Extensive comparison of physical models for photovoltaic power forecasting
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- Ian B. Benitez & Jessa A. Ibañez & Cenon III D. Lumabad & Jayson M. Cañete & Jeark A. Principe, 2023. "Day-Ahead Hourly Solar Photovoltaic Output Forecasting Using SARIMAX, Long Short-Term Memory, and Extreme Gradient Boosting: Case of the Philippines," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(23), pages 1-21, November.
- Brester, Christina & Kallio-Myers, Viivi & Lindfors, Anders V. & Kolehmainen, Mikko & Niska, Harri, 2023. "Evaluating neural network models in site-specific solar PV forecasting using numerical weather prediction data and weather observations," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 207(C), pages 266-274.
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- Mayer, Martin János & Yang, Dazhi, 2024. "Optimal place to apply post-processing in the deterministic photovoltaic power forecasting workflow," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 371(C).
- Wan, Hang & Wang, Jiasong & Gan, Quan & Xia, Yaping & Chang, Yufang & Yan, Huaicheng, 2025. "Addressing intermittency in medium-term photovoltaic and wind power forecasting using a hybrid xLSTM-TCCNN model with numerical weather predictions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
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- Markovics, Dávid & Mayer, Martin János, 2022. "Comparison of machine learning methods for photovoltaic power forecasting based on numerical weather prediction," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
- Liu, Wencheng & Mao, Zhizhong, 2024. "Short-term photovoltaic power forecasting with feature extraction and attention mechanisms," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
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- Yubo Wang & Chao Huo & Fei Xu & Libin Zheng & Ling Hao, 2025. "Ultra-Short-Term Distributed Photovoltaic Power Probabilistic Forecasting Method Based on Federated Learning and Joint Probability Distribution Modeling," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(1), pages 1-21, January.
- Wang, Yong & Yang, Zhongsen & Zhou, Ying & Liu, Hao & Yang, Rui & Sun, Lang & Sapnken, Flavian Emmanuel & Narayanan, Govindasami, 2025. "A novel structure adaptive new information priority grey Bernoulli model and its application in China's renewable energy production," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(C).
- Weihui Xu & Zhaoke Wang & Weishu Wang & Jian Zhao & Miaojia Wang & Qinbao Wang, 2024. "Short-Term Photovoltaic Output Prediction Based on Decomposition and Reconstruction and XGBoost under Two Base Learners," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(4), pages 1-19, February.
- Cao, Yisheng & Liu, Gang & Luo, Donghua & Bavirisetti, Durga Prasad & Xiao, Gang, 2023. "Multi-timescale photovoltaic power forecasting using an improved Stacking ensemble algorithm based LSTM-Informer model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
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- Wang, Min & Rao, Congjun & Xiao, Xinping & Hu, Zhuo & Goh, Mark, 2024. "Efficient shrinkage temporal convolutional network model for photovoltaic power prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 297(C).
- Wang, Junjie & Ye, Li & Ding, Xiaoyu & Dang, Yaoguo, 2024. "A novel seasonal grey prediction model with time-lag and interactive effects for forecasting the photovoltaic power generation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
- Dou, Weijing & Wang, Kai & Shan, Shuo & Chen, Mingyu & Zhang, Kanjian & Wei, Haikun & Sreeram, Victor, 2025. "A multi-modal deep clustering method for day-ahead solar irradiance forecasting using ground-based cloud imagery and time series data," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 321(C).
- Louzazni, Mohamed & Al-Dahidi, Sameer, 2021. "Approximation of photovoltaic characteristics curves using Bézier Curve," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 715-732.
- Tian, Zhirui & Liang, Bingjie, 2025. "PVMTF: End-to-end long-sequence time-series forecasting frameworks based on patch technique and information fusion coding for mid-term photovoltaic power forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 396(C).
- Tang, Huadu & Kang, Fei & Li, Xinyu & Sun, Yong, 2025. "Short-term photovoltaic power prediction model based on feature construction and improved transformer," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 320(C).
