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Cycles and Crises in a Model of Debt-financed Investment-led Growth

  • Datta, Soumya

The paper demonstrates possibilities of both convergence to the steady state and emergence of stable growth cycles around it in a simple macrodynamic model of debt-financed investment-led growth. The growth cycles are robust and are generated endogenously, either due to the existence of a supercritical Andronov-Hopf bifurcation, or due to the global stability condition through an application of the Poincaré-Bendixson theorem. The emergence of multiple limit cycles is also observed under certain conditions. The possibility of a deterioration of financial variables during a boom, with the resulting financial crisis providing an endogenous ceiling to a business cycle is examined in this context.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/50200/1/MPRA_paper_50200.pdf
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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 50200.

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Date of creation: 12 Dec 2012
Date of revision: 12 Dec 2012
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:50200
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  1. Steve Keen, 1995. "Finance and Economic Breakdown: Modeling Minsky's "Financial Instability Hypothesis"," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 17(4), pages 607-635, July.
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  5. Datta, Soumya, 2013. "Robustness and Stability of Limit Cycles in a Class of Planar Dynamical Systems," MPRA Paper 50814, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  6. Gilberto Tadeu Lima & Antonio J. A. Meirelles, 2004. "A Macrodynamics Of Debt Regimes, Financial Instability And Growth," Anais do XXXII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 32th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 074, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
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  10. Semmler, Willi, 1987. "A macroeconomic limit cycle with financial perturbations," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 469-495, September.
  11. Mark Setterfield, 2004. "Financial fragility, effective demand and the business cycle," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(2), pages 207-223.
  12. Stiglitz, Joseph E & Weiss, Andrew, 1983. "Incentive Effects of Terminations: Applications to the Credit and Labor Markets," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 73(5), pages 912-27, December.
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  14. Thomas I. Palley, 1994. "Debt, Aggregate Demand, and the Business Cycle: An Analysis in the Spirit of Kaldor and Minsky," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 16(3), pages 371-390, April.
  15. Edward A. Downe, 1987. "Minsky's Model of Financial Fragility: A Suggested Addition," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 9(3), pages 440-454, April.
  16. George A. Akerlof, 2009. "How Human Psychology Drives the Economy and Why It Matters," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 91(5), pages 1175-1175.
  17. Soumya Datta, 2005. "Chaotic Dynamics Of Financing Investment," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 56(1), pages 58-84, 02.
  18. Fazzari, Steven & Ferri, Piero & Greenberg, Edward, 2008. "Cash flow, investment, and Keynes-Minsky cycles," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 65(3-4), pages 555-572, March.
  19. Stiglitz, Joseph E & Weiss, Andrew, 1981. "Credit Rationing in Markets with Imperfect Information," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(3), pages 393-410, June.
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