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Financial development and stock returns: A cross country analysis

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  • Harris Dellas
  • Martin K. Hess

Abstract

We examine stock returns in a cross section of emerging and mature markets (49 countries) over 1980-99. Stock returns are found to be significantly related to the degree of financial development. In general, a deeper and higher quality banking system is associated with lower volatility of stock returns and a greater synchronization in the movements of domestic and world returns. International synchronization is also greater the more liquid the stock market.

Suggested Citation

  • Harris Dellas & Martin K. Hess, 2002. "Financial development and stock returns: A cross country analysis," Diskussionsschriften dp0218, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
  • Handle: RePEc:ube:dpvwib:dp0218
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    Cited by:

    1. Beine, Michel & Cosma, Antonio & Vermeulen, Robert, 2010. "The dark side of global integration: Increasing tail dependence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 184-192, January.
    2. repec:gam:jijfss:v:4:y:2016:i:2:p:10:d:70201 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Michel Beine & Bertrand Candelon, 2011. "Liberalisation and stock market co-movement between emerging economies," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 299-312.
    4. Antzoulatos, Angelos A. & Tsoumas, Chris, 2010. "Financial development and household portfolios - Evidence from Spain, the U.K. and the U.S," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 300-314, March.
    5. Kim, Suk-Joong & Wu, Eliza, 2008. "Sovereign credit ratings, capital flows and financial sector development in emerging markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 17-39, March.
    6. Uluc Aysun & Melanie Guldi, 2011. "Derivatives Market Activity in Emerging Markets and Exchange Rate Exposure," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(6), pages 46-67, November.
    7. Uluc Aysun & Melanie Guldi, 2008. "Increasing Derivatives Market Activity in Emerging Markets and Exchange Rate Exposure," Working papers 2008-06, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2008.
    8. Ye Bai & Christopher Green, 2011. "Determinants of cross-sectional stock return variations in emerging markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(1), pages 81-102, August.
    9. Pengfei Wang & Yi Wen & Zhiwei Xu, . "Financial Development and Long-Run Volatility Trends"," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics.
    10. Dennis P. Quinn & Hans-Joachim Voth, 2008. "A Century of Global Equity Market Correlations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(2), pages 535-540, May.
    11. repec:eee:reveco:v:51:y:2017:i:c:p:314-327 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. repec:eee:finsta:v:33:y:2017:i:c:p:150-162 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Donadelli, Michael & Paradiso, Antonio, 2014. "Does financial integration affect real exchange rate volatility and cross-country equity market returns correlation?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 206-220.
    14. Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose, 2017. "Asset prices and macroeconomic outcomes: A survey," CAMA Working Papers 2017-76, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    15. Dibeh, Ghassan, 2007. "Contagion effects in a chartist–fundamentalist model with time delays," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 382(1), pages 52-57.
    16. Quinn, Dennis & Voth, Hans-Joachim, 2008. "Free Flows, Limited Diversification: Explaining the Fall and Rise of Stock Market Correlations, 1890-2001," CEPR Discussion Papers 7013, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    17. Mobeen Ur Rehman & Syed Muhammad Amir Shah, 2016. "Does Bilateral Market and Financial Integration Explains International Co-Movement Patterns 1," International Journal of Financial Studies, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 4(2), pages 1-13, May.
    18. International Monetary Fund, 2008. "Russian Federation; Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 08/308, International Monetary Fund.
    19. Wang, Luxuan & Niu, Ben & Wei, Junjie, 2016. "Dynamical analysis for a model of asset prices with two delays," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 447(C), pages 297-313.
    20. Balázs Égert & Evžen Kočenda, 2011. "Time-varying synchronization of European stock markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 40(2), pages 393-407, April.
    21. Dennis Quinn & Hans-Joachim Voth, 2010. "Free Flows, Limited Diversification: Openness and the Fall and Rise of Stock Market Correlations, 1890-2001," NBER Chapters,in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2009, pages 7-39 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    22. Pengfei Wang & Yi Wen & Zhiwei Xu, . "Financial Development and Long-Run Volatility Trends"," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics.
    23. Christian Aubin & Jean-Pierre Berdot & Daniel Goyeau & Jacques Léonard, 2005. "Quelle convergence financière pour les pecos ?. Une analyse économétrique de l'évolution des marchés d'actions (1998-2003)," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 56(1), pages 147-169.
    24. Uluc Aysun & Melanie Guldi, 2011. "Derivatives Market Activity in Emerging Markets and Exchange Rate Exposure," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 47(6), pages 46-67, November.
    25. Liu, Yuna, 2016. "Trust and stock market correlation: a cross-country analysis," Umeå Economic Studies 924, Umeå University, Department of Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial development; stock returns;

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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