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An integrated analysis of economywide effects of climate change

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  • Dudu, Hasan
  • Cakmak, Erol H.

Abstract

The effects of climate change in Turkey are expected to be significant. The aim of this paper is to quantify the effects of climate change on the overall economy by using an integrated framework incorporating a computable general equilibrium model and a crop water requirement model for the period 2010–99. The results suggest that the economic effects of climate change will not be significant until the late 2030s; therefore Turkey has a chance to develop appropriate adaptation policies. After the 2030s, the effects of climate change are likely to be significant, with agriculture and food production being the most affected sectors.

Suggested Citation

  • Dudu, Hasan & Cakmak, Erol H., 2014. "An integrated analysis of economywide effects of climate change," WIDER Working Paper Series 106, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
  • Handle: RePEc:unu:wpaper:wp2014-106
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    File URL: http://www.wider.unu.edu/sites/default/files/wp2014-106.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Telli, Çagatay & Voyvoda, Ebru & Yeldan, Erinç, 2008. "Economics of environmental policy in Turkey: A general equilibrium investigation of the economic evaluation of sectoral emission reduction policies for climate change," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 321-340.
    2. Richard S J Tol, 2018. "The Economic Impacts of Climate Change," Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 12(1), pages 4-25.
    3. Thomas W. Hertel & Stephanie D. Rosch, 2010. "Climate Change, Agriculture, and Poverty," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 32(3), pages 355-385.
    4. Hasan DUDU & Erol H. ÇAKMAK & Şirin D. SARAÇOĞLU, 2010. "Climate change and irrigation in Turkey: A CGE approach," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 25(286), pages 9-33.
    5. Ruslana Rachel Palatnik & Roberto Roson, 2009. "Climate Change Assessment and Agriculture in General Equilibrium Models: Alternative Modeling Strategies," Working Papers 2009.67, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    6. Juan-Carlos Ciscar & Antonio Soria & Clare M. Goodess & Ole B. Christensen & Ana Iglesias & Luis Garrote & Marta Moneo & Sonia Quiroga & Luc Feyen & Rutger Dankers & Robert Nicholls & Julie Richards &, 2009. "Climate change impacts in Europe. Final report of the PESETA research project," JRC Working Papers JRC55391, Joint Research Centre (Seville site).
    7. James Thurlow & Tingju Zhu & Xinshen Diao, 2012. "Current Climate Variability and Future Climate Change: Estimated Growth and Poverty Impacts for Zambia," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(3), pages 394-411, August.
    8. William R. Cline, 2007. "Global Warming and Agriculture: Impact Estimates by Country," Peterson Institute Press: All Books, Peterson Institute for International Economics, number 4037.
    9. Francesco Bosello & Jian Zhang, 2005. "Assessing Climate Change Impacts: Agriculture," Working Papers 2005.94, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    10. Ipek Tunc, G. & Turut-Asik, Serap & Akbostanci, Elif, 2007. "CO2 emissions vs. CO2 responsibility: An input-output approach for the Turkish economy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 855-868, February.
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    Keywords

    agriculture; climate change; computable general equilibrium; integrated assessment; Turkey;

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