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Aggregate electricity demand in South Africa: Conditional forecasts to 2030

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Cited by:

  1. Ye, Yuxiang & Koch, Steven F. & Zhang, Jiangfeng, 2018. "Determinants of household electricity consumption in South Africa," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 120-133.
  2. Lin, Whei-Min & Gow, Hong-Jey & Tsai, Ming-Tang, 2010. "An enhanced radial basis function network for short-term electricity price forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(10), pages 3226-3234, October.
  3. Bohlmann, J.A. & Inglesi-Lotz, R., 2021. "Examining the determinants of electricity demand by South African households per income level," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 148(PA).
  4. Adom, Philip Kofi & Bekoe, William, 2012. "Conditional dynamic forecast of electrical energy consumption requirements in Ghana by 2020: A comparison of ARDL and PAM," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 367-380.
  5. Khathutshelo Steven Sivhugwana & Edmore Ranganai, 2025. "Short-Term Forecasting of Unplanned Power Outages Using Machine Learning Algorithms: A Robust Feature Engineering Strategy Against Multicollinearity and Nonlinearity," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(18), pages 1-38, September.
  6. Jessika A Bohlmann & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, "undated". "Examining the determinants of electricity demand by South African households per income level," ERSA Working Paper Series v::y:2020:i::id:96, Economic Research Southern Africa.
  7. Mathaba, Tebello & Mpholo, Moeketsi & Letuma, Mosuoe, 2012. "Velocity and power density analysis of the wind at Letšeng-la-terae in Lesotho," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 210-217.
  8. Morgan Bazilian & Patrick Nussbaumer & Hans-Holger Rogner & Abeeku Brew-Hammond & Vivien Foster & Shonali Pachauri & Eric Williams & Mark Howells & Philippe Niyongabo & Lawrence Musaba & Brian Ó Galla, 2011. "Energy Access Scenarios to 2030 for the Power Sector in Sub-Saharan Africa," Working Papers 2011.68, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
  9. Zhu, Suling & Wang, Jianzhou & Zhao, Weigang & Wang, Jujie, 2011. "A seasonal hybrid procedure for electricity demand forecasting in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(11), pages 3807-3815.
  10. Rahim Zahedi & Alireza Zahedi & Abolfazl Ahmadi, 2022. "Strategic Study for Renewable Energy Policy, Optimizations and Sustainability in Iran," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-29, February.
  11. Cobus Vermeulen & Kabelo Masike, "undated". "The time-varying elasticity of South African electricity demand: 1980 - 2018," ERSA Working Paper Series v::y:2020:i::id:87, Economic Research Southern Africa.
  12. Arndt, Channing & Davies, Rob & Gabriel, Sherwin & Makrelov, Konstantin & Merven, Bruno & Hartley, Faaiqa & Thurlow, James, 2016. "A sequential approach to integrated energy modeling in South Africa," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 591-599.
  13. Suganthi, L. & Samuel, Anand A., 2012. "Energy models for demand forecasting—A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 1223-1240.
  14. Adom, Philip Kofi & Bekoe, William, 2013. "Modelling electricity demand in Ghana revisited: The role of policy regime changes," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 42-50.
  15. Koech Cheruiyot & Ezekiel Lengaram & Mncedisi Siteleki, 2024. "South Africa’s Energy Landscape Amidst the Crisis: Unpacking Energy Sources and Drivers with 2022 South African Census Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-20, January.
  16. Keho, Yaya, 2016. "What drives energy consumption in developing countries? The experience of selected African countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 233-246.
  17. Oluwafemi E. Ige & Oludolapo A. Olanrewaju & Kevin J. Duffy & Obiora C. Collins, 2022. "Environmental Impact Analysis of Portland Cement (CEM1) Using the Midpoint Method," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-16, April.
  18. Shao, Zhen & Chao, Fu & Yang, Shan-Lin & Zhou, Kai-Le, 2017. "A review of the decomposition methodology for extracting and identifying the fluctuation characteristics in electricity demand forecasting," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 123-136.
  19. Baruah, Debendra Chandra & Enweremadu, Christopher Chintua, 2019. "Prospects of decentralized renewable energy to improve energy access: A resource-inventory-based analysis of South Africa," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 328-341.
