IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/126998.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

할당관세 정책이 농산물 소매가격에 미치는 인과적 영향
[The Causal Effects of Tariff-Rate Quota Policies on Agricultural Product Retail Prices]

Author

Listed:
  • Kim, Youngmi
  • Jeong, Deokjae

Abstract

This study examines the causal effect of Korea's Tariff-Rate Quota on consumer price reduction and stabilization, in contrast to previous foreign studies that focused on the domestic producer price support effects of Tariff-Rate Quotas. Using daily retail price data for 40 agricultural products from 2021 to 2025, this study analyze retail price changes in response to the intensity of tariff reductions using the Local Projection Difference-in-Differences method. The results indicate that while no significant price reduction was observed for leafy and root vegetables, fruits exhibited a causal retail price decline of approximately 0.9% for every one percentage point reduction in tariff rates. This implies that the tariff pass-through rate for fruits is approximately 90%. These findings suggest that when the policy objective is price stabilization, priority consideration should be given to applying Tariff-Rate Quotas to fruits.

Suggested Citation

  • Kim, Youngmi & Jeong, Deokjae, 2025. "할당관세 정책이 농산물 소매가격에 미치는 인과적 영향 [The Causal Effects of Tariff-Rate Quota Policies on Agricultural Product Retail Prices]," MPRA Paper 126998, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:126998
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/126998/1/MPRA_paper_126998.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pierce, David A & Grupe, Michael R & Cleveland, William P, 1984. "Seasonal Adjustment of the Weekly Monetary Aggregates: A Model-based Approach," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 2(3), pages 260-270, July.
    2. Mary Amiti & Stephen J. Redding & David E. Weinstein, 2019. "The Impact of the 2018 Tariffs on Prices and Welfare," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 33(4), pages 187-210, Fall.
    3. Brantly Callaway & Andrew Goodman-Bacon & Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna, 2021. "Difference-in-Differences with a Continuous Treatment," Papers 2107.02637, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2025.
    4. Alberto Cavallo & Gita Gopinath & Brent Neiman & Jenny Tang, 2021. "Tariff Pass-Through at the Border and at the Store: Evidence from US Trade Policy," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 3(1), pages 19-34, March.
    5. Michael J. Roberts & Wolfram Schlenker, 2013. "Identifying Supply and Demand Elasticities of Agricultural Commodities: Implications for the US Ethanol Mandate," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(6), pages 2265-2295, October.
    6. Taylor, Alan M. & Dube, Arindrajit & Girardi, Daniele & Jordà , Òscar, 2023. "A Local Projections Approach to Difference-in-Differences Event Studies," CEPR Discussion Papers 18141, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    7. Kasun Bandara & Rob J. Hyndman & Christoph Bergmeir, 2025. "MSTL: a seasonal-trend decomposition algorithm for time series with multiple seasonal patterns," International Journal of Operational Research, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 52(1), pages 79-98.
    8. Baek, Youngmin & Hayakawa, Kazunobu & Tsubota, Kenmei & Urata, Shujiro & Yamanouchi, Kenta, 2021. "Tariff Pass-through in Wholesaling: Evidence from Firm-level Data in Japan✰," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    9. Daria Loginova & Marco Portmann & Martin Huber, 2021. "Assessing the Effects of Seasonal Tariff‐rate Quotas on Vegetable Prices in Switzerland," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(2), pages 607-627, June.
    10. Michael T. Owyang & Valerie A. Ramey & Sarah Zubairy, 2013. "Are government spending multipliers greater during periods of slack? evidence from 20th century historical data," Working Papers 2013-004, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    11. Abbott, Philip C. & Paarlberg, Philip L., 1998. "Tariff rate quotas: structural and stability impacts in growing markets," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 19(3), pages 257-267, December.
    12. Michael T. Owyang & Valerie A. Ramey & Sarah Zubairy, 2013. "Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater during Periods of Slack? Evidence from Twentieth-Century Historical Data," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(3), pages 129-134, May.
    13. Clément de Chaisemartin & Xavier d'Haultfoeuille & Félix Pasquier & Doulo Sow & Gonzalo Vazquez-Bare, 2025. "Difference-in-Differences for Continuous Treatments and Instruments with Stayers," Working Papers hal-03873926, HAL.
    14. Jeffrey Mollins & Rachit Lumb, 2024. "Seasonal Adjustment of Weekly Data," Discussion Papers 2024-17, Bank of Canada.
    15. Goodman-Bacon, Andrew, 2021. "Difference-in-differences with variation in treatment timing," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 254-277.
    16. Aaron Flaaen & Ali Hortaçsu & Felix Tintelnot, 2020. "The Production Relocation and Price Effects of US Trade Policy: The Case of Washing Machines," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 110(7), pages 2103-2127, July.
