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Business Cycles in a Small Open Economy: Stylized Facts from Singapore

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  • Keen Meng Choy

    (Division of Economics,School of Humanities and Social Sciences, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore)

Abstract

This paper is an empirical exercise that seeks to reveal the nature of economic fluctuations in the archetypal small open economy of Singapore. We assess the extent to which local business cycles are influenced by their foreign counterparts with regards to cyclicality, co-movement and volatility characteristics and then document how shock waves from abroad are spread to the broader macroeconomy once they reach Singapore’s shores. To do this, we make use of linear filters and stochastic trend models to extract the cyclical component of economic activity. The results indicate that, while idiosyncrasies are present in Singapore’s macroeconomic fluctuations, there are also stylized facts to be distilled for small open economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Keen Meng Choy, 2006. "Business Cycles in a Small Open Economy: Stylized Facts from Singapore," Economic Growth Centre Working Paper Series 0611, Nanyang Technological University, School of Social Sciences, Economic Growth Centre.
    • Handle: RePEc:nan:wpaper:0611
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    File URL: https://web.hss.ntu.edu.sg/egc/wp/2006/2006-11.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Hwee Kwan Chow & Keen Meng Choy, 2008. "Forecasting Business Cycles in a Small Open Economy: A Dynamic Factor Model for Singapore," Economic Growth Centre Working Paper Series 0802, Nanyang Technological University, School of Social Sciences, Economic Growth Centre.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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