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Comovements of Different Asset Classes During Market Stress

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  • J. Piplack
  • S. Straetmans

Abstract

This paper assesses the linkages between the most important U.S. financial asset classes (stocks, bonds, T-bills and gold) during periods of financial turmoil. Our results have potentially important implications for strategic asset allocation and pension fund management. We use multivariate extreme value theory to estimate the exposure of one asset class to extreme movements in the other asset classes. By applying structural break tests to those measures we study to what extent linkages in extreme asset returns and volatilities are changing over time. Univariate results andch bivariate comovement results exhibit significant breaks in the 1970s and 1980s corresponding to the turbulent times of e.g. the oil shocks, Volcker’s presidency of the Fed or the stock market crash of 1987.

Suggested Citation

  • J. Piplack & S. Straetmans, 2009. "Comovements of Different Asset Classes During Market Stress," Working Papers 09-09, Utrecht School of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:use:tkiwps:0909
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. P. Hartmann & S. Straetmans & C. G. de Vries, 2004. "Asset Market Linkages in Crisis Periods," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 86(1), pages 313-326, February.
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    7. Carmela Quintos & Zhenhong Fan & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2001. "Structural Change Tests in Tail Behaviour and the Asian Crisis," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 68(3), pages 633-663.
    8. Lin, Wen-Ling & Engle, Robert F & Ito, Takatoshi, 1994. "Do Bulls and Bears Move across Borders? International Transmission of Stock Returns and Volatility," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 7(3), pages 507-538.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Takashi Miyazaki & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2018. "The Determinants Of A Simultaneous Crash In Gold And Stock Markets: An Ordered Logit Approach," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 13(01), pages 1-25, March.
    2. Poshakwale, Sunil S. & Mandal, Anandadeep, 2016. "Determinants of asymmetric return comovements of gold and other financial assets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 229-242.
    3. Disli, Mustafa & Nagayev, Ruslan & Salim, Kinan & Rizkiah, Siti K. & Aysan, Ahmet F., 2021. "In search of safe haven assets during COVID-19 pandemic: An empirical analysis of different investor types," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    4. Poshakwale, Sunil S. & Mandal, Anandadeep, 2016. "What drives asymmetric dependence structure of asset return comovements?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 312-330.
    5. Chan, Kam Fong & Treepongkaruna, Sirimon & Brooks, Robert & Gray, Stephen, 2011. "Asset market linkages: Evidence from financial, commodity and real estate assets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(6), pages 1415-1426, June.
    6. Mohamed Arouri & Duc Khuong Nguyen & Kuntara Pukthuanthong, 2014. "Diversification benefits and strategic portfolio allocation across asset classes: The case of the US markets," Working Papers 2014-294, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    7. Phong Nguyen & Wei-han Liu, 2017. "Time-Varying Linkage of Possible Safe Haven Assets: A Cross-Market and Cross-asset Analysis," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 17(1), pages 43-76, March.
    8. Anandadeep Mandal & Sunil S. Poshakwale & Gabriel J. Power, 2021. "Do investors gain from forecasting the asymmetric return co‐movements of financial and real assets?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3246-3268, July.
    9. Franz Fuerst & Pat McAllister & Petros Sivitanides, 2011. "Flight to Quality? An Investigation of the Attributes of Sold Properties in Hot and Cold Markets," Real Estate & Planning Working Papers rep-wp2011-04, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
    10. Wei Huang & Meng-Shiuh Chang, 2021. "Gold and Government Bonds as Safe-Haven Assets Against Stock Market Turbulence in China," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(1), pages 21582440219, January.
    11. Takashi Miyazaki, 2019. "Clarifying the Response of Gold Return to Financial Indicators: An Empirical Comparative Analysis Using Ordinary Least Squares, Robust and Quantile Regressions," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-18, February.
    12. Jessica James & Kristjan Kasikov & Kerry-Ann Edwards, 2012. "The end of diversification," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(11), pages 1629-1636, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Flight to quality; financial market distress; extreme value theory;
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