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Commodity Price Volatility and the Economic Uncertainty of Pandemics

Author

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  • Dimitrios Bakas

    (Department of Economics, Nottingham Trent University, UK; Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis)

  • Athanasios Triantafyllou

    (Essex Business School, University of Essex, UK)

Abstract

In this paper, we empirically investigate the impact of pandemics on commodity price volatility. In specific, we explore the impact of economic uncertainty related to global pandemics on the volatility of the S&P GSCI commodity index as well as on the sub-indexes of crude oil and gold. The results show that uncertainty related to pandemics have a strong negative impact on the volatility of commodity markets and especially on crude oil market, while the effect on gold market is positive but less significant. Our findings remain robust to a series of robustness checks.

Suggested Citation

  • Dimitrios Bakas & Athanasios Triantafyllou, 2020. "Commodity Price Volatility and the Economic Uncertainty of Pandemics," Working Paper series 20-12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    • Handle: RePEc:rim:rimwps:20-12
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bakas, Dimitrios & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2018. "The impact of uncertainty shocks on the volatility of commodity prices," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 96-111.
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    6. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis & Stephen J. Terry, 2020. "COVID-Induced Economic Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 26983, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Pandemics; Commodity Markets; Economic Uncertainty; Volatility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • Q02 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General - - - Commodity Market
    • I10 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - General

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