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Legge di Wagner e spesa pubblica italiana disaggregata: un approccio VAR


  • Cosimo Magazzino


Wagner’s Law is the first model of public expenditure in the history of public finance. The aim of this article is to assess its empirical evidence in Italy for the period 1960-2008 at a disaggregated level, with a VAR approach. After a brief introduction and a survey of the economic literature on this issue the specifications of Wagner’s Law for some specific public expenditures are estimated. Wagner’s original specification is also estimated. Some notes on the long-term relationship between public spending and national income conclude the paper.

Suggested Citation

  • Cosimo Magazzino, 2009. "Legge di Wagner e spesa pubblica italiana disaggregata: un approccio VAR," ECONOMIA PUBBLICA, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 0(5-6), pages 133-156.
  • Handle: RePEc:fan:epepep:v:html10.3280/ep2009-005006

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Del Boca, Daniela & Locatelli, Marilena, 2006. "The Determinants of Motherhood and Work Status: A Survey," IZA Discussion Papers 2414, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
    2. Del Boca, Daniela & Sauer, Robert M., 2009. "Life cycle employment and fertility across institutional environments," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 274-292, April.
    3. Thomas A. DiPrete & S. Philip Morgan & Henriette Engelhardt & Hana Pacalova, 2003. "Do Cross-National Differences in the Costs of Children Generate Cross-National Differences in Fertility Rates?," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 355, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    4. Maria Chiuri, 2000. "Quality and Demand of Child Care and Female Labour Supply in Italy," LABOUR, CEIS, vol. 14(1), pages 97-118, March.
    5. Daniela Del Boca, 2002. "The effect of child care and part time opportunities on participation and fertility decisions in Italy," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 15(3), pages 549-573.
    6. Catapano, Cristina & Cesaroni, Tatiana & Fontana, Alessandro & Monacelli, Daniela, 2008. "L'individuazione di un benchmark per il fabbisogno di spesa dei comuni italiani: un'analisi per gruppi omogenei
      [The identification of a benchmark for the expenditure requirements of italian munici
      ," MPRA Paper 59865, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Daniela Del Boca & Silvia Pasqua & Chiara Pronzato, 2005. "Fertility and Employment in Italy, France, and the UK," LABOUR, CEIS, vol. 19(s1), pages 51-77, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Magazzino, Cosimo, 2009. "Wagner's law in Italy: empirical evidence from 1960 to 2008," MPRA Paper 25526, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Magazzino, Cosimo, 2010. "Wagner's law and augmented Wagner's law in EU-27. A time-series analysis on stationarity, cointegration and causality," MPRA Paper 26668, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item


    Spesa pubblica; crescita economica; Legge di Wagner; serie storiche; radici unitarie; cointegrazione; causalità; politiche di bilancio;

    JEL classification:

    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General
    • H60 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - General


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