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Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict at the Regional Level

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  • Roland Hodler
  • Paul A. Raschky

Abstract

We study the effects of economic shocks on civil conflict at the subnational level using a panel data set of 5,689 administrative regions from 53 African countries with yearly observations from 1992 to 2010. We find that economic shocks, measured by nighttime light intensity and instrumented by lagged rainfall and droughts, increase the probability of civil conflict.

Suggested Citation

  • Roland Hodler & Paul A. Raschky, 2014. "Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict at the Regional Level," Monash Economics Working Papers 27-14, Monash University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:mos:moswps:2014-27
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    References listed on IDEAS

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      • Couttenier, Mathieu & Hofstetter, Annie & Soubeyran, Raphael, 2013. "Drought and civil war in sub-Saharan Africa," INRAE Sciences Sociales, Institut national de recherche pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (INRAE), Departement Sciences Sociales, Agriculture et Alimentation, Espace et Environnement (SAE2), vol. 2013, pages 1-6, March.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic shocks; civil conflict; regional development;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
    • D7 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making
    • O1 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development

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