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Aid's impact on democracy

Author

Listed:
  • Miguel Niño-Zarazúa

    (Department of Economics, SOAS University of London & United Nations University - World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER))

  • Ana Horigoshi

    (Universite Paris Dauphine/PSL)

  • Rachel M. Gisselquist

    (United Nations University - World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER))

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of foreign aid on democratic outcomes using a panel of countries for the period between 1995 and 2018. In so doing, it speaks to a major critique of foreign aid, which is that it negatively impacts democratic governance. The analysis distinguishes between developmental aid and democracy aid, and examines democracy aid to specific sectors, in order to explore variation across different aid types. It draws on the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development’s (OECD) Creditor Reporting System (CRS) data on foreign aid and indices of democracy from the Varieties of Democracy project, employing a combination of a maximum likelihood estimation and structural equation modelling (ML-SEM) model and fixed effects models. Overall, using a more extensive set of data and methods than previous analyses, we offer comprehensive evidence pointing to aid having a positive if modest impact on democratic outcomes. Our analysis suggests this effect is more significant for democracy aid than developmental aid, but there is no evidence of negative impact for either. These results are robust to multiple specifications

Suggested Citation

  • Miguel Niño-Zarazúa & Ana Horigoshi & Rachel M. Gisselquist, 2022. "Aid's impact on democracy," Working Papers 248, Department of Economics, SOAS University of London, UK.
    • Handle: RePEc:soa:wpaper:248
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • F35 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Aid
    • F55 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Institutional Arrangements

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