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Variance Risk Premia, Asset Predictability Puzzles, and Macroeconomic Uncertainty

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Shi, Yukun & Stasinakis, Charalampos & Xu, Yaofei & Yan, Cheng, 2022. "Market co-movement between credit default swap curves and option volatility surfaces," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  2. Himounet, Nicolas, 2022. "Searching the nature of uncertainty: Macroeconomic and financial risks VS geopolitical and pandemic risks," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 1-31.
  3. Chen, Qiang & Han, Yu, 2023. "Options market ambiguity and its information content," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  4. Lansing, Kevin J. & LeRoy, Stephen F. & Ma, Jun, 2022. "Examining the sources of excess return predictability: Stochastic volatility or market inefficiency?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 50-72.
  5. Zacharias Psaradakis & Martin Sola & Nicola Spagnolo & Patricio Yunis, 2024. "Predictive Accuracy of Impulse Responses Estimated Using Local Projections and Vector Autoregressions," Department of Economics Working Papers 2024_02, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.
  6. Fabian Hollstein & Marcel Prokopczuk & Christoph Würsig, 2020. "Volatility term structures in commodity markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 527-555, April.
  7. Luis García‐Feijóo & Ariel M. Viale, 2023. "Ambiguity and risk factors in bank stocks," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 46(4), pages 993-1019, December.
  8. Cao, Charles & Simin, Timothy & Xiao, Han, 2019. "Predicting the equity premium with the implied volatility spread," MPRA Paper 103651, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  9. Lucas Papagelis & George Dotsis, 2025. "The Variance Risk Premium Over Trading and Nontrading Periods," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(7), pages 752-770, July.
  10. Sakshi Saini & Sanjay Sehgal & Florent Deisting, 2020. "Monetary Policy, Risk Aversion and Uncertainty in an International Context," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 24(3-4), pages 211-266, September.
  11. Forbes, Kristin J. & Warnock, Francis E., 2021. "Capital flow waves—or ripples? Extreme capital flow movements since the crisis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
  12. Besma Hkiri & Juncal Cunado & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Time-varying relationship between conventional and unconventional monetary policies and risk aversion: international evidence from time- and frequency-domains," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 2963-2983, December.
  13. Yabei Zhu & Xingguo Luo & Qi Xu, 2023. "Industry variance risk premium, cross‐industry correlation, and expected returns," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(1), pages 3-32, January.
  14. Mingyu Shu & Jieli Wang & Menglong Chen & Hanru Wang, 2025. "Multi-scale Dynamic Correlation Between Climate Shock and China's Stock Market: Evidence Based on High Frequency Data," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 66(3), pages 2265-2304, September.
  15. Pratish Patel & Andrew Raquel & Savannah Chadwick, 2024. "The cash-secured put-write strategy and the variance risk premium," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 25(1), pages 31-50, February.
  16. Yun, Jaeho, 2020. "A re-examination of the predictability of stock returns and cash flows via the decomposition of VIX," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
  17. Rhea Choudhary, 2022. "AnalysingthespillovereffectsoftheSouthAfricanReserveBanksbondpurchaseprogramme," Working Papers 11039, South African Reserve Bank.
  18. Blomkvist, Magnus & Korkeamäki, Timo & Takalo, Tuomas, 2022. "Learning and staged equity financing," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  19. Iachan, Felipe S. & Silva, Dejanir & Zi, Chao, 2022. "Under-diversification and idiosyncratic risk externalities," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(3), pages 1227-1250.
  20. Ghaderi, Mohammad & Kilic, Mete & Seo, Sang Byung, 2022. "Learning, slowly unfolding disasters, and asset prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(1), pages 527-549.
  21. Andreou, Elena & Ghysels, Eric, 2021. "Predicting the VIX and the volatility risk premium: The role of short-run funding spreads Volatility Factors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 220(2), pages 366-398.
  22. José Afonso Faias & Juan Arismendi Zambrano, 2022. "Equity Risk Premium Predictability from Cross-Sectoral Downturns [International asset allocation with regime shifts]," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 12(3), pages 808-842.
