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Investment and The Cross-Section of Equity Returns

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  • Gian Luca Clementi
  • Berardino Palazzo

Abstract

We confront the one-factor production-based asset pricing model with the evidence on firm-level investment, to uncover that it produces implications for the dynamics of capital that are seriously at odds with the evidence. The data shows that, upon being hit by adverse profitability shocks, large public firms have ample latitude to divest their least productive assets and downsize. In turn, this reduces the risk faced by their shareholders and the returns that they are likely to demand. It follows that when the frictions to capital adjustment are shaped to respect the evidence on investment, the model–generated cross–sectional dispersion of returns is only a small fraction of what documented in the data. Our conclusions hold true even when either operating or labor leverage are modeled in ways that were shown to be promising in the extant literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Gian Luca Clementi & Berardino Palazzo, 2015. "Investment and The Cross-Section of Equity Returns," NBER Working Papers 21064, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:21064
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    3. Caldara, Dario & Iacoviello, Matteo & Molligo, Patrick & Prestipino, Andrea & Raffo, Andrea, 2020. "The economic effects of trade policy uncertainty," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 38-59.
    4. Roberto Marfè, 2015. "Labor Rigidity and the Dynamics of the Value Premium," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 429, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    5. David, Joel M. & Schmid, Lukas & Zeke, David, 2022. "Risk-adjusted capital allocation and misallocation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(3), pages 684-705.
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    7. Lu Zhang, 2019. "Q-factors and Investment CAPM," NBER Working Papers 26538, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Muhammad Nazmul Khan, 2022. "Estimating empirical marginal adjustment cost function: a power series approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(6), pages 3185-3210, December.
    9. Hang Bai & Erica X.N. Li & Chen Xue & Lu Zhang, 2019. "Does Costly Reversibility Matter for U.S. Public Firms?," NBER Working Papers 26372, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D24 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Production; Cost; Capital; Capital, Total Factor, and Multifactor Productivity; Capacity
    • D92 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Intertemporal Firm Choice, Investment, Capacity, and Financing
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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