IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v328y2025ics0360544225021887.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Accurate photovoltaic power prediction via temperature correction with physics-informed neural networks

Author

Listed:
  • Wang, Keqi
  • Wang, Lijie
  • Meng, Qiang
  • Yang, Chao
  • Lin, Yangshu
  • Zhu, Junye
  • Zhao, Zhongyang
  • Zhou, Can
  • Zheng, Chenghang
  • Gao, Xiang

Abstract

Photovoltaic (PV) power generation, an essential part of renewable energy, is affected by both irradiance and module temperature. Accurately predicting PV module temperature and power output is essential for optimizing system operations and management. This paper proposes a PV module temperature prediction model based on physics-informed neural networks (PINN). The model uses an ordinary differential equation (ODE) to simulate the energy exchange between the PV module and its environment, accurately predicting the module's temperature. The temperature features generated by the PINN are then integrated with a long-short term cross attention mechanism (LSCAM) as part of the input for PV power prediction. This fusion of mechanism data-driven features enables precise forecasting of PV power generation. Experimental validation on a test set from a PV site in Zhejiang Province, China, demonstrates high R-squared values for both temperature prediction (0.9808, 0.9602, 0.9806, 0.9811) and power prediction (0.9880, 0.9720, 0.9829, 0.9872) across different seasons. The results show that the model significantly improves the prediction accuracy and enhances generalization, offering strong support for the future intelligent control and optimization of PV systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Keqi & Wang, Lijie & Meng, Qiang & Yang, Chao & Lin, Yangshu & Zhu, Junye & Zhao, Zhongyang & Zhou, Can & Zheng, Chenghang & Gao, Xiang, 2025. "Accurate photovoltaic power prediction via temperature correction with physics-informed neural networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 328(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:328:y:2025:i:c:s0360544225021887
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2025.136546
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544225021887
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2025.136546?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:328:y:2025:i:c:s0360544225021887. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.