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Geopolitical risks and investor sentiment: Causality and TVP-VAR analysis

Citations

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  1. Mirzat Ullah, 2025. "Risk and return analysis between digital and conventional financial assets in a turbulent geopolitical environment," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 7(3), pages 479-505, September.
  2. Gökgöz, Halilibrahim & Syed, Aamir Aijaz & Gheorghe, Catalin & Jeribi, Ahmed, 2026. "Quantile-frequency dependence between U.S. sector stock indices and macro-financial indicators: A quantile coherence approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  3. Ren, Xiaohang & Yang, Wanping & Jin, Yi, 2024. "Geopolitical risk and renewable energy consumption: Evidence from a spatial convergence perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
  4. Yusri Yahya & Abdul Hafizh Mohd Azam & Zulkefly Abdul Karim & Mohd Azlan Shah Zaidi & Mohammad Bintang Pamuncak, 2026. "Does geopolitical risk influence foreign investors’ decisions in the stock market? An ARDL approach," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 1-12, December.
  5. Huynh, Nhan & De Mello, Lurion & Li, Kai, 2025. "Evolution of investor sentiment: A systematic literature review and bibliometric analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
  6. Aslam, Adnan & Newaz, Mohammad Khaleq, 2025. "Geopolitical risk and bond market dynamics: Assessing the impact of threats and realized events," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
  7. Chien‐Chiang Lee & Mengqi Li & Xiaoming Zhang & Peiru Wang, 2025. "Stochastic Sequencing of Systemic Risk in Commodity Markets: Based on Geopolitical Risk Events Assessment," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(11), pages 2128-2150, November.
  8. Raghav Goyal & Edouard Mensah & Sandro Steinbach, 2024. "The interplay of geopolitics and agricultural commodity prices," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 46(4), pages 1533-1562, December.
  9. Khan, Nasir & Mejri, Sami & Leccadito, Arturo & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2025. "Geopolitical risk, macroeconomic factors and different assets during the war periods: Implications for herding and portfolio diversification," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
  10. Chen, Shuiyang & Hao, Siting & Meng, Bin & Zhang, Yajing & Kuang, Haibo, 2025. "Revisiting oil and tanker shipping markets: The role of geopolitical risk in shaping spillover dynamics," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 321(C).
  11. Jiang, Wei & Zhang, Yanyu & Wang, Kai-Hua, 2024. "Analyzing the connectedness among geopolitical risk, traditional energy and carbon markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
  12. Cao, Jie & Zhu, Yingxin & Yin, Zhujia & Li, Jing & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2025. "Resilience of energy market under geopolitical risks: What’s the policy implications?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 1706-1724.
  13. Ijaz, Muhammad Shahzad & Faff, Robert & Khurram, Mahrukh & Munir, Irfan, 2025. "Mapping complex interdependencies through higher order moments: Cross-market spillovers and shocks in BRICS," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  14. Cao, Ngan Duong & Trinh, Vu Quang & Nguyen, Tam Duc, 2025. "Geopolitical uncertainty and firm tail risk: Evidence from energy-focused economies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
  15. Ali, Shoaib & Ijaz, Muhammad Shahzad & Yousaf, Imran & Li, Yanshuang, 2023. "Connectedness and portfolio management between renewable energy tokens and metals: Evidence from TVP-VAR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
  16. Li, Rong & Tang, Guangyuan & Hong, Chen & Li, Sufang & Li, Bingting & Xiang, Shujian, 2024. "A study on economic policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk and stock market spillovers in BRICS countries," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  17. Li, Xiafei & Yang, Shuangpeng & Luo, Keyu & Liang, Chao, 2024. "Spillover relationships between international crude oil markets and global energy stock markets under the influence of geopolitical risks: New evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
  18. Pakrooh, Parisa & Manera, Matteo, 2024. "Causality, Connectedness, and Volatility pass-through among Energy-Metal-Stock-Carbon Markets: New Evidence from the EU," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
  19. Yan, Wan-Lin & (Wai Kong) Cheung, Adrian & Yuan, Jiawei, 2026. "The impact of green cryptocurrency and nongreen cryptocurrency on energy markets: Evidence from geopolitical risk and higher-order moment connectedness," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  20. Gao, Wang & Wei, Jiajia & Zhang, Hongwei & Zhang, Haizhen, 2024. "The higher-order moments connectedness between rare earth and clean energy markets and the role of geopolitical risk:New insights from a TVP-VAR framework," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
  21. Wei Su, Chi & Yue Song, Xin & Qin, Meng & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona & Umar, Muhammad, 2024. "Optimistic or pessimistic: How do investors impact the green bond market?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  22. Evrim Mandaci, Pınar & Cagli, Efe C. & Taşkin, Dilvin & Tedik Kocakaya, Birce, 2025. "Quantile-on-quantile connectedness of uncertainty with fossil and green energy markets," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C).
