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FDI-led growth models: Sraffian supermultiplier models of export platforms and tax havens

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  • Woodgate, Ryan

Abstract

This paper develops two Sraffian supermultiplier models of two different kinds of economies that are dependent upon foreign direct investment (FDI): the "export platform FDI-led" growth model and the "tax haven FDI-led" growth model. The former is driven by the growth of the exports of foreign-owned firms and is associated with greenfield FDI inflows, whereas the latter is driven by the growth of profits booked at foreign-owned shell companies that are partly absorbed through taxation and is associated with intangible FDI inflows. The two models achieve demand, output, and income growth via fundamentally different channels yet appear similarly export-led given how profit shifting artificially inflates the net exports of tax havens. Based on these models, a set of empirical indicators are proposed to differentiate exportplatform from tax haven economies. In contrast to Bohle/Regan (2021), who characterise output growth in both Hungary and Ireland as being led by the exports of foreign-owned firms, the model and indicators proposed here support the hypothesis that Ireland is closer to the tax haven FDI-led growth model.

Suggested Citation

  • Woodgate, Ryan, 2022. "FDI-led growth models: Sraffian supermultiplier models of export platforms and tax havens," IPE Working Papers 198/2022, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ipewps:1982022
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gabriel Zucman, 2014. "Taxing across Borders: Tracking Personal Wealth and Corporate Profits," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 28(4), pages 121-148, Fall.
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    6. Ryan Woodgate, 2022. "Profit-led in effect or in appearance alone? Estimating the Irish demand regime given the influence of multinational enterprises," Review of Evolutionary Political Economy, Springer, vol. 3(2), pages 319-350, July.
    7. Ümit Akcay & Eckhard Hein & Benjamin Jungmann, 2022. "Financialisation and Macroeconomic Regimes in Emerging Capitalist Countries Before and After the Great Recession," International Journal of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(2), pages 77-100, April.
    8. Woodgate, Ryan, 2021. "Multinational corporations and commercialised states: Can state aid serve as the basis for an FDI-driven growth strategy?," IPE Working Papers 161/2021, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
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    2. Benjamin Jungmann, 2023. "Growth drivers in emerging capitalist economies: building blocks for a post-Keynesian analysis and an empirical exploration of the years before and after the Global Financial Crisis," Review of Evolutionary Political Economy, Springer, vol. 4(2), pages 349-386, July.
    3. Robert A. Blecker, 2025. "Conflict and cooperation in international trade: post-Keynesian perspectives," FMM Working Paper 119-2025, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • P44 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Other Economic Systems - - - National Income, Product, and Expenditure; Money; Inflation
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business
    • F62 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Macroeconomic Impacts

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