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Boucle rétroactive entre la volatilité des flux de capitaux et la stabilité financière : résultat pour la République démocratique du Congo
[Feedback effect between Volatility of capital flows and financial stability: evidence from Democratic Republic of Congo]

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  • Pinshi Paula, Christian

Abstract

Financial system being the place of metting capital flows (equality between saving and investment), a volatility of capital flows can destroy the robustness and good working of financial system, it means subvert financial stability. The same a weak financial system, few regulated and bad manage can exacerbate volatility of capital flows and finely undermine financial stability. The present study provides evidence on feedback effect between volatility of capital flows and financial stability in Democratic republic of Congo (DRC), and estimate the contributions of macroeconomic and macroprudential policies in the attenuation volatility of capital flows effects on financial stability and in the prevention of instability financial. Assessment dynamic regression model a la Feldstein-Horioka we showed that financial system is widely supplied and financed by internationals capital flows. This implicate Congolese economy is financially mobile, that can be dangerous for financial stability. The study dynamic econometric of financial system’s absolute size, we stipulate financial system has a systemic weight on real economy. Hence a shock of financial system could have devastating effects on Congolese economy. We estimate a vector autoregressive (VAR) model for prove the bilateral causality and impacts of macroeconomic and macroprudential policies. With regard to results, it proved on the one there is a feedback effect between volatility of capital flows and financial stability, on the other hand macroeconomic and macroprudential policies can’t attenuate volatility of capital flows and prevent instability financial. It prove macroprudential approach is given a better result than monetary policy. The implementation of framework macroprudential by Central Bank of Congo will be beneficial in the realization of financial stability and attenuation volatility of capital flows.

Suggested Citation

  • Pinshi Paula, Christian, 2016. "Boucle rétroactive entre la volatilité des flux de capitaux et la stabilité financière : résultat pour la République démocratique du Congo [Feedback effect between Volatility of capital flows and f," MPRA Paper 78051, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 28 Mar 2017.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:78051
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Christian Pinshi, 2020. "On the causal nature between financial development and economic growth in the Democratic Republic of the Congo: Is it supply leading or demand following?," Working Papers hal-02898899, HAL.
    2. PINSHI, Christian P. & KABEYA, Anselme M., 2020. "Financial development and Economic growth in the Democratic Republic of the Congo : Supply leading or Demand following?," MPRA Paper 101459, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Volatility of capital flows; financial stability; macroeconomic and macroprudential policies;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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