- Ankun Hu & Zexia Duan & Yichi Zhang & Zifan Huang & Tianbo Ji & Xuanhua Yin, 2025. "Impact of PM 2.5 Pollution on Solar Photovoltaic Power Generation in Hebei Province, China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(15), pages 1-26, August.
- Sameer Al-Dahidi & Manoharan Madhiarasan & Loiy Al-Ghussain & Ahmad M. Abubaker & Adnan Darwish Ahmad & Mohammad Alrbai & Mohammadreza Aghaei & Hussein Alahmer & Ali Alahmer & Piero Baraldi & Enrico Z, 2024. "Forecasting Solar Photovoltaic Power Production: A Comprehensive Review and Innovative Data-Driven Modeling Framework," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(16), pages 1-38, August.
- Chen, Xiang & Ding, Kun & Zhang, Jingwei & Han, Wei & Liu, Yongjie & Yang, Zenan & Weng, Shuai, 2022. "Online prediction of ultra-short-term photovoltaic power using chaotic characteristic analysis, improved PSO and KELM," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
- Yu, Sheng & He, Bin & Fang, Lei, 2025. "Multi-step short-term forecasting of photovoltaic power utilizing TimesNet with enhanced feature extraction and a novel loss function," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 388(C).
- Varga, György & Gresina, Fruzsina & Gelencsér, András & Csávics, Adrienn & Rostási, Ágnes, 2026. "The shadow of the wind: the impact of Saharan dust on photovoltaic power generation in the Mediterranean," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(PF).
- Mayer, Martin János & Yang, Dazhi & Szintai, Balázs, 2023. "Comparing global and regional downscaled NWP models for irradiance and photovoltaic power forecasting: ECMWF versus AROME," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 352(C).
- Tong, Shuoying & Jiang, Anqi & Luo, Jiabin & Hu, Hao & An, Ziheng & Zhang, Shuqing, 2026. "Dual-channel feature extraction and weather-guided two-stage clustering for short-term photovoltaic power prediction," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
- Zhai, Chao & He, Xinyi & Cao, Zhixiang & Abdou-Tankari, Mahamadou & Wang, Yi & Zhang, Minghao, 2025. "Photovoltaic power forecasting based on VMD-SSA-Transformer: Multidimensional analysis of dataset length, weather mutation and forecast accuracy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 324(C).
- Sara Pereira & Paulo Canhoto & Rui Salgado, 2024. "Prediction of Global Solar Irradiance on Parallel Rows of Tilted Surfaces Including the Effect of Direct and Anisotropic Diffuse Shading," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(14), pages 1-32, July.
- Paweł Piotrowski & Mirosław Parol & Piotr Kapler & Bartosz Fetliński, 2022. "Advanced Forecasting Methods of 5-Minute Power Generation in a PV System for Microgrid Operation Control," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-23, April.
- Xiaohong Huang & Xiuzhen Ding & Yating Han & Qi Sima & Xiaokang Li & Yukun Bao, 2025. "Day-Ahead Photovoltaic Power Forecasting Based on SN-Transformer-BiMixer," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(16), pages 1-27, August.
- Huang, Congzhi & Yang, Mengyuan, 2023. "Memory long and short term time series network for ultra-short-term photovoltaic power forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
- Latifa A. Yousef & Hibba Yousef & Lisandra Rocha-Meneses, 2023. "Artificial Intelligence for Management of Variable Renewable Energy Systems: A Review of Current Status and Future Directions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(24), pages 1-27, December.
- Li, Baojie & Chen, Xin & Jain, Anubhav, 2024. "Power modeling of degraded PV systems: Case studies using a dynamically updated physical model (PV-Pro)," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
- Yu, Min & Niu, Dongxiao & Wang, Keke & Du, Ruoyun & Yu, Xiaoyu & Sun, Lijie & Wang, Feiran, 2023. "Short-term photovoltaic power point-interval forecasting based on double-layer decomposition and WOA-BiLSTM-Attention and considering weather classification," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
- Niu, Yunbo & Wang, Jianzhou & Zhang, Ziyuan & Luo, Tianrui & Liu, Jingjiang, 2024. "De-Trend First, Attend Next: A Mid-Term PV forecasting system with attention mechanism and encoder–decoder structure," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 353(PB).
