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Productivity slowdown and tax havens: Where is measured value creation?

Author

Listed:
  • Jean-Charles Bricongne

    (Centre de recherche de la Banque de France - Banque de France)

  • Samuel Delpeuch

    (ECON - Département d'économie (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, AMSE - Aix-Marseille Sciences Economiques - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Margarita Lopez-Forero

    (EPEE - Centre d'Etudes des Politiques Economiques - UEVE - Université d'Évry-Val-d'Essonne - Université Paris-Saclay)

Abstract

Based on French firm-level data, we evaluate the contribution of the micro-level profit-shifting –through tax haven foreign direct investments– to the aggregate productivity slowdown measured in France. We show that firm measured productivity in France declines over the years following the establishment in a tax haven, with an average estimated drop by 3.5% in apparent labor productivity. To isolate the contribution of multinational enterprises' (MNEs) tax optimization to the decline in productivity, we then exploit the 2006 Cadbury-Schweppes decision of the European Court of Justice limiting the extent to which member States can counter European MNEs' tax planning strategies. We find that multinational groups benefiting from that loosening of the legal constraints do exhibit a lower labor productivity following that ruling. Finally, given these firms' weight, our results imply an annual loss of 5.7% in terms of the aggregate annual labor productivity growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean-Charles Bricongne & Samuel Delpeuch & Margarita Lopez-Forero, 2023. "Productivity slowdown and tax havens: Where is measured value creation?," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-04171843, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:spmain:hal-04171843
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2023.103757
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://amu.hal.science/hal-04171843v1
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    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Yilan & Lei, Shaohai, 2025. "Tax avoidance opportunity for multinational enterprises: effects of digitalized tax administration in China," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    2. Margarita Lopez-Forero, 2024. "Aggregate Labor Share and Tax Havens: Things are not always what they seem," Working papers 982, Banque de France.
    3. Gao, Peng & Zhang, Kunpeng & Zheng, Peng, 2024. "The impact of industrial digitization on the global value chains position: Evidence from China’ s industry sectors," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 147-162.
    4. Konstantin M. Wacker & Bruno Casella & Maria Borga, 2025. "Measuring multinational production with foreign direct investment statistics: A survey of challenges and recent developments," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(4), pages 1462-1487, September.
    5. Raz, Arisyi F., 2023. "Bank liquidity creation and religious observance: Evidence from Ramadan fasting," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    6. Margarita Lopez Forero & Benjamin Michallet, 2024. "Employment Effects of a Weakening in European Anti-Tax Avoidance Rules: evidence from France," Working Papers 021, EU Tax Observatory.
    7. Soto, Gonzalo H. & Balsalobre-Lorente, Daniel & Martinez-Cobas, Xavier, 2025. "Environmental legislative shaping or green competitive advantages? The role of FDI among environmental regulations," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    8. Jin, Long & Pan, Changchun & Huang, Yuzhe, 2024. "Forecasting disorientation in the tax avoidance map: Tax haven subsidiaries and analyst forecasts," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • D33 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Factor Income Distribution
    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business
    • H26 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Tax Evasion and Avoidance
    • H87 - Public Economics - - Miscellaneous Issues - - - International Fiscal Issues; International Public Goods
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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