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“Ideal” financial development and financial overaccumulation

  • Hsu, Sara
  • Li, Jianjun

In this paper, we examine whether there is an “ideal” level of financial development, somewhere between financial capital overaccumulation and financial capital underaccumulation. We construct indexes of non-bank or speculative financial development, financial (bank) deepening, and production. We find that financial deepening does support what we dub the “speculative spread,” that is, the difference between non-bank or speculative finance and real production. As financial deepening grows, the speculative spread may grow in step. Where the speculative spread exceeds deepening, financial instability may occur. Hence financial deepening may promote or constrain economic development.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/38035/1/MPRA_paper_38035.pdf
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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/41243/2/MPRA_paper_41243.pdf
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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 38035.

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Date of creation: 11 Apr 2012
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:38035
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  1. Beck, Thorsten & Levine, Ross & Loayza, Norman, 1999. "Finance and the sources of growth," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2057, The World Bank.
  2. Arestis, Philip & Demetriades, Panicos O & Luintel, Kul B, 2001. "Financial Development and Economic Growth: The Role of Stock Markets," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 33(1), pages 16-41, February.
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  4. King, Robert G. & Levine, Ross, 1993. "Finance and growth : Schumpeter might be right," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1083, The World Bank.
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  9. Besomi, Daniele, 2001. "Harrod's Dynamics and the Theory of Growth: The Story of a Mistaken Attribution," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 25(1), pages 79-96, January.
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  13. Bencivenga, Valerie R & Smith, Bruce D, 1992. "Deficits, Inflation, and the Banking System in Developing Countries: The Optimal Degree of Financial Repression," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 44(4), pages 767-90, October.
  14. Levine, Ross & Loayza, Norman & Beck, Thorsten, 2000. "Financial intermediation and growth: Causality and causes," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 31-77, August.
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  16. Romer, Paul M, 1986. "Increasing Returns and Long-run Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 94(5), pages 1002-37, October.
  17. Douglas W. Diamond & Philip H. Dybvig, 2000. "Bank runs, deposit insurance, and liquidity," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issue Win, pages 14-23.
  18. repec:fth:wobaco:1083 is not listed on IDEAS
  19. Michael W. Klein & Giovanni Olivei, 1999. "Capital Account Liberalization, Financial Depth and Economic Growth," NBER Working Papers 7384, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  20. Garegnani, P, 1970. "Heterogeneous Capital, the Production Function and the Theory of Distribution," Review of Economic Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(3), pages 407-36, July.
  21. King, Robert G. & Levine, Ross, 1993. "Finance, entrepreneurship and growth: Theory and evidence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 513-542, December.
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