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Conducta electoral oportunista y determinantes económicos de la reelección de alcaldes/as en Chile

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  • Silva-Escobar, Daniel

    (Estudios Nueva Economía)

Abstract

En este documento ofrecemos respuesta a la pregunta acerca de si los/as alcaldes/as chilenos/as llevaron a cabo manipulaciones oportunistas del gasto durante el periodo 2009-2012, y si dicho comportamiento fue o no premiado por los/as votantes. Los principales resultados a los que llegamos son: i) no existió una conducta oportunista generalizada de parte de los/as alcaldes/as con respecto a la mayoría de los ítems presupuestarios, aunque casi la mitad de los/as mismos/as llevó a cabo manipulaciones de este talante; ii) la gran mayoría se comportó oportunistamente en cuanto al gasto social, incrementándolo considerablemente durante los dos últimos años de mandato; iii) el electorado chileno castigó a los/as alcaldes/as que más gastaron en las categorías de gastos totales y gastos corrientes, pero premió a aquellos/as que fueron más dispendiosos/as en cuanto a gastos sociales; y, finalmente, iv) a mayor cantidad de pobreza comunal, mayor el grado de recompensa de los/as alcaldes/as que gastaron más en el área social. Sostenemos que, en vista de la pobreza y vulnerabilidad de amplias capas de la población chilena, y dada la amplia extensión del clientelismo/patronazgo en los municipios del país, se debe terminar con la discrecionalidad en la entrega de ayudas sociales municipales.

Suggested Citation

  • Silva-Escobar, Daniel, 2022. "Conducta electoral oportunista y determinantes económicos de la reelección de alcaldes/as en Chile," Documentos de Trabajo 10, Estudios Nueva Economía.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:enedoc:0010
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Chile; oportunismo político; ciclo político presupuestario; elecciones municipales; gasto social;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H11 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Structure and Scope of Government
    • H71 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue
    • H72 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Budget and Expenditures
    • H75 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Government: Health, Education, and Welfare
    • H76 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - Other Expenditure Categories
    • H83 - Public Economics - - Miscellaneous Issues - - - Public Administration
    • R50 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - General
    • R51 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Finance in Urban and Rural Economies

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