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Unbalanced Growth Slowdown

Author

Listed:
  • Akos Valentinyi

    (University of Manchester)

  • Georg Duernecker

    (University of Mannheim)

Abstract

Unbalanced growth slowdown is the reduction in aggregate productivity growth that results from the reallocation of economic activity to industries with low productivity growth. We show that unbalanced growth slowdown has considerably reduced past U.S. productivity growth and we assess by how much it will reduce future U.S. productivity growth. To achieve this, we build a novel model that generates the unbalanced growth slowdown of the postwar period. The model makes the surprising prediction that future reductions in aggregate productivity growth are limited. The reason for this is that the stagnant industries do not take over the model economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Akos Valentinyi & Georg Duernecker, 2017. "Unbalanced Growth Slowdown," 2017 Meeting Papers 822, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    • Handle: RePEc:red:sed017:822
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Cited by:

    1. Margarida Duarte & Diego Restuccia, 2020. "Relative Prices and Sectoral Productivity," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 18(3), pages 1400-1443.
    2. Huang, Kaixing, 2016. "The postwar growth slowdown and the path of economic development," MPRA Paper 80988, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Aug 2017.
    3. Beqiraj, Elton & Fanti, Lucrezia & Zamparelli, Luca, 2019. "Sectoral composition of output and the wage share: The role of the service sector," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 1-10.

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