spatio-temporal Autoregressions with an Application to NO2 Satellite Data," Papers 2108.02864, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2021.
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