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Putting Things in Order: Patterns of Trade Dynamics and Growth

  • Robert C. Feenstra
  • Andrew K. Rose

We develop a procedure to rank-order countries and commodities using dis-aggregated American imports data. We find strong evidence that both countries and commodities can be ranked, consistent with the product cycle' hypothesis. Countries habitually begin to export goods to the United States according to an ordering; goods are also exported in order. We estimate these orderings using a semi-parametric methodology which takes account of the fact that most goods are not exported by most countries in our sample. Our orderings seem sensible, robust and intuitive. For instance, our country rankings derived from dis-aggregated trade data turn out to be highly correlated with macroeconomic phenomena such as national productivity levels and growth rates.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 5975.

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Date of creation: Mar 1997
Date of revision:
Publication status: published as Feenstra, Robert C. and Andrew K. Rose. "Putting Things In Order: Trade Dynamics And Product Cycles," Review of Economics and Statistics, 2000, v82(3,Aug), 369-382.
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:5975
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  1. Jeffrey D. Sachs & Andrew Warner, 1995. "Economic Reform and the Process of Global Integration," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 26(1, 25th A), pages 1-118.
  2. Robert E. Hall & Charles I. Jones, . "The Productivity of Nations," Working Papers 96012, Stanford University, Department of Economics.
  3. Jeffrey A. Frankel & David Romer, 1996. "Trade and Growth: An Empirical Investigation," NBER Working Papers 5476, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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