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Nonlinear Effects of Government Debt on Private Consumption in OECD Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Dooyeon Cho

    (Sungkyunkwan University)

  • Dong-Eun Rhee

    (Korea Institute for International Economic Policy)

Abstract

This paper investigates nonlinear effects of government debt on private consumption in 16 OECD countries. The estimated consumption function shows smooth regime switching depending on the debt-to-GDP ratio, and the threshold level of regime switching is found to be the ratio of 83.7 percent. The results reveal that a higher level of government debt crowds out private consumption to a greater extent, and that the degree of the crowding out effect has deteriorated since the global financial crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Dooyeon Cho & Dong-Eun Rhee, 2013. "Nonlinear Effects of Government Debt on Private Consumption in OECD Countries," Working Papers 13-5, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:kiepwp:2013_005
    DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2366184
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Cho, Dooyeon & Lee, Kyung-woo, 2022. "Population aging and fiscal sustainability: Nonlinear evidence from Europe," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    2. Pinar Deniz & Thanasis Stengos, 2023. "Revisiting the Determinants of Consumption: A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-13, March.
    3. Haejo Kang & Dong-Eun Rhee, 2024. "When does government debt make people happier? Evidence from panel data of 125 countries," Economics of Governance, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 31-56, March.
    4. Dooyeon Cho & Dong-Eun Rhee, 2017. "Non-linear adjustments on the excess sensitivity of consumption with liquidity constraints," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(41), pages 4180-4187, September.
    5. Cho, Dooyeon & Lee, Kyung-woo, 2025. "Pension sustainability and government effectiveness in the presence of population aging," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    6. Bernardo Leyva-Uribe & Jose E. Gomez-Gonzalez & Oscar M. Valencia-Arana & Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas, 2016. "Efectos del Quantitative Easing sobre los retornos accionarios en mercados emergentes," Borradores de Economia 14286, Banco de la Republica.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Consumption; Government Debt; Nonlinearity; Panel Smooth Transition Regression Model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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