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Wagner's law in Italy: empirical evidence from 1960 to 2008

  • Magazzino, Cosimo
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    “Wagner’s Law” is the first model of public expenditure in the history of public finance. The aim of this article is to assess its empirical evidence in Italy for the period 1960-2008. After a brief introduction, an essential survey of the economic literature on this issue is offered, before evaluating the specifications of “Wagner’s Law” due either to Ram or Koop & Poirier. Wagner’s original specification is also evaluated. A few notes on the expenditure policy in Italy conclude the paper.

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    File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/25526/1/MPRA_paper_25526.pdf
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    Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 25526.

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    Date of creation: 2009
    Date of revision:
    Publication status: Forthcoming in Global & Local Economic Review 1.XIV(2010): pp. 91-116
    Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:25526
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    1. Lall, Sanjaya, 1969. "A Note on Government Expenditures in Developing Countries," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 79(314), pages 413-17, June.
    2. Cameron A. Shelton, 2007. "The Size and Composition of Government Expenditure," Wesleyan Economics Working Papers 2007-002, Wesleyan University, Department of Economics.
    3. Ernesto Stein & Ernesto Talvi & Alejandro Grisanti, 1999. "Institutional Arrangements and Fiscal Performance: The Latin American Experience," NBER Chapters, in: Fiscal Institutions and Fiscal Performance, pages 103-134 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Shelton, Cameron A., 2007. "The size and composition of government expenditure," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(11-12), pages 2230-2260, December.
    5. Henrekson, Magnus, 1993. "Wagner's Law--A Spurious Relationship?," Public Finance = Finances publiques, , vol. 48(3), pages 406-15.
    6. Persson, Torsten & Tabellini, Guido, 1998. "The size and scope of government: Comparative politics with rational politicians," Seminar Papers 658, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
    7. Gandhi, Ved P, 1971. "Wagner's Law of Public Expenditure: Do Recent Cross-Section Studies Confirm it?," Public Finance = Finances publiques, , vol. 26(1), pages 44-56.
    8. Kelley AC, 1976. "Demographic change and the size of the government sector," ILO Working Papers 164876, International Labour Organization.
    9. Kydland, Finn E & Prescott, Edward C, 1991. " The Econometrics of the General Equilibrium Approach to Business Cycles," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 93(2), pages 161-78.
    10. Singh, Balvir & Sahni, Balbir S, 1984. "Causality between Public Expenditure and National Income," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 66(4), pages 630-44, November.
    11. Granger, C. W. J. & Newbold, P., 1974. "Spurious regressions in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 111-120, July.
    12. William Easterly & Sergio Rebelo, 1993. "Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation," NBER Working Papers 4499, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Diba, Behzad T, 1982. "A Note on "Public Sector Growth: A Real Perspective."," Public Finance = Finances publiques, , vol. 37(1), pages 114-19.
    14. Ram, Rati, 1986. "Causality between Income and Government Expenditure: A Broad International Perspective," Public Finance = Finances publiques, , vol. 41(3), pages 393-414.
    15. Hadjimatheou, G, 1976. "On the Empirical Evidence on Government Expenditure Development," Public Finance = Finances publiques, , vol. 31(1), pages 144-49.
    16. repec:cup:cbooks:9780521096539 is not listed on IDEAS
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    18. Heald, David, 1997. "Privately Financed Capital in Public Services," The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, University of Manchester, vol. 65(5), pages 568-98, December.
    19. repec:cup:cbooks:9780521070904 is not listed on IDEAS
    20. Ram, Rati, 1986. "Comparing evidence on Wagner's hypothesis from conventional and 'real' data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 259-262.
    21. repec:cup:cbooks:9780521027922 is not listed on IDEAS
    22. Cosimo Magazzino, 2009. "Legge di Wagner e spesa pubblica italiana disaggregata: un approccio VAR," ECONOMIA PUBBLICA, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 0(5-6), pages 133-156.
    23. Lotz, Joergen R & Morss, Elliott R, 1970. "A Theory of Tax Level Determinants for Developing Countries," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 18(3), pages 328-41, April.
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