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Efectos potenciales de la desgravación arancelaria de un Tratado de Libre Comercio con Estados Unidos

Author

Listed:
  • Martha Rodriguez

    (Universidad del Pacífico)

  • Bruno Seminario

    (Universidad del Pacífico)

Abstract

En el presente estudio se realizan estimados de los principales efectos macroeconómicos potenciales de la desgravación arancelaria derivada del Tratado de Libre Comercio con Estados Unidos. Sin embargo, se debe tener en cuenta que se excluyen otros aspectos relevantes contenidos en el tratado, tales como las reglas de origen, las compras gubernamentales, la propiedad intelectual, entre otros. El estudio consta de tres secciones. En la primera se presenta un modelo de equilibrio general computable (CGE, por sus siglas en inglés) de dos sectores agregados: el primario (tradicional) y el no primario (no tradicional). Este modelo permitirá estimar los efectos de la desgravación arancelaria. En la segunda sección se presentan las simulaciones de los efectos macroeconómicos para un programa de desgravación arancelaria basado en el acuerdo alcanzado, tanto por parte de Estados Unidos como del Perú, al que se le aplica un análisis de sensibilidad. Asimismo se discuten los resultados obtenidos y se incluye una evaluación conceptual cualitativa. Finalmente, en la última sección se presentan las principales conclusiones y sugerencias de política económica.

Suggested Citation

  • Martha Rodriguez & Bruno Seminario, 2006. "Efectos potenciales de la desgravación arancelaria de un Tratado de Libre Comercio con Estados Unidos," Working Papers 06-12, Centro de Investigación, Universidad del Pacífico.
    • Handle: RePEc:pai:wpaper:06-12
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    References listed on IDEAS

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