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- Yu, Hanxin & Chen, Shanlin & Chu, Yinghao & Li, Mengying & Ding, Yueming & Cui, Rongxi & Zhao, Xin, 2024. "Self-attention mechanism to enhance the generalizability of data-driven time-series prediction: A case study of intra-hour power forecasting of urban distributed photovoltaic systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 374(C).
- Yang, Dazhi & Yagli, Gokhan Mert & Srinivasan, Dipti, 2022. "Sub-minute probabilistic solar forecasting for real-time stochastic simulations," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
- Yuan-Kang Wu & Cheng-Liang Huang & Quoc-Thang Phan & Yuan-Yao Li, 2022. "Completed Review of Various Solar Power Forecasting Techniques Considering Different Viewpoints," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-22, May.
- Gao, Yuan & Hu, Zehuan & Chen, Wei-An & Liu, Mingzhe & Ruan, Yingjun, 2025. "A revolutionary neural network architecture with interpretability and flexibility based on Kolmogorov–Arnold for solar radiation and temperature forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 378(PA).
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- Chao Gao & Shuai Zhang & Zhiqin Li & Bin Zhou & Dong Guo & Wenqi Shao & Haowen Li, 2025. "Photovoltaic Power Prediction Based on Similar Day Clustering Combined with CNN-GRU," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(16), pages 1-20, August.
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- Chen, Rujian & Liu, Gang & Cao, Yisheng & Xiao, Gang & Tang, Jianchao, 2024. "CGAformer: Multi-scale feature Transformer with MLP architecture for short-term photovoltaic power forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 312(C).
- Mayer, Martin János & Yang, Dazhi, 2023. "Pairing ensemble numerical weather prediction with ensemble physical model chain for probabilistic photovoltaic power forecasting," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
- Shi, Hongrong & Yang, Dazhi & Wang, Wenting & Fu, Disong & Gao, Ling & Zhang, Jinqiang & Hu, Bo & Shan, Yunpeng & Zhang, Yingjie & Bian, Yuxuan & Chen, Hongbin & Xia, Xiangao, 2023. "First estimation of high-resolution solar photovoltaic resource maps over China with Fengyun-4A satellite and machine learning," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
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- Min, Hyunsik & Noh, Byeongjoon, 2025. "SolarNexus: A deep learning framework for adaptive photovoltaic power generation forecasting and scalable management," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 391(C).
- Bo Gu & Xi Li & Fengliang Xu & Xiaopeng Yang & Fayi Wang & Pengzhan Wang, 2023. "Forecasting and Uncertainty Analysis of Day-Ahead Photovoltaic Power Based on WT-CNN-BiLSTM-AM-GMM," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-27, April.
- Zhang, Ruoyang & Wu, Yu & Zhang, Lei & Xu, Chongbin & Wang, ZeYu & Zhang, Yanfeng & Sun, Xiaomin & Zuo, Xin & Wu, Yuhan & Chen, Qian, 2025. "A multiscale network with mixed features and extended regional weather forecasts for predicting short-term photovoltaic power," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 318(C).
- Yang, Yanru & Liu, Yu & Zhang, Yihang & Shu, Shaolong & Zheng, Junsheng, 2025. "DEST-GNN: A double-explored spatio-temporal graph neural network for multi-site intra-hour PV power forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 378(PA).
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- Ahn, Hyeunguk, 2024. "A framework for developing data-driven correction factors for solar PV systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
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- Chen, Xiaoyang & Du, Yang & Lim, Enggee & Fang, Lurui & Yan, Ke, 2022. "Towards the applicability of solar nowcasting: A practice on predictive PV power ramp-rate control," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 147-166.
- Guo, Xiaojie & Zeng, Pingliang & Xiong, Xiong & Wang, Guodong, 2026. "A physical model and data-driven synergy method for short-term photovoltaic power prediction," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(PE).
- Pereira, Sara & Canhoto, Paulo & Oozeki, Takashi & Salgado, Rui, 2025. "Comprehensive approach to photovoltaic power forecasting using numerical weather prediction data and physics-based models and data-driven techniques," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
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