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Railways as Patient Capital

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  • Oliver Lewis
  • Avner Offer

Abstract

Why are railways mostly in the public sector? Interest rates define a time limit for markets. Projects with longer break-evens cannot be funded by business alone. Corporate ‘franchise’ arrangements overcome the limit by means of revenue guarantees which transfer risks to government. Innovations originate bottom-up in private enterprise. Positive externalities create demand for universal provision but scaling up cannot be financed commercially. In the British railway manias of the 1830s and 1840s speculative fever overwhelmed prudence. Overinvestment left an excessive infrastructure legacy and wiped out windfall profits. In other countries railways required external support. Expanding access give rise to stand-offs with investors which ended up in government regulation or takeover. The tramway boom of 1870 to 1914 followed this pattern, initially with horse power and then electricity. In the UK railway privatisation of the 1990s, the free market delusion was confounded by the infrastructure requirement for long-term commitment.

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  • Oliver Lewis & Avner Offer, 2021. "Railways as Patient Capital," Oxford Economic and Social History Working Papers _195, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:oxf:esohwp:_195
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    1. Diane Coyle & Rehema Msulwa, 2024. "Digital Concrete: Productivity in Infrastructure Construction," NBER Chapters, in: Technology, Productivity, and Economic Growth, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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    Keywords

    Railroads; privatisation; project evaluation; public services; scope of government;
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