  23. McMillan, David G. & Ziadat, Salem Adel, 2025. "The predictive power of the oil variance risk premium," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
  24. Hu, Grace Xing & Pan, Jun & Wang, Jiang & Zhu, Haoxiang, 2022. "Premium for heightened uncertainty: Explaining pre-announcement market returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(3), pages 909-936.
  25. Dörries, Julian & Korn, Olaf & Power, Gabriel J., 2023. "How should the long-term investor harvest variance risk premiums?," CFR Working Papers 23-06, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
  26. Roh, Tai-Yong & Byun, Suk Joon & Xu, Yahua, 2020. "Downside uncertainty shocks in the oil and gold markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 291-307.
  27. Nicolas Himounet, 2022. "Searching the nature of uncertainty: Macroeconomic and financial risks VS geopolitical and pandemic risks," Post-Print hal-05113023, HAL.
  28. Ceylan, Özcan, 2021. "Time-varying risk aversion and its macroeconomic and financial determinants - A comparative analysis in the U.S. and French financial markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
  29. Lars A. Lochstoer & Tyler Muir, 2022. "Volatility Expectations and Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(2), pages 1055-1096, April.
  30. David G. McMillan, 2023. "Do financial markets predict macroeconomic performance? US evidence from risk‐based measures," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 91(5), pages 439-466, September.
  31. Tengfei Zhang, 2020. "Manager Uncertainty and Cross-Sectional Stock Returns," 2020 Papers pzh934, Job Market Papers.
  32. Zhou, Dong-hai & Liu, Xiao-xing, 2023. "Do world stock markets “jump” together? A measure of high-frequency volatility risk spillover networks," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
  33. Dunbar, Kwamie & Owusu-Amoako, Johnson, 2021. "The impact of hedging on risk-averse agents’ output decisions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
  34. Francisco Gomes & Alexander Michaelides & Yuxin Zhang, 2022. "Tactical Target Date Funds," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(4), pages 3047-3070, April.
  35. Jian Yang & Zheng Li & Hong Miao, 2021. "Volatility spillovers in commodity futures markets: A network approach," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(12), pages 1959-1987, December.
  36. Rhea Choudhary, 2022. "Analysing the spillover effects of the South African Reserve Banks bond purchase programme," Working Papers 11025, South African Reserve Bank.
  37. Hattori, Masazumi & Shim, Ilhyock & Sugihara, Yoshihiko, 2021. "Cross-stock market spillovers through variance risk premiums and equity flows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
  38. Shi, Yunkun & Stasinakis, Charalampos & Xu, Yaofei & Yan, Cheng & Zhang, Xuan, 2022. "Stock price default boundary: A Black-Cox model approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  39. Prokopczuk, Marcel & Stancu, Andrei & Symeonidis, Lazaros, 2019. "The economic drivers of commodity market volatility," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 1-1.
  40. Juan M. Londono & Nancy R. Xu, 2021. "The Global Determinants of International Equity Risk Premiums," International Finance Discussion Papers 1318, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  41. Cao, Charles & Simin, Timothy & Xiao, Han, 2020. "Predicting the equity premium with the implied volatility spread," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
  42. Kita, Arben & Tortorice, Daniel L., 2021. "Same firm, two volatilities: How variance risk is priced in credit and equity markets," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
  43. Xiaoli Hu & Ya Kang & Oliver Zhen Li & Yupeng Lin, 2025. "Trump election and minority CEO pessimism," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 950-993, March.
  44. Dunbar, Kwamie & Owusu-Amoako, Johnson, 2023. "Predicting inflation expectations: A habit-based explanation under hedging," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  45. Hening Liu & Yuzhao Zhang, 2022. "Financial Uncertainty with Ambiguity and Learning," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(3), pages 2120-2140, March.
  46. Nicolas Himounet & Francisco Serranito & Julien Vauday, 2021. "Uncertainty is bad for Business. Really?," Working Papers 2021.03, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
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