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Millennium development goals affecting child mortality in Bangladesh: A Vector Error Correction model

Author

Listed:
  • Kundu, Nobinkhor
  • Chowdhury, J.M. Adeeb Salman
  • Sikdar, Asaduzzaman

Abstract

This paper investigates over the last two decades across states a can be attributed to achieve the Millennium Development Goals for target reducing the under-5 mortality by two-thirds of Bangladesh. The paper analysis is able to condition upon a number of socio-economic and demographic variables, under-five child mortality determining by the asymmetric effects of female literacy rate, per capita gross national income and millennium development goal as a dummy variable. Using the time-series data, 1991-2012 period, and applying unit root test, cointegration test and by estimating a vector error correction model. The results find a single cointegrating equation showing a long-run stable relationship between the child mortality and the explanatory variables in the model. And also find that achieved Millennium Development Goals has a significant impact on the child mortality in Bangladesh, convergence of the short-run dynamics towards the long-run equilibrium, but sustainable level of child mortality is expected to be an important prerequisite for ensure future generation of Bangladesh.

Suggested Citation

  • Kundu, Nobinkhor & Chowdhury, J.M. Adeeb Salman & Sikdar, Asaduzzaman, 2013. "Millennium development goals affecting child mortality in Bangladesh: A Vector Error Correction model," MPRA Paper 65211, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 Oct 2013.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:65211
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. D. Omariba & Roderic Beaujot & Fernando Rajulton, 2007. "Determinants of infant and child mortality in Kenya: an analysis controlling for frailty effects," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 26(3), pages 299-321, June.
    2. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    3. World Bank, 2010. "World Development Indicators 2010," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 4373, April.
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    1. Kundu, Nobinkhor, 2014. "Millennium development goals and structural stability of child mortality in Bangladesh," MPRA Paper 65241, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 Dec 2014.

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    JEL classification:

    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts

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