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On Asymmetry of Exchange Rate Volatility in New EU Member and Candidate Countries

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  • Stavarek, Daniel

Abstract

In this paper, we examine the exchange rate volatility in selected new EU Member States (Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia) and candidate countries (Croatia, Romania, Turkey) using TARCH model and daily data from the period May 2004 – December 2006. Besides the volatility estimation, the paper analyzes the asymmetric effects. The results suggest that some symptoms of asymmetry were found in all exchange rates except for CZK/EUR. However, the most distinct effects are evident in Slovakia and Turkey where the appreciation of the national currency and the appreciation-side deviation from the target exchange rate contribute significantly to the increase in the exchange rate volatility.

Suggested Citation

  • Stavarek, Daniel, 2007. "On Asymmetry of Exchange Rate Volatility in New EU Member and Candidate Countries," MPRA Paper 7298, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:7298
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    7. Ito, Takatoshi & Yabu, Tomoyoshi, 2007. "What prompts Japan to intervene in the Forex market? A new approach to a reaction function," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 193-212, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Idoko Ahmed Itodo & Ojonugwa Usman & Michael Maju Abu, 2017. "The Asymmetric Effect in the Volatility of the South African Rand," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 3(3), pages 47-53, September.
    2. Balli, Hatice Ozer & Tsui, Wai Hong Kan & Balli, Faruk, 2019. "Modelling the volatility of international visitor arrivals to New Zealand," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 204-214.
    3. A. Adenekan & G. Sanni & A. Itodo, 2019. "Investigating the Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on Naira Exchange Rate in Nigeria," Economic and Financial Review, Central Bank of Nigeria, vol. 57(3), September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    asymmetry; European Union; exchange rate volatility; TARCH models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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