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On the empirical evidence of asymmetry effects in the interest rate pass-through in Poland


  • Anna Sznajderska

    (National Bank of Poland)


This paper empirically examines the potential asymmetries in the interest rate pass-through in Poland. We investigate the chosen retail interest rates in commercial banks on deposits and loans denominated in the Polish currency. It is considered whether their adjustment to changes in interbank rates is asymmetric in the long term as well as in the short term. We test for asymmetric cointegration using threshold autoregressive models and momentum-threshold autoregressive models. Next, if it is possible applying the threshold error correction models, we search for asymmetries associated with the direction of change in the money market rate, the level of the economic activity, the level of liquidity in the banking sector, the central bank’s credibility and the economic agents’ expectations. Finally, we test whether using the asymmetric models improves the quality of forecasts of retail bank interest rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Anna Sznajderska, 2012. "On the empirical evidence of asymmetry effects in the interest rate pass-through in Poland," NBP Working Papers 114, Narodowy Bank Polski, Economic Research Department.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbp:nbpmis:114 Note: Proceedings from the NBP seminar “Monetary policy transmission mechanism in Poland. What do we know in 2011?”, December 5th, 2011.

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Harald Sander & Stefanie Kleimeier, 2006. "Interest Rate Pass-Through In The Common Monetary Area Of The Sacu Countries," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 74(2), pages 215-229, June.
    2. Barry Scholnick, 1999. "Interest Rate Asymmetries in Long-Term Loan and Deposit Markets," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 16(1), pages 5-26, September.
    3. Seo, Myunghwan, 2006. "Bootstrap testing for the null of no cointegration in a threshold vector error correction model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 134(1), pages 129-150, September.
    4. Kok, Christoffer & Werner, Thomas, 2006. "Bank interest rate pass-through in the euro area: a cross country comparison," Working Paper Series 580, European Central Bank.
    5. Stiglitz, Joseph E & Weiss, Andrew, 1981. "Credit Rationing in Markets with Imperfect Information," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(3), pages 393-410, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Tomasz Łyziak & Oksana Demchuk & Jan Przystupa & Anna Sznajderska & Ewa Wróbel, 2012. "Monetary policy transmission mechanism in Poland. What do we know in 2011?," NBP Working Papers 116, Narodowy Bank Polski, Economic Research Department.
    2. Chileshe, Patrick Mumbi & Akanbi, Olusegun Ayodele, 2016. "Asymmetry of the Interest Rate Pass-through in Zambia," MPRA Paper 82673, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. repec:sgh:gosnar:y:2017:i:4:p:5-38 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Mihaylov, Mihail, 2016. "Determinants of loan interest rates in a country with a currency board: Evidence from Bulgaria," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 355-372.
    5. Victor Bystrov, 2014. "A factor-augmented model of markup on mortgage loans in Poland," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 45(6), pages 491-512.
    6. Holmes, Mark J. & Iregui, Ana María & Otero, Jesús, 2015. "Interest rate pass through and asymmetries in retail deposit and lending rates: An analysis using data from Colombian banks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 270-277.
    7. Anna Sznajderska, 2012. "On asymmetric effects in a monetary policy rule. The case of Poland," NBP Working Papers 125, Narodowy Bank Polski, Economic Research Department.

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    interest rate pass-through; asymmetries; threshold models; forecasting;

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