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Is there a Diffusion of Military Regimes in Sub-Saharan Africa? Empirical Evidence in the Period 1972-2007

Author

Listed:
  • Raul Caruso

    (Catholic University of the Sacred Hearth)

  • Ilaria Petrarca

    (University of Verona)

  • Roberto Ricciuti

    (University of Verona)

Abstract

We show the existence of a diffusion process of military dictatorships in Sub-Saharan Africa from 1972 through 2007, using panel data probit estimation and a Markov chain transition model. This process is shortly-lived, since we observe an overall trend that reduces the number of military regimes. With regard to economic correlates, we also find that Manufacturing share of GDP, Primary share of GDP positively affect the probability of military dictatorship, and Openness to trade, whereas the British colonial origin are negatively associated.

Suggested Citation

  • Raul Caruso & Ilaria Petrarca & Roberto Ricciuti, 2013. "Is there a Diffusion of Military Regimes in Sub-Saharan Africa? Empirical Evidence in the Period 1972-2007," NEPS Working Papers 4/2013, Network of European Peace Scientists.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:nepswp:2013_004
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    JEL classification:

    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
    • F50 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - General
    • H11 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Structure and Scope of Government

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