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Dynamique des spécialisations et performances commerciales des pays d’Europe centrale et orientale(PECO)

Author

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  • Raphaël Chiappini

    (Larefi)

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of trade specialization on export’s performances of seven Central and Eastern European countries between 1992 and 2008. We use a dynamic method based on Revealed Comparative Advantages. We show that former USSR countries have increased their specialization in raw materials, whereas other CEEC countries have developed new comparative advantages, mainly in the automotive sector. Finally, using a Constant Market Share Analysis, we show that since 2000 export performances of Russia and Ukraine are entirely due to trade specialization unlike other CEEC export performances which are mainly the result of a good external competitiveness, even if specialization effect contributes positively. Cet article étudie l’évolution et l’impact des spécialisations commerciales sur les performances à l’exportation de sept pays d’Europe Centrale et Orientale durant la période 1992- 2008. A partir d’une étude dynamique des Avantages Comparatifs Révélés, nous montrons que les pays de l’ex-URSS ont renforcé leurs spécialisations dans les matières premières alors les autres PECO ont développé de nouveaux avantages comparatifs, principalement dans le secteur automobile. La méthode Constant Market Share Analysis indique, ainsi, que depuis 2000, les performances commerciales russes et ukrainiennes reposent totalement sur leurs spécialisations commerciales alors celles des autres PECO sont principalement le résultat d’une bonne compétitivité externe, et ce, même si l’effet spécialisation est devenu positif.

Suggested Citation

  • Raphaël Chiappini, 2010. "Dynamique des spécialisations et performances commerciales des pays d’Europe centrale et orientale(PECO)," Larefi Working Papers 201005, Larefi, Université Bordeaux 4.
    • Handle: RePEc:laf:wpaper:201005
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exportations; avantages comparatifs révélés; spécialisation commerciale; Constant Market Share Analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade

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