  20. Channing Arndt & Rob Davies & Sherwin Gabriel & Konstantin Makrelov & Bruno Merven & Faaiqa Salie & James Thurlow, 2014. "An Integrated Approach to Modelling Energy Policy in South Africa: Evaluating Carbon Taxes and Electricity Import Restrictions," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2014-135, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
  21. Zhang, Jinjun & Abbasi, Kashif Raza & Hussain, Khadim & Akram, Sabahat & Alvarado, Rafael & Almulhim, Abdulaziz I., 2022. "Another perspective towards energy consumption factors in Pakistan: Fresh policy insights from novel methodological framework," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C).
  22. Ndubuisi, Gideon & Avenyo, Elvis Korku & Asiama, Rex, 2025. "Dancing on the grid: Electricity crises, energy vulnerability, and manufacturing jobs in South Africa," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
  23. Angelika Goliger & Landon McMillan, 2018. "The tipping point: The impact of rising electricity tariffs on large firms in South Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2018-32, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
  24. Sansia Blackmore & Renee Van Eyden, "undated". "A Sequence to Reverse Poverty: Institutions, State Capacity and Human Empowerment," ERSA Working Paper Series v::y:2020:i::id:97, Economic Research Southern Africa.
  25. Hlalefang Khobai & Sanderson Abel & Pierre Le Roux, 2016. "Co-integration between Electricity Supply and Economic Growth in South Africa," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, vol. 6(3), pages 637-645.
  26. Yeqi An & Yulin Zhou & Rongrong Li, 2019. "Forecasting India’s Electricity Demand Using a Range of Probabilistic Methods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-24, July.
  27. Masike, Kabelo & Vermeulen, Cobus, 2022. "The time-varying elasticity of South African electricity demand," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
  28. Arndt, Channing & Davies, Rob & Gabriel, Sherwin & Makrelov, Konstantin & Merven, Bruno, 2014. "An integrated approach to modelling energy policy in South Africa: Evaluating carbon taxes and electricity import restrictions," WIDER Working Paper Series 135, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
  29. Adom, Philip Kofi, 2017. "The long-run price sensitivity dynamics of industrial and residential electricity demand: The impact of deregulating electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 43-60.
  30. Lili Wang & Lina Zhan & Rongrong Li, 2019. "Prediction of the Energy Demand Trend in Middle Africa—A Comparison of MGM, MECM, ARIMA and BP Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-16, April.
  31. Omar Jouma El-Hafez & Tarek Y. ElMekkawy & Mohamed Kharbeche & Ahmed Massoud, 2022. "Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Qatar Electricity Demand and Load Forecasting: Preparedness of Distribution Networks for Emerging Situations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-13, July.
  32. Angelika Goliger & Aalia Cassim, 2018. "Household tipping points in the face of rising electricity tariffs in South Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2018-33, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
  33. Bianco, Vincenzo & Manca, Oronzio & Nardini, Sergio & Minea, Alina A., 2010. "Analysis and forecasting of nonresidential electricity consumption in Romania," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(11), pages 3584-3590, November.
  34. Lin, Boqiang & Wang, Ailun, 2015. "Estimating energy conservation potential in China's commercial sector," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 147-156.
  35. Günay, M. Erdem, 2016. "Forecasting annual gross electricity demand by artificial neural networks using predicted values of socio-economic indicators and climatic conditions: Case of Turkey," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 92-101.
  36. Inglesi-Lotz, Roula & Blignaut, James N., 2011. "South Africa’s electricity consumption: A sectoral decomposition analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(12), pages 4779-4784.
  37. You, Siming & Neoh, Koon Gee & Tong, Yen Wah & Dai, Yanjun & Wang, Chi-Hwa, 2017. "Variation of household electricity consumption and potential impact of outdoor PM2.5 concentration: A comparison between Singapore and Shanghai," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 475-484.
  38. Varma, Rashmi & Sushil,, 2019. "Bridging the electricity demand and supply gap using dynamic modeling in the Indian context," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 515-535.
  39. Bilgili, Faik & Pamuk, Yalçın & Halıcı Tülüce, Nadide Sevil, 2010. "Short run and long run dynamics of residential electricity consumption: Homogeneous and heterogeneous panel estimations for OECD," MPRA Paper 33291, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2011.
