IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/osf/socarx/tykag_v1.html

Regulating emerging technologies: Asymmetric legal uncertainty and the EU General-Purpose AI Code of Practice

Author

Listed:
  • Torres, Ana Paula Gonzalez

Abstract

We studied the regulation of emerging technologies through the European Union’s General-Purpose AI Code of Practice drafting process, asking when and why do actors prefer greater legal certainty or greater legal uncertainty. Consistent with economic theories of regulation, we found that smaller firms preferred legal certainty, whereas larger and influential AI developers often preferred greater legal uncertainty. Information asymmetry also explained differences in preferences. However, economic theories assume the availability of information, whereas emerging technologies entail Knightian factual uncertainty. To account for this, we put forward a complementary sociological explanation for actors’ regulatory preferences, which we term asymmetric legal uncertainty: a situation in which all actors are equally ill-informed, but some, due to a perceived expertise, are given a de facto degree of control over the factual narrative on which legal consequences hinge. We argue that, in such a situation, legal uncertainty allows actors to speculate about future legal outcomes.

Suggested Citation

  • Torres, Ana Paula Gonzalez, 2026. "Regulating emerging technologies: Asymmetric legal uncertainty and the EU General-Purpose AI Code of Practice," SocArXiv tykag_v1, Center for Open Science.
  • Handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:tykag_v1
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/tykag_v1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://osf.io/download/69d61b9633e011c22d78e156/
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.31219/osf.io/tykag_v1?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jean-Jacques Laffont & Jean Tirole, 1991. "The Politics of Government Decision-Making: A Theory of Regulatory Capture," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 106(4), pages 1089-1127.
    2. Jean-Jacques Laffont & Jean Tirole, 1993. "A Theory of Incentives in Procurement and Regulation," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262121743, December.
    3. Isaac Ehrlich & Richard A. Posner, 1974. "An Economic Analysis of Legal Rulemaking," The Journal of Legal Studies, University of Chicago Press, vol. 3(1), pages 257-286, January.
    4. Sam Peltzman, 2022. "“The theory of economic regulation” after 50 years," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 193(1), pages 7-21, October.
    5. George J. Stigler, 1971. "The Theory of Economic Regulation," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 2(1), pages 3-21, Spring.
    6. Rotolo, Daniele & Hicks, Diana & Martin, Ben R., 2015. "What is an emerging technology?," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(10), pages 1827-1843.
    7. Graham Spinardi, 2019. "Performance‐based design, expertise asymmetry, and professionalism: Fire safety regulation in the neoliberal era," Regulation & Governance, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 13(4), pages 520-539, December.
    8. Bear, Laura, 2020. "Speculation: a political economy of technologies of imagination," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 103433, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    9. Scott Baker & Alex Raskolnikov, 2017. "Harmful, Harmless, and Beneficial Uncertainty in Law," The Journal of Legal Studies, University of Chicago Press, vol. 46(2), pages 281-307.
    10. Richard A. Posner, 1974. "Theories of Economic Regulation," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 5(2), pages 335-358, Autumn.
    11. Araz Taeihagh & M Ramesh & Michael Howlett, 2021. "Assessing the regulatory challenges of emerging disruptive technologies," Regulation & Governance, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 15(4), pages 1009-1019, October.
    12. Jonathan Lewallen, 2021. "Emerging technologies and problem definition uncertainty: The case of cybersecurity," Regulation & Governance, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 15(4), pages 1035-1052, October.
    13. David Levi-Faur, 2005. "The Global Diffusion of Regulatory Capitalism," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 598(1), pages 12-32, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alberto Asquer & Inna Krachkovskaya, 2021. "Uncertainty, institutions and regulatory responses to emerging technologies: CRISPR Gene editing in the US and the EU (2012–2019)," Regulation & Governance, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 15(4), pages 1111-1127, October.
    2. Mountain, Bruce R., 2019. "Ownership, regulation, and financial disparity: The case of electricity distribution in Australia," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1-1.
    3. Antonio Estache & Liam Wren-Lewis, 2010. "What Anti-Corruption Policy Can Learn from Theories of Sector Regulation," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2010-033, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    4. Magnus Söderberg, 2008. "Uncertainty and regulatory outcome in the Swedish electricity distribution sector," European Journal of Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 79-94, February.
    5. Ojo, Marianne, 2006. "The Role of External Auditors and International Accounting Bodies in Financial Regulation and Supervision," MPRA Paper 354, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jul 2006.
    6. Lehr, William & Sicker, Douglas, 2017. "Communications Act 2021," 28th European Regional ITS Conference, Passau 2017 169478, International Telecommunications Society (ITS).
    7. Edmund Malesky & Markus Taussig, 2019. "How Do Firms Feel About Participation by Their Peers in the Regulatory Design Process? An Online Survey Experiment Testing the Substantive Change and Spillover Mechanisms," Strategy Science, INFORMS, vol. 4(2), pages 129-150, June.
    8. Phares, Jonathan & Dobrzykowski, David D. & Prohofsky, Jodi, 2021. "How policy is shaping the macro healthcare delivery supply chain: The emergence of a new tier of retail medical clinics," Business Horizons, Elsevier, vol. 64(3), pages 333-345.
    9. Eduardo Araral & Alberto Asquer & Yahua Wang, 2017. "Regulatory Constructivism: Application of Q Methodology in Italy and China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(8), pages 2497-2521, June.
    10. Camille Chaserant & Sophie Harnay, 2010. "Déréglementer la profession d’avocat ? Les apories de l’analyse économique," Working Papers hal-04140922, HAL.
    11. Georges Dionne, 2003. "The Foundationsof Banks' Risk Regulation: A Review of Literature," Thema Working Papers 2003-46, THEMA (Théorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), CY Cergy-Paris University, ESSEC and CNRS.
    12. Antonio Estache & Liam Wren-Lewis, 2011. "Anti-Corruption Policy in Theories of Sector Regulation," Chapters, in: Susan Rose-Ackerman & Tina Søreide (ed.), International Handbook on the Economics of Corruption, Volume Two, chapter 9, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    13. Jaccard, Mark, 1995. "Oscillating currents : The changing rationale for government intervention in the electricity industry," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 23(7), pages 579-592, July.
    14. Carlos Altavilla & Miguel Boucinha & José-Luis Peydró & Frank Smets, 2019. "Banking supervision, monetary policy and risk-taking: Big data evidence from 15 credit registers," Economics Working Papers 1684, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Dec 2020.
    15. Daniel J. Smith & Macy Scheck, 2023. "Examining the public interest rationale for regulating whiskey with the pure food and drugs act," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 196(1), pages 85-122, July.
    16. Amit Nandan & Hrushikesh Mallick, 2021. "Does regulation induce cost efficiency in electricity distribution utilities? Use of stochastic cost frontier analysis for the Indian states," Competition and Regulation in Network Industries, , vol. 22(2), pages 127-159, June.
    17. Bruno Deffains & Dominique Demougin, 2023. "Capitation taxes and the regulation of professional services," European Journal of Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 167-193, April.
    18. Berg, Sanford V. & Jiang, Liangliang & Lin, Chen, 2012. "Regulation and corporate corruption: New evidence from the telecom sector," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 22-43.
    19. Anna Dimitrova, 2021. "Captured Energy Market Operation and Liberalization Efforts," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 7, pages 19-31.
    20. Julien Daubanes & Jean-Charles Rochet, 2019. "The Rise of NGO Activism," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 11(4), pages 183-212, November.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:tykag_v1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: OSF (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://arabixiv.org .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.