    17. Sun, Liyang & Abraham, Sarah, 2021. "Estimating dynamic treatment effects in event studies with heterogeneous treatment effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 175-199.
    18. Bach, Philipp & Klaaßen, Sven & Kueck, Jannis & Mattes, Mara & Spindler, Martin, 2025. "Sensitivity analysis for treatment effects in difference-in-differences models using Riesz Rrepresentation," Discussion Papers 2025/7, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    19. Philipp Bach & Sven Klaassen & Jannis Kueck & Mara Mattes & Martin Spindler, 2025. "Sensitivity Analysis for Treatment Effects in Difference-in-Differences Models using Riesz Representation," Papers 2510.09064, arXiv.org.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Coulombe, Raphaelle G. & Rao, Akhil, 2025. "Fires and local labor markets," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    2. Han Hu & Shihui Yang & Lin Zeng & Xuesi Zhang, 2024. "U.S.–China trade conflicts and R&D investment: evidence from the BIS entity lists," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-15, December.
    3. Bakker, Jan David & Datta, Nikhil & Davies, Richard & De Lyon, Josh, 2023. "Brexit and consumer food prices," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1461, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    4. Bakker, Jan David & Datta, Nikhil & Davies, Richard & De Lyon, Josh, 2023. "Did the policy response to the energy crisis cause crime? Evidence from England," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 663, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
    5. Jan David Bakker & Nikhil Datta & Richard Davies & Josh De Lyon, 2022. "Non-tariff barriers and consumer prices: evidence from Brexit," CEP Discussion Papers dp1888, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    6. Leek, Lauren Caroline & Bischl, Simeon, 2024. "How Central Bank Independence Shapes Monetary Policy Communication: A Large Language Model Application," SocArXiv yrhka, Center for Open Science.
    7. repec:osf:socarx:yrhka_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Che, Yi & Lin, Donglin & Zhang, Yan, 2025. "Pains or gains: Trade war, trade deficit, and tariff evasion," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    9. Jacob E. Bastian, 2024. "The EITC in rural and economically distressed areas: More bang per buck?," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 31(1), pages 136-159, February.
    10. Fabra, Natalia & Gutiérrez, Eduardo & Lacuesta, Aitor & Ramos, Roberto, 2024. "Do renewable energy investments create local jobs?," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 239(C).
    11. Ciani, Andrea & Stiebale, Joel, 2024. "Export Performance Under Domestic Anti-Dumping Protection," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    12. repec:fip:fedrwp:98029 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Mark Kattenberg & Bas Scheer & Jurre Thiel, 2023. "Causal forests with fixed effects for treatment effect heterogeneity in difference-in-differences," CPB Discussion Paper 452, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    14. Ahn, Soojung & Steinbach, Sandro, 2022. "COVID-19 Trade Actions and Their Impact on the Agricultural and Food Sector," 2023 Allied Social Sciences Association (ASSA) Annual Meeting, January 6-8, 2023, New Orleans, Louisiana 316789, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    15. Deng, Liuchun & Müller, Steffen & Plümpe, Verena & Stegmaier, Jens, 2024. "Robots, occupations, and worker age: A production-unit analysis of employment," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    16. Pablo Fajgelbaum & Pinelopi Goldberg & Patrick Kennedy & Amit Khandelwal & Daria Taglioni, 2024. "The US-China Trade War and Global Reallocations," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 6(2), pages 295-312, June.
    17. Ethan Ilzetzki, 2024. "Learning by Necessity: Government Demand, Capacity Constraints, and Productivity Growth," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 114(8), pages 2436-2471, August.
    18. Simon Freyaldenhoven & Christian B. Hansen & Jorge Pérez Pérez & Jesse M. Shapiro & Constantino Carreto, 2024. "Policy Effect Estimation and Visualization in Linear Panel Event-Study Designs: Introducing the xtevent Package," Working Papers 2024-09, Banco de México.
    19. Bencsik, Panka & Lusher, Lester & Taylor, Rebecca L.C., 2025. "Slow traffic, fast food: The effects of time lost on food store choice," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    20. Melnik, Walter & Smyth, Andrew, 2024. "R&D tax credits and innovation," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    21. repec:wbk:wbrwps:10249 is not listed on IDEAS
    22. Roth, Jonathan & Sant’Anna, Pedro H.C. & Bilinski, Alyssa & Poe, John, 2023. "What’s trending in difference-in-differences? A synthesis of the recent econometrics literature," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 2218-2244.
    23. Arne Henningsen & Guy Low & David Wuepper & Tobias Dalhaus & Hugo Storm & Dagim Belay & Stefan Hirsch, 2024. "Estimating Causal Effects with Observational Data: Guidelines for Agricultural and Applied Economists," IFRO Working Paper 2024/03, University of Copenhagen, Department of Food and Resource Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:126998. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.