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Millennium development goals and structural stability of child mortality in Bangladesh

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  • Kundu, Nobinkhor

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to examine the stability of the under-five mortality child mortality hypothesis for Bangladesh over the period 1981 to 2013. However, due to Growth of female literacy rate and per capita gross national income does help reduce child mortality in the Bangladesh, and shows the stable relationship between them can change over time. Over the last decades across states a can be attributed to achieve the Millennium Development Goals for target reducing the under-5 mortality by two-thirds of Bangladesh. Using the time-series data, 1981-2013 period, and applying unit root test and Chow test. Using the Chow test, the paper finds that the child mortality function does not maintain stability between pre and post-MDG period. The finding of the study has strong implication in appropriate policy responses need to recognize that a given level of growth is consistent with different rates of child mortality reduction to achieve basic demographic goals in Bangladesh.

Suggested Citation

  • Kundu, Nobinkhor, 2014. "Millennium development goals and structural stability of child mortality in Bangladesh," MPRA Paper 65241, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 Dec 2014.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:65241
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kundu, Nobinkhor & Chowdhury, J.M. Adeeb Salman & Sikdar, Asaduzzaman, 2013. "Millennium development goals affecting child mortality in Bangladesh: A Vector Error Correction model," MPRA Paper 65211, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 Oct 2013.
    2. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-1072, June.
    3. World Bank, 2004. "Attaining the Millennium Development Goals in India : How Likely and What Will It Take to Reduce Infant Mortality, Child Malnutrition, Gender Disparities and Hunger-Poverty and to Increase School Enro," World Bank Publications - Reports 15738, The World Bank Group.
    4. Sonia Bhalotra, 2007. "Spending to save? State health expenditure and infant mortality in India," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(9), pages 911-928, September.
    5. Sen, Amartya, 1998. "Mortality as an Indicator of Economic Success and Failure," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 108(446), pages 1-25, January.
    6. World Bank, 2012. "World Development Indicators 2012," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 6014, April.
    7. World Bank, 2013. "World Development Indicators 2013," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 13191, April.
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    JEL classification:

    • C62 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts

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