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The effect of biodiesel policies on world oilseed markets and developing countries

Author

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  • de Gorter, Harry
  • Drabik, Dusan
  • Timilsina, Govinda R.

Abstract

Using an empirical model, this study provides some insights into the functioning of the oilseed-biodiesel-diesel market complex in a large country that determines the biodiesel price, reflecting market equilibrium changes resulting from volatility in the crude oil price. Oilseed crushing produces joint products -- oil and meal –-- and this weakens the link between the biodiesel and oilseed feedstock prices. Higher crude oil prices increase biodiesel prices if biofuel benefits from a fuel tax exemption, but lower them with a blending mandate (minimum biofuel content requirement in marketed fuel). When both canola and soybeans are used to produce biodiesel, an increase in the crude oil price leads to higher canola prices, but the effect on soybean prices is ambiguous and depends on relative elasticities of meal demand and canola supply because canola produces more oil than soybeans. An oil price shock with a blending mandate results in a smaller change in oilseed prices compared with a fuel tax exemption. Jumps in world crude oil prices have differential impacts on commodity prices and welfare in developing countries, depending on which policy determines the biodiesel price in OECD countries.

Suggested Citation

  • de Gorter, Harry & Drabik, Dusan & Timilsina, Govinda R., 2013. "The effect of biodiesel policies on world oilseed markets and developing countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6453, The World Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:6453
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Harry de Gorter & Dusan Drabik & David R. Just, 2011. "The Economics of a Blender's Tax Credit versus a Tax Exemption: The Case of U.S. "Splash and Dash" Biodiesel Exports to the European Union," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 33(4), pages 510-527.
    2. Lapan, Harvey & Moschini, GianCarlo, 2012. "Second-best biofuel policies and the welfare effects of quantity mandates and subsidies," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 63(2), pages 224-241.
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    Cited by:

    1. Vorotnikova, Ekaterina & Seale, James L, 2014. "The Effect of Energy Policy Act (EPA-2005) on Agricultural Land Allocation Dynamics in the United States," 2014 Annual Meeting, February 1-4, 2014, Dallas, Texas 162553, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Energy Production and Transportation; Markets and Market Access; Renewable Energy; Oil Refining&Gas Industry; Emerging Markets;

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