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Climate change, agricultural production and poverty in India

Author

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  • Kar, Saibal
  • Das, Nimai

Abstract

The low-income households in the South Asian countries are highly sensitive to climate-intensive sectors like agriculture, mainly via negative impact for the food production system as a whole. Therefore, the climate-induced supply shortfalls in agriculture and consequent food price shocks may adversely affect consumption in these households. The tension between economic development, climate change and agricultural production offers a challenging research question not dealt with in recent studies for India. We explore the effect of climate change on farmland value and use a counterfactual measure of the farm revenue on rural consumption expenditure. We found a discerning impact of the climate change on net revenue and wellbeing of the rural people. A theoretical exercise generalizes the empirical findings.

Suggested Citation

  • Kar, Saibal & Das, Nimai, 2015. "Climate change, agricultural production and poverty in India," MPRA Paper 103461, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:103461
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ruslana Rachel PALATNIK, 2008. "Climate Change Assessment and Agriculture in General Equilibrium Models: Alternative Modeling Strategies," EcoMod2008 23800101, EcoMod.
    2. Charles Nhemachena & Rashid Hassan & Pradeep Kurukulasuriya, 2010. "Measuring The Economic Impact Of Climate Change On African Agricultural Production Systems," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 1(01), pages 33-55.
    3. Mendelsohn, Robert & Nordhaus, William D & Shaw, Daigee, 1994. "The Impact of Global Warming on Agriculture: A Ricardian Analysis," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 84(4), pages 753-771, September.
    4. Marjit, Sugata & Kar, Saibal, 2011. "The Outsiders: Economic Reform and Informal Labour in a Developing Economy," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198071495.
    5. Thomas W. Hertel & Stephanie D. Rosch, 2010. "Climate Change, Agriculture, and Poverty," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 32(3), pages 355-385.
    6. Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep & Mendelsohn, Robert, 2008. "A Ricardian analysis of the impact of climate change on African cropland," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 2(01), pages 1-23, March.
    7. Fan Zhai & Tun Lin & Enerelt Byambadorj, 2009. "A General Equilibrium Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in the People’s Republic of China," Asian Development Review, Asian Development Bank, vol. 26(1), pages 206-225.
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    Cited by:

    1. Tripathi, Sabyasachi, 2019. "Effect of Disasters and Climate Change on Poverty and Inequality in India," MPRA Paper 94132, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. K.S. Kavi Kumar & Anubhab Pattanayak & Brinda Viswanathan & Ashish Chaturvedi, 2019. "Household Choice of Financial Borrowing and Its Source: Multinomial Probit Model with Selection," Working Papers 2019-182, Madras School of Economics,Chennai,India.
    3. Oussama Zouabi & Michel Dimou, 2025. "The impact of climate change on inflation in Tunisia: evidence from the asymmetric NARDL model," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 27(4), pages 643-659, October.
    4. Sandeep Kandikuppa & Clark Gray, 2022. "Climate change and household debt in rural India," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 173(3), pages 1-27, August.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices

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