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The evolution of markets in China and Western Europe on the eve of industrialisation

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  • Daniel Bernhofen
  • Markus Eberhardt
  • Jianan Li
  • Stephen Morgan

Abstract

We use monthly prefectural data for Southern China (1740-1820) to implement a dynamic version of Shiue and Keller’s (2007) seminal analysis of spatial market integration. Our cointegration analysis is carried out for rolling windows of 20 years, rather than their static cross-section, and uncovers a secular decline in market integration across all bilateral distance categories of Southern China. When comparing Chinese prefectures less than 150 km apart with Belgian markets (1765-94) and English counties (1770-1820) in the same distance category, we observe similar degrees of market integration for 1740s China and mid-18th century Belgium and England. While the two European countries maintain stable levels of integration over time, we find substantial decline in China relative to the West, in particular when the analysis is limited to the economically most advanced Lower Yangtze region or the prefectures along the Yangtze River.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel Bernhofen & Markus Eberhardt & Jianan Li & Stephen Morgan, 2017. "The evolution of markets in China and Western Europe on the eve of industrialisation," Discussion Papers 2017-12, University of Nottingham, GEP.
    • Handle: RePEc:not:notgep:17/12
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    File URL: https://www.nottingham.ac.uk/gep/documents/papers/2017/2017-12.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Jean-Louis Combes & Mary-Françoise Renard & Shuo Shi, 2022. "Have Unequal Treaties Fostered Domestic Market Integration in Late Imperial China?," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Antoine Le Riche & Antoine Parent & Lei Zhang (ed.), Institutional Change and China Capitalism Frontier of Cliometrics and its Application to China, chapter 2, pages 3-29, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..

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    Keywords

    market integration; 18th century; China and Western Europe; cointegration;
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