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The Political Economy of Car Sales in Athens, Greece

Author

Listed:
  • Konstantakis, Konstantinos
  • Michaelides, Panayotis G.

Abstract

Greece is widely hailed to be among the most prominent victims of the recent global recession since the downfall of its economic activity, caused by local and international factors, has reached levels that are directly comparable to the Great Recession. In this context, we attempt to shed light on a prominent victim of this situation, i.e. the car sales industry in Athens, Greece over the time period 2000-2012 using monthly data. To this end, an appropriate econometric model, that incorporates a large number of potential determinants which account for the relevant factors, is used and several econometric techniques are employed such as stationarity testing; filtering; white noise testing; periodicity analysis; correlation analysis and causality testing. Our empirical investigation determines the macroeconomic and other variables that act either as pro- or countercyclical factors in business cycles fluctuations of the car sales industry in Athens.

Suggested Citation

  • Konstantakis, Konstantinos & Michaelides, Panayotis G., 2014. "The Political Economy of Car Sales in Athens, Greece," MPRA Paper 74489, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:74489
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/74489/1/MPRA_paper_74489.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Papageorgiou, Theofanis & Vouldis, Angelos T., 2013. "Business cycles and economic crisis in Greece (1960–2011): A long run equilibrium analysis in the Eurozone," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 804-816.
    2. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
    3. Georgios P. Kouretas & Prodromos Vlamis, 2010. "The Greek Crisis: Causes and Implications," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 57(4), pages 391-404, December.
    4. Arthur F. Burns & Wesley C. Mitchell, 1946. "Measuring Business Cycles," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number burn46-1, June.
    5. Raymond E. Owens & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte, 2005. "How well do diffusion indexes capture business cycles? A spectral analysis," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue Fall, pages 23-42.
    6. Athena Belegri-Roboli & Panayotis Michaelides, 2007. "Estimating labour and output gap: evidence from the Athens Olympic Region in Greece," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(19), pages 2519-2528.
    7. Johansen, Soren, 1995. "Likelihood-Based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198774501.
    8. Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W., 1999. "Business cycle fluctuations in us macroeconomic time series," Handbook of Macroeconomics,in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 1, pages 3-64 Elsevier.
    9. Nicholas Apergis, 2013. "The Stylized Facts of Greek Inflation: New Evidence on Persistence," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 60(1), pages 51-71, March.
    10. White, Halbert, 1980. "A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(4), pages 817-838, May.
    11. Elias Ioakimoglou & John Milios, 1993. "Capital Accumulation and Over-Accumulation Crisis: The Case of Greece (1960-1989)," Review of Radical Political Economics, Union for Radical Political Economics, vol. 25(2), pages 81-107, June.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Business Cycles; Fluctuations; Crisis; Car Sales; Athens;

    JEL classification:

    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • H2 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue

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