  40. Minglu Ma & Min Su & Shuyu Li & Feng Jiang & Rongrong Li, 2018. "Predicting Coal Consumption in South Africa Based on Linear (Metabolic Grey Model), Nonlinear (Non-Linear Grey Model), and Combined (Metabolic Grey Model-Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model) Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-15, July.
  41. Monyei, C.G. & Jenkins, K.E.H. & Viriri, S. & Adewumi, A.O., 2018. "Policy discussion for sustainable integrated electricity expansion in South Africa," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 132-143.
  42. Monyei, C.G. & Adewumi, A.O., 2017. "Demand Side Management potentials for mitigating energy poverty in South Africa," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 298-311.
  43. Inglesi-Lotz, R. & Pouris, A., 2012. "Energy efficiency in South Africa: A decomposition exercise," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 113-120.
  44. Klug, Thomas W. & Beyene, Abebe D. & Meles, Tensay H. & Toman, Michael A. & Hassen, Sied & Hou, Michael & Klooss, Benjamin & Mekonnen, Alemu & Jeuland, Marc, 2022. "A review of impacts of electricity tariff reform in Africa," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
  45. Boqiang Lin & Weisheng Liu, 2017. "Scenario Prediction of Energy Consumption and CO 2 Emissions in China’s Machinery Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-18, January.
  46. Daniel Morais de Souza & Rogerio Silva de Mattos & Alexandre Zanini, 2022. "Estimating Elasticities for the Residential Demand of Electricity in Brazil Using Cointegration Models," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, vol. 12(2), pages 315-324, March.
  47. Steinbuks, Jevgenijs, 2019. "Assessing the accuracy of electricity production forecasts in developing countries," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1175-1185.
  48. Debnath, Kumar Biswajit & Mourshed, Monjur, 2018. "Forecasting methods in energy planning models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 297-325.
  49. Amirnekooei, K. & Ardehali, M.M. & Sadri, A., 2012. "Integrated resource planning for Iran: Development of reference energy system, forecast, and long-term energy-environment plan," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 374-385.
  50. Amoah, Anthony & Ferrini, Silvia & Schaafsma, Marije, 2019. "Electricity outages in Ghana: Are contingent valuation estimates valid?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
  51. Gechert, Sebastian & Mey, Bianka & Prante, Franz & Schäfer, Teresa, 2025. "The Price Elasticity of Heating and Cooling Energy Demand," I4R Discussion Paper Series 265, The Institute for Replication (I4R).
  52. Overen Ochuko Kelvin & Meyer Leroy Edson & Makaka Golden, 2017. "Thermal, Economic and Environmental Analysis of a Low-Cost House in Alice, South Africa," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-20, March.
  53. Hongyun, Han & Radwan, Amira, 2021. "Economic and social structure and electricity consumption in Egypt," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
  54. Bothwell Nyoni & Andrew Phiri, 2018. "The Electricity-growth Nexus in South Africa: Evidence from Asymmetric Cointegration and Co-feature Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, vol. 8(6), pages 80-88.
  55. Bohlmann, Jessika Andreina & Inglesi-Lotz, Roula, 2018. "Analysing the South African residential sector's energy profile," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 240-252.
  56. Zhang, S. & Mishra, Y. & Shahidehpour, M., 2017. "Utilizing distributed energy resources to support frequency regulation services," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 1484-1494.
  57. Adewuyi, Adeolu O., 2016. "Determinants of import demand for non-renewable energy (petroleum) products: Empirical evidence from Nigeria," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 73-93.
  58. Khalifa, Ahmed & Caporin, Massimiliano & Di Fonzo, Tommaso, 2019. "Scenario-based forecast for the electricity demand in Qatar and the role of energy efficiency improvements," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 155-164.
  59. Tang, Ling & Yu, Lean & Wang, Shuai & Li, Jianping & Wang, Shouyang, 2012. "A novel hybrid ensemble learning paradigm for nuclear energy consumption forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 432-443.
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  63. Minglu Ma & Zhuangzhuang Wang, 2019. "Prediction of the Energy Consumption Variation Trend in South Africa based on ARIMA, NGM and NGM-ARIMA Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-15, December.
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  65. Khaya Pearlman Shabangu & Babatunde Femi Bakare & Joseph Kapuku Bwapwa, 2022. "Microbial Fuel Cells for Electrical Energy: Outlook on Scaling-Up and Application Possibilities towards South African Energy Grid," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-27, November.
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