  23. Oana Panazan & Catalin Gheorghe, 2024. "Impact of Geopolitical Risk on G7 Financial Markets: A Comparative Wavelet Analysis between 2014 and 2022," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-22, January.
  24. He, Zhifang & Sun, Hao, 2024. "The time-varying and asymmetric impacts of oil price shocks on geopolitical risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 942-957.
  25. Jie Liu & Zhenshan Chen & Yinglun Zhu & Yangfa Chen & Yaoye Huang, 2024. "The time-varying effects of geopolitical risk on mutual fund risk taking," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 19(6), pages 1-21, June.
  26. Fiorillo, Paolo & Meles, Antonio & Salerno, Dario & Verdoliva, Vincenzo, 2024. "Geopolitical turmoil and investor green preference: Evidence from the corporate bond market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
  27. Chen, Shuiyang & Kuang, Haibo & Bin Meng,, 2024. "The dependence structures between geopolitical risks and energy prices: New evidence from regional heterogeneity and quantile-on-quantile perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 310(C).
  28. Xiafei Li & Chao Liang & Keyu Luo, 2026. "Spillover effect between green bond and related financial markets: new evidence from machine learning based connectedness method," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 67(1), pages 117-162, July.
  29. Golitsis, Petros & Emmanouilidis, Kyriakos, 2025. "Temporal dynamics of uncertainty shocks on China's trade openness: A TVP-VAR estimation," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  30. Schlosky, Minh Tam Tammy & Karadas, Serkan & Stivers, Adam, 2024. "Forecasting U.S. Stock Returns Conditional on Geopolitical Risk and Business Cycles," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
  31. Helmi, Mohamad Husam & Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Khalfaoui, Rabeh, 2024. "The impact of geopolitical risk on sustainable markets: A quantile-time-frequency analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  32. Liu, Jie & Chen, Zhenshan & Lin, Gengyan & Zhu, Yinglun, 2024. "Riding the geopolitical storm or dodging bullets: Geopolitical risk timing of mutual funds," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
  33. Zhang, Weiqian & Li, Songsong & Romanova, Valentina & Xu, Nan, 2025. "Dynamic spillovers between Chinese oil futures market and global financial markets under geopolitical risks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 326(C).
  34. He, Zhifang & Dong, Tianqi & Qian, Wanchuan & Xu, Wei, 2024. "Dynamic interactions among trade policy uncertainty, climate policy uncertainty, and crude oil prices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
  35. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2024. "Higher-order moment risk spillovers across various financial and commodity markets: Insights from the Israeli–Palestinian conflict," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
  36. Cai, Meng & Xie, Jianguo, 2025. "Chips and sanction: The impact of semiconductor export controls on stock volatility in China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
  37. Lin, Zi-Luo & Ouyang, Wen-Pei & Yu, Qing-Rui, 2024. "Risk spillover effects of the Israel–Hamas War on global financial and commodity markets: A time–frequency and network analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
  38. Ma, Chao-Qun & Liu, Xukang & Klein, Tony & Ren, Yi-Shuai, 2025. "Decoding the nexus: How fintech and AI stocks drive the future of sustainable finance," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
  39. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Sensoy, Ahmet & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Volatility connectedness between geopolitical risk and financial markets: Insights from pandemic and military crisis periods," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PC).
  40. Migliavacca, Milena & Anwer, Zaheer & Fandella, Paola, 2026. "Geopolitical risk and stock market volatility: The case of US weapon and non-weapon firms," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  41. Khan, Nasir & Mejri, Sami & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2024. "How do global commodities react to increasing geopolitical risks? New insights into the Russia-Ukraine and Palestine-Israel conflicts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
  42. Liu, Peng & Chen, Yaru & Mu, Yan, 2024. "The impact of climate risk aversion on agribusiness share price volatility," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
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