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The Crisis Hits Home : Stress-Testing Households in Europe and Central Asia

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  • Victor Sulla
  • Naotaka Sugawara
  • Ashley Taylor
  • Erwin R. Tiongson

Abstract

The Europe and Central Asia (ECA) region has been hit by a crisis on multiple fronts. Countries in ECA are facing major, interrelated, external macro-financial shocks. The first is the global growth slowdown leading to falling export market demand. In addition, the prospects for inflows of remittances to low-income countries have been downgraded as economic activity in migrant host countries has declined. The second is the financial deleveraging by major banks and other financial institutions in developed economies, which has markedly reduced the availability, and increased the cost, of external finance across public, corporate, and financial sectors. The third is the recent commodity price changes, which have involved a reversal of much of the commodity price boom of 2007 and 2008. The main objective of the study is to understand the impact of these macroeconomic shocks on household well-being. In particular, it seeks to understand the key macroeconomic shocks confronted by the region and the impact of such shocks on household welfare, including the effect on household income flows, consumption levels, and liabilities. It will also assess possible strategies to cope with the crisis and manage the adverse social impact.
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Suggested Citation

  • Victor Sulla & Naotaka Sugawara & Ashley Taylor & Erwin R. Tiongson, 2010. "The Crisis Hits Home : Stress-Testing Households in Europe and Central Asia," World Bank Publications - Reports 10185, The World Bank Group.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wboper:10185
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ms. Meral Karasulu, 2008. "Stress Testing Household Debt in Korea," IMF Working Papers 2008/255, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Erwin R. Tiongson & Naotaka Sugawara & Victor Sulla & Ashley Taylor & Anna I. Gueorguieva & Victoria Levin & Kalanidhi Subbarao, 2010. "The Crisis Hits Home : Stress-Testing Households in Europe and Central Asia," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 2396, October.
    3. World Bank, 2009. "Armenia : Implications of the Global Economic Crisis for Poverty," World Bank Publications - Reports 3119, The World Bank Group.
    4. Sugawara, Naotaka & Sulla, Victor & Taylor, Ashley & Tiongson, Erwin R., 2010. "The Crisis Hits Home: Stress-Testing Households in Europe and Central Asia," World Bank - Economic Premise, The World Bank, issue 12, pages 1-4, May.
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    3. Elif Karacimen, 2016. "Consumer Credit as an Aspect of Everyday Life of Workers in Developing Countries," Review of Radical Political Economics, Union for Radical Political Economics, vol. 48(2), pages 252-268, May.
    4. Inci Otker-Robe & Anca Maria Podpiera, 2013. "The Social Impact of Financial Crises: Evidence from the Global Financial Crisis," World Bank Publications - Reports 16912, The World Bank Group.
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    6. Aleksandra Riedl, 2021. "Are CESEE borrowers at risk? COVID-19 implications in a stress test analysis," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q1/21, pages 37-53.
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    8. Ruch,Franz Ulrich, 2020. "Prospects, Risks, and Vulnerabilities in Emerging and Developing Economies : Lessons from the Past Decade," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9181, The World Bank.

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