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Coal and the European Industrial Revolution

  • Alan Fernihough
  • Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke

We examine the importance of geographical proximity to coal as a factor underpinning comparative European economic development during the Industrial Revolution. Our analysis exploits geographical variation in city and coalfield locations, alongside temporal variation in the availability of coal-powered technologies, to quantify the effect of coal availability on historical city population sizes. Since we suspect that our coal measure could be endogenous, we use a geologically derived measure as an instrumental variable: proximity to rock strata from the Carboniferous era. Consistent with traditional historical accounts of the Industrial Revolution, we find that coal had a strong influence on city population size from 1800 onward. Counterfactual estimates of city population sizes indicate that our estimated coal effect explains around 60% of the growth in European city populations from 1750 to 1900. This result is robust to a number of alternative modelling assumptions.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 19802.

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Date of creation: Jan 2014
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:19802
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