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Business cycle determinants of US foreign direct investments

Author

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  • Cavallari, Lilia
  • D'Addona, Stefano

Abstract

This paper investigates the role of output fluctuations and exchange rate volatility in driving US foreign direct investments (FDI). Using a sample of 46 economies over the period 1982-2009, we provide evidence of a positive relation between US FDI and host country’s cyclical conditions. Allowing for asymmetry over the business cycle, we find that the output elasticity of foreign investments is higher in booms than in recessions. An increase in exchange rate volatility, on the other hand, has a strong deterrent effect on US foreign investments. This effect is fairly stable over the business cycle.

Suggested Citation

  • Cavallari, Lilia & D'Addona, Stefano, 2012. "Business cycle determinants of US foreign direct investments," MPRA Paper 43616, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:43616
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. K. S. Sujit & B. Rajesh Kumar & Sarbjit Singh Oberoi, 2020. "Impact of Macroeconomic, Governance and Risk Factors on FDI Intensity—An Empirical Analysis," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-14, December.
    3. Works, Richard Floyd, 2016. "Econometric modeling of exchange rate determinants by market classification: An empirical analysis of Japan and South Korea using the sticky-price monetary theory," MPRA Paper 76382, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    FDI; business cycle; cyclical output; exchange rate volatility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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